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Greenasgrass, I’m wanting to add Class Conti as well, but if Chris’s Dream runs, I’m scared to miss out on him, so I have to make him my third choice.
I’m only going to bet him if he runs. If not, I’ll go with Class Conti too.
Farclas @ 33/1 NRNB BOG
Jack booked to ride and 6 lbs better off in the National as opposed to the Topham. All sorted now, i think.
Canelo 33s
Some Neck 66 e/w
Takingrisks 40sIf Some Neck doesn’t make the cut or if Canelo swerves this for the Scottish National i will add Mister Malarky who will either outrun his odds of 40/1 or be pulled up before half way.
Farclas still in the Topham which is where he should go. I might back him in that.
Edit: Just seen an article on RP he goes for National instead. Wasted opportunity. I am convinced he wont stay 4 miles 2.
Dissapointing really from a betting point of view as id have really fancied him in the topham
It’s a pleasant surprise for me to see Farclas head here.
I’m still looking for one more, as I’m not happy with my Ok Corral bet, but I’ll mull it over, over the next few days.
Farclas 33-1
Ok Corral 33-1
Minella Times 50-1I’ve bet Minella Times myself, though it’s only at 16-1. The other I’ve bet is Bristol De Mai. He’s one of my favourite jumpers, and as much as I’m not wholly convinced by the choice of this race for him, I could not let him run without a few pounds on.
The Welsh National winner unlikely to get in. Sigh.
But hey, we’ll have a couple of past-it Gigginstown runners making up the numbers based on their handicap marks from two years ago, so there’s that, eh? Oh the romance. Can only presume the O’Learys think that ADO is only 8 lbs below Tiger Roll, so maybe he’s not so past-it afterall :rolleyes:
On a serious note, why are the weights published so early? Surely wait until after Cheltenham at least. I can’t see what the benefit of weights so early, is.
Minella Times is likely to be my selection, fwiw.
A few I like for this – Burrows Saint, Any Second Now, Cloth Cap, Farclas – but the one that stands out at the price is Takingrisks, who reserves his best for decent ground and galloping tracks, and whose 4L defeat of Cloth Cap in the 2019 Scottish National reads pretty well. Both have improved since, but Takingrisks is currently ten times the price.
I hope any others non-runners are declared prior to 1pm tomorrow – would like to see the Welsh Nash winner get in, would be a shame if a couple were ruled out after that.
BUY THE SUN
Nrnb on Secret Reprieve so ok. Shame though, as I would’ve liked to see how he got on.
Just the 5 horses to concentrate on now.
Still a chance Mike, couple could come out if the race times are quick today. Although that wouldn’t particularly suit Secret Reprieve either tbf.
BUY THE SUN
Having just watched road to Aintree and seeing the head on of the bobby jo and burrows saint lugging to his right i now think he has little to no chance of winning
Will have to dig through and find a couple more
I have calculated my figures for the race, having had to fudge a a bit to cover non-handicap form, but happy with the top ratings.
Any Second Now 184
Farclas 181
Yala Enki 180
Kimberlite Candy 179
Vieux Lion Rouge 177
Give Me A Copper 177
Double Shuffle 177
Shattered Love 176Favourite Cloth Cap 170 has a bit to find on my figures, and I had to fiddle a bit to get him that high(!), but is a big improver although price is very short.
More than happy with the top ratings and I’ll take top four rated against the field. All have form in big fields and jumping is very sound. Form is sound enough and I’m not going to tie myself in knots over some of the detail, rather let the figures guide me. Nice spread of prices between 11/1 and 40/1 at time of writing.
Of the top four I think Farclas’s staying ability is the one thing that concerns me. He saw out 3 miles in a big field at Leopardstown, so big field quick pace is not a problem. Form is solid so happy to trust the stable on this one and the doubt is covered in the price, if he was a proven stayer he’s be a single figure price.
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