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Any thoughts on Beast Of Burden? He slammed a useful 140+ stick Mendip Express at Bangor last week.
He might try the Neptune but looks like a better fit to this race to my eyes.
I wouldn’t read to much into a small field race around Bangor. Mendip Express is basically a mature staying chaser who might well be on the decline. Having said that Beast Of Burden looks as if he might have plenty more to come. At the moment he is short on experience and he may well get ‘lost’ against much better rivals at Cheltenham. He was probably worth a small dabble at 50’s which has now been taken.
The Bangor race is the same one she won with O’Faolains Boy before that one went on to finish 4th in the Albert Bartlett. In terms of experience OFB had run under rules 3 times before Bangor same as B of B, though OFB had also previously run in a couple of points.
I t for what he’s done. He has however ran a good time figure. I would have wanted a better round of jumping, he’d need to be more fluent, he was messy.
A horse I have been waiting for goes tomorrow in the same race Brindisi Breeze took before his win. Fletchers Flyer should out class tomorrow and fully expect him to shorten. Was worried as he traded as high as 70-1 a few weeks ago, now I wish I had increased. He jumps to the side, I believe he went left last time, so hopefully that is sorted tomorrow. Interesting contender.
Tea For Two is out tomorrow in a race that has cup up quite badly to only four runners. Tea For Two hosed up in The Lanzarote, a race where opinions on the merits of the form vary somewhat. He was raised a chunk by the handicapper and was the highest rated in the race, by quite a way in some cases, of the early entries. Perhaps his presence has persuaded others to head elsewhere.
A general average price of around 1/2 it is clearly going to be disappointing if he can’t win tomorrow’s race, which is just shy of 2 and a half miles. The worry I have, having picked him for The Albert Bartlett, is that he wins well at the trip and they are tempted to go the Neptune route instead. The trainer has said a couple of times that they feel the longer race is the right one to aim him at and I have to hope that his mind stays in the same direction after tomorrow. If he doesn’t win this, it won’t matter either way.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Well that’s Tea For Two’s bubble burst. Never travelled with the same zest today and had a couple of sticky jumps on the way. It didn’t look at all like stepping up in trip would help him. If anything the reverse was true. Very poor effort there.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I think Lizzie would love another crack at riding that race. She seemed to me to be undecided throughout. The horse was keen and quite free, but she seemed to be reining him back frequently as though trying to give him an easy race, and I think it took quite a bit out of him.
Can’t make up my mind if his jumping is an asset or not. Gets pretty high, almost as though afraid of hitting it, but often lands flat-footed sacrificing momentum. Stuck on bravely, and I wouldn’t be too despondent.
I think Lizzie would love another crack at riding that race. She seemed to me to be undecided throughout. The horse was keen and quite free, but she seemed to be reining him back frequently as though trying to give him an easy race, and I think it took quite a bit out of him.
Can’t make up my mind if his jumping is an asset or not. Gets pretty high, almost as though afraid of hitting it, but often lands flat-footed sacrificing momentum. Stuck on bravely, and I wouldn’t be too despondent.
For me, Tea For Two had to win that one well today and I just don’t see him as a contender.
I’d tend to agree that the jockey was a bit non-committal but felt the horse just lacked the oomph he’d shown the time before.
The old Homburg will be deep fried and scoffed if there is a Tea In The Park Festival at Cheltenham this year.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Any word on Hendersons Vyta Du Roc? Hasn’t ran since the ‘Challow’ but ran on well that day behind Parlour Games,thought hed go well in this but heard nothing of his well being since?
I’ve had small money on Snow Falcon here at 70’s on the machine, so was pleased to read in today’s Racing Post that this is the target rather than the Neptune. He’s unexposed and looks a potentially big improver for this sort of test, having hacked up last time over 2m 7f. He’s 50/1 with the bookies and in an open looking race that’s well overpriced imo, he’ll do for me as back up to No More Heroes.
THM: Backed him EW myself at 50s mate and stuck in EW trixie with Road to Riches and Monksland
Come on Noel – you can do it lol
Been thinking they very same notion as you there. Can see meade having at lest 2 winners over the week. h e has some real nice chances and they are all very backable prices. Suspect you will make profit following him blind this year.
Know nothing about Snow Falcon, Tommy, but your vote is good enough for me. Unusually, 365 who are NRNB everything, are far and away biggest at 40s, at which I’ve had a tenner!
Know nothing about Snow Falcon, Tommy, but your vote is good enough for me. Unusually, 365 who are NRNB everything, are far and away biggest at 40s, at which I’ve had a tenner!
Thanks Joe
At that sort of price he’s definitely worth a go. It’s hard to know how the British and Irish form stacks up but if the Irish protagonists were to race tomorrow I’d guess Snow Falcon would be no bigger than 8 or 9/1.The more i look at this race the more i fancy Martello tower. 14/1 is a cracking price, stays all day and almost impossible to get by (just ask Outlander). Only slight worry is that he has never run on genuinely good ground, but at 14/1 and with top class form in the book he has to be worth a few bob!
I think Lizzie would love another crack at riding that race. She seemed to me to be undecided throughout. The horse was keen and quite free, but she seemed to be reining him back frequently as though trying to give him an easy race, and I think it took quite a bit out of him.
Can’t make up my mind if his jumping is an asset or not. Gets pretty high, almost as though afraid of hitting it, but often lands flat-footed sacrificing momentum. Stuck on bravely, and I wouldn’t be too despondent.
The handicapper put Tea For Two down 5 lbs for that effort to 148, which looks correct, as his Lanzarote rating of 153 was probably fanciful in retrospect.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Having looked at this race more thoroughly I have decided to back Blaklion each-way at 14/1. He just seems the type sure to run his race and be thereabouts on the day.
I can’t have Black Hercules at his silly odds based on two awful looking race wins. A maiden hurdle at 1/6 that has seen 31 subsequent runs and zero wins was followed by a 4/7 success on heavy ground over 3 miles, from a 136 rated horse who dropped a full mile in trip on his next start.
I think it’s ridiculous to see Black Hercules at 4/1 in a place, based on so little form in the book.
Of course, others will think Willie Mullins is god and will point to the horse winning at 5/2 as “The bet of a lifetime” should he prevail.
Not for me though.
Blaklion 14/1 each-way
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
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