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Backed 4 up to now in this. 2 N/R’s up to now.
John Constable to win @ 10’s
Also backed Snow Falcon to win on the exchanges after the race on Sunday at a strange old price. I think it would of took an act of god to of stopped the winner of that race from going in. Well clear of the rest he was
VtC.
This is not a race I would take much interest in other than to watch.
However before leaving Norfolk this morning I was told via a good chap who does not normall indulge in “Chinese whispers” to take an interest in DUBAWI FIFTY.
Reading your first post you were wise enough to take 25/1 whilst the best today is 16/1 although Wm. Hill is offering 8 places which has tempted me out of my comfort zone.
Billy's Outback Shack
Gone in again on Euchan Glen and added WITHHOLD at 12/1. This Withhold good be a plot. (Tony Bloom, one run to get him ready) Smells like a proper plot to me!!
Cheers Bill, and that sounds very encouraging.
Unfortunately I didn’t bet him though, though I should have traded him, and I really did think he would be near the head of the market at the very least. Very best of luck with him, especially with that excellent 8 Place concession.
. 3 year olds don’t have a great record but the trainer did win with one back in 1998, and has had success in this race since also with Scatter Dice. He won’t mind what the ground is like and is a big player for me.
No need to be put off by those age stats. 3-y-olds have an excellent record in the race given their representation. Only 39 have run in the race in the past 20 years. 2 have won: a strike rate of 5%.
SR for other much better represented groups:
4: 2%
5: 1%
6: 4%
7: 4%I haven’t been overly ambitious here (probably still feeling the effects from the Cambridgeshire). I’ve taken 11/1 about Lagostovegas who looks like a true winner of old. He’s improving, still unexposed and has big connections in favour. I’m also on Who Dares Wins as I just feel he’s got the potential still to go and win despite the rise in the weights and at 18/1 Endless Acres who is representing a trainer in form and is drawn (31) well if some want to come over to the favoured stands side. I chucked my PaddyPower free bet on John Constance as a saver just in case he really is the thrown-in McCoy here.
I have backed 2 this morning,John Constable hoping he can run to his hurdle mark and Shrewd.
If you go to back a certainty always buy a return ticket.
Happy with my (now) main bet, Euchen Glen at 25’s ew, 5 Places, and a much smaller bet on Shrewd at 33’s ew. Sternrubin not making it was a sore one to take, while Landsman was nearly as small a bet as Shrewd, so not worried about him not making it. It’s not a race to go with 2, so what to add?
I think John Constable is a reformed character for the wind op, and he is now my idea of an ew cert at 10’s, but I’m just going to add him to the forecasts. I wouldn’t be putting that much extra on today, as I’m not that far off my stakes limit for this race, so happy if I miss out on him, as whatever I bet on him, wouldn’t be near what I won off of him at Haydock, and he owes me nothing. I’ve also got the quandry of Swashbuckle, Swamp Fox, and Dubawi Fifty. It’s too late in the day to be worrying about going for the wrong one, especially as it would essentially be a saver, so I’m going for a loud one in Arthur McBride. His trial didn’t scream “Cesarewitch Winner”, and having watched it back a few times, I don’t whether or not he didn’t stay, he wasn’t good enough, or if he looked slightly amiss. Whatever the reason, it was not a good trial, but he’s still here, and I don’t think he’ll be a social runner. That last run is a massive negative, and NTD is not one of the Jump yards you would associate with this race, but I’ll have a few quid ew at the 8 places, and a small bet on the machine, as I did like a couple of his races earlier in the season, and I’ll go out on a limb with him, off of how he fared earlier in the year. Just a bit of fun Arthur, but saves me the headache of picking my #3 out of a long early shortlist who all made it on the day.
I Have bet Star Rider to win at 80-1 here, and I have added him at shorter odds to get 8 places
That could be a very good bet Kris.
I’m kind of maxed out on outsiders so have added Laws of Spin at 25s hoping he deals with his penalty OK.I will go with these:
Who Dares Wins 10s EW
Dubawi Fifty 16s EW
Euchen Glen 18s EW
Aurora Gray 50s EWGood luck everybody!
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