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Grand National 2017

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Viewing 17 posts - 392 through 408 (of 446 total)
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  • #1295806
    Avatar photoGoldenMiller34
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1404

    One bit of info for those who fancy Drop Out Joe is that the owner says it’s been a rush to get him ready in time and is not sure if he is fit enough (RUK website).

    #1295836
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6324

    Absolutely brilliant write up Ginge!!! :good: :good:

    I hope you are right with Definitly Red LOL

    But if Vicente wins I will be shouting and they will hear me in Leeds!!

    #1295847
    Avatar photoThe Ante-Post King
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8696

    Well done Ginge I’ll settle for your write up on More of that pal…If you could just wish me and Bobby good luck with our 1000/1 vouchers. :rose:

    #1295866
    Avatar photoDBRDBR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1056

    Somewhere in November I’ve backed Vicente and earlier this year I’ve backed Houblon des Obeaux and Ucello Conti. Took a final look at the runners this evening and added Vieux Lion Rouge.

    Good luck all.

    #1295884
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7655

    My list is
    Vicente
    Highland Lodge
    Saint Are
    Drop Out Joe
    all E/W
    If the winner isn’t in there, I hope it’s on this thread – good luck all

    #1295912
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 13286

    Superb piece of analysis Ginger, thoroughly enjoyed reading through it :good:
    Two of my three ante posts have at least made it to the big day, Foxrock has
    decided to head for the Irish version as it’s not soft enough at Aintree. I
    still have THE YOUNG MASTER who I took last year at 33/1. He’s
    below that now, but I hope he has put his run in the Becher behind him, he
    didn’t look too keen on the fences that day, but as you mentioned Ginger, this
    surely has been the plan all year so I hope we see the best of him.

    I’ve also got LE MERCUREY, and I agree that he looks well
    handicapped on his runnings behind Native River and Many Clouds. I also agree
    this is going to test his stamina, it’s a big unknown, but I backed Seabass
    a few years back, on his 1st run in this when he was 3rd, and the same was being
    said about him being essentially a 2m4f speedier type. I hope he does as well as
    Seabass, I’d settle for 3rd at 66s. I see he’s still readily available at that price,
    I wouldn’t even be surprised to see a couple of firms offering 100/1 in the morning.
    I’m just daft enough to top up on that if they do :wacko:

    I’ll probably have another one or two in the morning if I think they are overpriced.
    Good luck everyone :good:

    #1295929
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33120

    To a 200 stake:
    30 each way @ 16/1 Definitely Red (min 15/2)(£246 available)
    29 win @ 24/1 The Last Samuri (min 10/1)(£592 a)
    24 win @ 15.5/1 Vieux Lion Rouge (min 10/1)(£524 a)
    24 win @ 15.5/1 Blaklion (min 10/1)(£4071 a)
    13 place @ 5/1 Definitely Red (min 9/4)(£364 a)
    37 place @ 4.8/1 The Last Samuri (min 9/4)(£62 a)
    10 win @ 74/1 Drop Out Joe (min 66/1)(£107 a)
    saver:
    3 win @ 74/1 Houblon Des Obeaux (min 66/1)(£34 a)

    Value Is Everything
    #1295930
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33120

    Thanks everyone for your kind words, all we have to do now is to back the winner.

    I’ve won money on the last 5 Grand Nationals, here’s hoping for 6. :good:

    Value Is Everything
    #1295931
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33120

    Well done Ginge I’ll settle for your write up on More of that pal…If you could just wish me and Bobby good luck with our 1000/1 vouchers. :rose:

    Thanks Gord,
    If you have good luck then someone else must have bad luck.
    So I’ll wish everyone no luck – good or bad. May the best horse win.
    Can say if I don’t win hope you and Bobby do.

    You’re exaggerating again, it’s 999/1. ;-)

    Value Is Everything
    #1295932
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33120

    GT, That’s the best preview you’ve written over the years I’ve been here. Timeform would be proud of something like that.

    A general remark on One For Arthur not just for your review; I haven’t seen it mentioned elsewhere…the fitting of the tongue tie last time could be a significant factor in his improvement.

    I see Timeform mention the first time tongue tie for OFA last time, Joe. Tried not to look at their write ups when doing the preview. tbh OFA was already on the up at the time of the Classic Chase and was always going to be suited by a thorough test of stamina; so doubt it was that significant. Going to be very difficult with those tactics on good ground unless they go too fast. I’ve deliberately lessened the chance of the hold up merchants in my “book”.

    Value Is Everything
    #1295939
    Avatar photoMiddle_Of_March
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2833

    AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL 4 miles 2 furlongs 74 yards

    1.

    Cracking write up. Great stuff.

    I posted my preview for the first time onto here on the DLAP section but this is 1000 times more detailed.

    As for the race, I’m delighted to have all three of my antepost bets running: Vicente, The Last Samurai and One For Arthur

    The latter being a big bet for me. The other two small plays

    #1296002
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6192

    Well done Ginge I’ll settle for your write up on More of that pal…If you could just wish me and Bobby good luck with our 1000/1 vouchers. :rose:

    Best of luck to all, but especially you 2. I’ll certainly be cheering him on for you both.

    Has anyone had a 1000-1 shot win on here BTW in the past ?

    #1296008
    fivelongdays
    Participant
    • Total Posts 693

    My main bets are
    The Young Master
    Houblon Des Obeaux
    Saint Are
    One For Arthur

    With a small sidebet on
    Blaklion

    Twitter=@PGHenn

    So don't run, just like the others always do

    #1296015
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1716

    Going to war with Vieux Lion Rouge, More Of That, Houblon Des Obeaux, O’Faolains Boy, Tenor Nivernais and Saint Are!

    The ground looks pretty dead to me. I wouldn’t rule out anything that ‘needs it soft’.

    #1296018
    Avatar photogrey dolphin
    Participant
    • Total Posts 650

    The Bet365 concession on basically returning the ew part of the stake has encouraged me to have quite a few ew.

    So it’s 10ew Rogue Angel and Blaklion, 5ew More of That, Definitly Red and Measureofmydreams, 3ew Lord Windermere and Wounded Warrior. Plus a quid ew O’Faolains Boy in the hunt for a 100-1 winner.

    As I’ve omitted Thunder & Roses of the Giggs runners, that’s the one that will win.

    #1296024
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33120

    The Bet365 concession on basically returning the ew part of the stake has encouraged me to have quite a few ew.

    So it’s 10ew Rogue Angel and Blaklion, 5ew More of That, Definitly Red and Measureofmydreams, 3ew Lord Windermere and Wounded Warrior. Plus a quid ew O’Faolains Boy in the hunt for a 100-1 winner.

    As I’ve omitted Thunder & Roses of the Giggs runners, that’s the one that will win.

    That Bet365 concession has allowed punters to sell their place part on betfair. I’ve concentrated on the place market this morning.
    Why would anyone back Definitely Red @ 11/1 for the win when you can get over 6/1 to finish in the first 4?
    The Last Samuri @ 5/1 for the place is also exceptional value!

    Value Is Everything
    #1296026
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 33120

    I’ve added a couple yesterday, Drop Out Joe 66’s to 80’s ew, as he’s a horse I’ve put up here several times in the past, and it would be too painful to miss out. Owners cautious comments that he’s not fully prepped for this following the setback, sealed the deal…………….I’m sure they’d not be running if that were the case. A tip in itself, and thanks to GM for that info.

    Drop Out Joe has a brilliant record fresh and therefore obviously doesn’t take much getting fit. :good:

    Value Is Everything
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