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I wouldn’t rate Dickie Divers chances of winning this at all. His only run so far has been over 2 mile 3f; this race is usually always won by an experienced horse.
Agree Vautour, for all this year is a year where horses have probably raced a little less so there might be a trend or two bucked.
CNC, a good thing? Really?? He looked very promising and all that, but couldn’t go that far
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!
CNC, a good thing? Really?? He looked very promising and all that, but couldn’t go that farFair point – I might have got a bit excited Jack. However, I think he looked good and more importantly I think he’s a horse Nicky Henderson rates highly. I’ve had a bet on both Dickie Diver and Dinons for this race.
Two horses which I have backed for this with Bet 365.
Kateson 33/1 EW
Carefully Selected 20/1 EWgood look all
Kateson was the one i wanted to know plans about, just had a search on Twitter and RP reporter has said Lacey is looking at Haydock next month as a trial for this.
33s is huge, ran very well behind Champ in the Challow when he wouldn’t have been suited by the slow pace (franked by Brewinupastorm until he fell) and his sire has produced a couple of good stayers in Sam Spinner & The Giant Bolster.
I’ve taken some of that price now, thanks for the reminder atthepost.
Mike007; 1 more prep will make no difference. Horses with less than 10 starts to their name tend not to win this race. Penhill, Martello Tower, UnowhatImeanharry all had an average of around 16 starts under their belt. It’s because it’s 3 miles on good quick ground. Inexperienced novices dont settle and go way too fast; expericeced horses always win this. Dickie Diver is 14/1; I’d give you 100/1.
Agree Kev.
Vautour, this year could be slightly different given ground who knows.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Nah Jack, last year was slightly different because the ground was heavy; Kilbricken Storm was having his 8th start when he won it last year but I’d call that a noutlier because teh ground was slow. This year you’d imagine normal service resumes and experience will be vital.
Dinons and Rockpoint at 25/1 & 20/1 respectively look like great each way shouts; they’ve both have 12 runs each under their belts including course and distance wins
Not for me: Last years ground at the festival was different- what i was meaning was, as the ground has limited so many of the novices to start their campaigns, there will more than likely be quite a few less experienced horses going to the AB this year + therefore, a greater chance the trend will be bucked.
P.S. this is just something i’ve been thinking about. A lot of trends in recent years have qualifiers such as, how many times a horse has ran etc. This year a lot of trainers have struggled to run their horses as much. Just a thought.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Dinons seems to have gone largely under the radar for this. He was clearly coming through to challenge in his last race before being badly hampered by a faller. Vautour – I agree 25-1 is a great price. He has course form from earlier in the season and likes good ground, which appears to be key to him. I’m tempted to top up.
Jack i would tend to agree, overall number of runs in the season I can see this trend going in some races, hopefully this one as it stands.
Morning all, long time reader first time poster.
Does anyone have an opinion on Pleasure Dome for this? She has some good form in behind Derrinross on her last couple of starts, and was the one that caught my eye at Limerick.
Entered in a couple at Leopardstown this weekend, a 3m handicap and the mares 2m 2 handicap.
Plenty of runs under her belt for a six year old both on the flat and over jumps for Jonjo and now Willie. Also her best form seems to be over 3m on better ground.
Do you think she has the quality for this? Or maybe a sneaky handicap entry at Cheltenham maybe the Martin Pipe or Coral cup.
Nice spot. She definitely ticks the experience box and flat experience will help on the new course. She’s done 3 miles on good. Will keep an eye out for her on the weekend.
Mike, it might not be right + to be fair i quite like Derrinross + Kateson for this anyway….and they have the necessary experience.
Just don’t think i’ll stick a line through some like i would’ve in past years.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!I agree with CNC about Dinons – i like the experience, the proven form on decent ground…
The price is amazing, provided he’s not injured
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