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Grand National 2018

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  • This topic has 368 replies, 64 voices, and was last updated 8 years ago by gman.
Viewing 17 posts - 222 through 238 (of 369 total)
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  • #1349582
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1889

    It’s a shame we won’t get your big run down this year. Always made for good reading during my lunch break!

    #1349583
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16023

    GT, if you’re not doing it this year, I’ve got mine more or less done, and will stick that up.

    #1349589
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    Look forward to reading it VTC.

    Is it really over thirty years ago we were watching the equine VTC over these fences? :-)

    Value Is Everything
    #1349590
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16023

    35 bloody years ago (or 32 for The Foxhunter)………..I feel ancient lol

    #1349608
    Avatar photoMiddle_Of_March
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2833

    I tend to do a preview of the big meetings (Cheltenham, Aintree, Epsom and Royal Ascot) so I could link that maybe? It’s not as good as Ginges or no doubt VTCs but it’s not too bad.

    #1349615
    Avatar photoKevMc
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1326

    MOM, you can mention last years winner without trumpeting you backed it, its quite easy to do. Just like you can use big priced winners in stats Ginge without doing the same.

    You’re not doing anything wrong, fire on if you wish, I just find it tedious as do others on here as has been said before.

    #1349619
    Avatar photoMiddle_Of_March
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2833

    But the point is, it’s not like I’ve randomly brought it up. It was in the following years grand national thread.

    At the end of the day, I think you’re massively overreacting to be honest.

    The point was that I don’t fancy Annibale Fly or anything in this years race anywhere near like One For Arthur.

    If September wins the Oaks, I expect I’ll mention that in the 2019 Oaks thread at some point too. Be prepared.

    People who moan for the sake of it – I find that tedious.

    #1349623
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6895

    MOM feel free to mention OFA as many times as you like!!

    IMO it is hard enough to back winners without having someone telling you when you can or can’t celebrate them in written form!!

    Well done with Reed again!! We all did pretty well there.
    Let’s hope we can do the same with the National.

    So far I am on Warriors Tale Ucello Conti The Dutchman and a small each way on Virgilio at a mad price!!

    But as most on here know my National record for winners is awful!! (Only have backed the winner four times in my life!!) In our household its Mrsraymo that is the boss of the national having backed five winners in the last ten or twelve years.

    #1349632
    Avatar photoMiddle_Of_March
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2833

    Cheers Raymo

    It’s not like I mention him that often but I think it’s surely understandable that I’ll mention my biggest ever winner from 40/1 downwards.

    On the next years National thread as well.

    When is the next major? Gotta be at least a few weeks yet hasn’t it? Think the next one is usually around my birthday on June 15th.

    #1349659
    Avatar photoKevMc
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1326

    Vintage Clouds 50s my last dart with the going looking potentially soft at best.
    Needs 5? to come out but think he may get that with the ground going the way it is.

    #1349661
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    But the point is, it’s not like I’ve randomly brought it up. It was in the following years grand national thread.

    At the end of the day, I think you’re massively overreacting to be honest.

    The point was that I don’t fancy Annibale Fly or anything in this years race anywhere near like One For Arthur.

    If September wins the Oaks, I expect I’ll mention that in the 2019 Oaks thread at some point too. Be prepared.

    People who moan for the sake of it – I find that tedious.

    Kev’s only jealous, MOM. :whistle:

    Oh, you haven’t mentioned your September bet again. ;-)

    Value Is Everything
    #1349664
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9073

    I think he’ll get a run for you.
    Horses I reckon might get pulled due to ground if it’s soft/heavy
    Minella Rocco- topweight on ground he doesn’t like. No idea why still 14s in places. Has a Punchestown entry
    Valseur Lido- has plenty of weight; dropping out would let another Giggi horse in
    Gold Present- the last thing a young improver that bled LTO needs is a slog in an unsuitable bog. NJH doesn’t like bad ground and won’t run good horses on it unless he has to
    Vicente- trainer already said so
    Pendra- ran well in the Kim Muir till he ran out of petrol on the ground and walked up the hill. Didn’t get home on soft in RTW’s GN- has an entry at Sandown so best kept fresh for that
    Children’s List- inexperienced Presenting horse that trainer has said prefers better ground.

    #1349671
    Avatar photoShotta Sheriff
    Participant
    • Total Posts 117

    My post from yesterday:
    Not sure how much rain is forecast to fall on Friday, but assuming it could be significant, I’ve decided to add Baie Des Iles each way.
    ————————————
    Do betting firms monitor this site closely or something ;-)

    https://www.racingpost.com/news/grand-national-festival/baie-des-iles-price-tumbles-for-grand-national-but-what-do-our-experts-think/326834

    #1349674
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1889

    I’m glad Maggio got a mention on the Racing Post website today. I’d want it soft or worse before committing to him, but I’d give this veteran a real shout if it does. 100/1 is big value, for me anyway.

    #1349678
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14498

    MOM wrote …………………

    When is the next major? Gotta be at least a few weeks yet hasn’t it? Think the next one is usually around my birthday on June 15th.

    ————————————————-

    The US Open is 14-17 June at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club New York (that will be a noisy one)

    The Open is 19-22 July at Carnoustie

    The USPGA is 9-12 August at Bellerive Country Club Missouri

    I hope you do as well in those Mom as you did at Augusta :good:

    #1349679
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    Vintage Clouds 50s my last dart with the going looking potentially soft at best.
    Needs 5? to come out but think he may get that with the ground going the way it is.

    Vintage Clouds is an outsider I’ll be backing too, Kev. Often scrubbed along early and can be a hard ride. However, if (as seems likely) it comes up soft/heavy then won’t need to go as quick and few rivals will genuinely stay as well. Does he need a prominent position? Led early previous four starts including when placed in both Welsh National and Ultima. Staying on again in the former and 3rd in the latter despite trip being a bare minimum. Every reason to think he can improve given this extreme test.

    Some won’t act on the ground and the added test of stamina very soft brings means others won’t have any chance of staying the trip, so I’d have thought 5 will come out. Gas Line Boy could well switch to the Topham, like he did in December from Becher to Sefton

    Value Is Everything
    #1349680
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    Originally against Total Recall primarily due to him pulling penultimate start; but settled far better in the Gold Cup being held up behind horses. One of surprisingly few of this year’s race looking capable of improvement. Ending up on the floor isn’t an ideal preparation. Usually a fairly good jumper in the past. Obviously a chance it’s effected confdence but if so it’ll likely show up at home… and in that case suspect Mullins to pull him out. For that reason haven’t yet bet. If still jumping well then the fact he didn’t finish may have actually helped – didn’t have such a hard race. Anibale Fly did finish and improved. However, of the two is generally the poorer (inconsistent) jumper. Jumped well enough to win the Irish Paddy Power off a 13 lbs lower mark, giving 3 lbs and a 7 lengths beating to Ucello Conti. Anibale Fly ran poorly penultimate effort, making mistakes and no chance when falling two out in the Irish Gold Cup. On Cheltenham form, 8 1/2 lengths third gives him a good chance but made several errors too. One big plus is stamina. Made ground late as if this extended trip should suit, but is he fully recovered and will he jump well enough?

    With the ground likely to be soft am now more worried about Total Recall staying the trip so have come down in favour of Anibale Fly for my biggest bet. Hopefully he won’t “come down”. Will probably just save on TR.

    Value Is Everything
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