- This topic has 366 replies, 54 voices, and was last updated 8 years, 7 months ago by
.
-
Posts
-
If I were Nicholls I’d pull Just A Par out and go for a repeat Bet365.
Come on Paul, you know it makes sense.Value Is EverythingThanks for that Ginger, I had somehow thought the cut off was 11am. I feel like
a reprieved man on death row now……at least for 2 hours
Cheers for the updated National guide, couldn’t agree more with you on
Bishops Road
Well done, GingerT, with the detailed racecard. I’ll stick to Jonjo’s doorshutter, 7 of 10 in your guide, will do
With the likelihood of softer ground than last year Kentucky, stamina might be a problem and I’ve reduced Shutthefrontdoor to a 6.
Value Is EverythingShame Bishops Road doesn’t get in.
Although it does mean The Last Samuri and Many Clouds have an even greater chance. Value Is EverythingShame Bishops Road doesn’t get in.
Although it does mean The Last Samuri and Many Clouds have an even greater chance. Oh cheers Ginge, I feel a lot better now
Just jesting Ginge, I still have Holywell, O’Faolains Boy and Buywise.
I might have another look to top up though.Don’t forget you’ll get your money back on Bishops Road.
Many Clouds is 8/1 top price today, I wonder if one or two will go 10/1 tomorrow for the publicity.
Value Is EverythingOne or two bookies usually go 10s or evens 12s the field early doors when the shops open.
Don’t forget you’ll get your money back on Bishops Road.
Many Clouds is 8/1 top price today, I wonder if one or two will go 10/1 tomorrow for the publicity.
Yep, PP were quick enough, it was back in my account by 1.10pm.
I doubt I’ll get a better price today than I will early doors tomorrow,
so I’ll just keep it as a bit of ammunition as this point.Times are quite a bit faster today, proper good-soft. But lot of rain forecast overnight.
The ones I believe their chance will be greatly enhanced (if it comes) ie very soft/heavy are:
Goonyella, Vics Canvas, The Romford Pele, Onenightinvienna, On His Own and Soll.
Value Is EverythingBy the looks of the weather forecast it will be soft for the national.
UNIONISTE acts on soft ground and I think he has a massive chance of getting in the frame running off 10-8. 33/1 is still good value in my eyes.
Definitely going to back Goonyella if theres a few mill of rain. My others are
Silviniaco Conti, Saint Are & O’faolains Boy
Good luck all
Times are quite a bit faster today, proper good-soft. But lot of rain forecast overnight.
The ones I believe their chance will be greatly enhanced (if it comes) ie very soft/heavy are:
Goonyella, Vics Canvas, The Romford Pele, Onenightinvienna, On His Own and Soll.
Little bit surprised you have suggested Onenightinvienna and The Romford Pele. Both have got better win to run ratios on ground better ground than soft.
Times are quite a bit faster today, proper good-soft. But lot of rain forecast overnight.
The ones I believe their chance will be greatly enhanced (if it comes) ie very soft/heavy are:
Goonyella, Vics Canvas, The Romford Pele, Onenightinvienna, On His Own and Soll.
Little bit surprised you have suggested Onenightinvienna and The Romford Pele. Both have got better win to run ratios on ground better ground than soft.
Ratios don’t matter Stilvi, it’s the level of ability shown that counts and it’s just as much about the emphasis on stamina as the actual surface itself. In my opinion both will be very well suited/improve for an extreme test. 4 1/4 miles on heavy would be like 5 miles on good-soft.
Value Is EverythingWell the big day is here, and for the first time ever, I don’t really have a standout #1 fancy.
I probably like Rule The World the most out of my book, but that maiden tag he has is a worry, but regardless, I can see him doing better than his odds suggest.
Double Ross is a horse who has won me a lot of money over the last 2 years, and he was my third biggest bet of the season in The Paddy Power. He did the business that day, I had him at 33’s, and was great to see him get 4th, but on his return here in December, he seemed to hate it.
Pendra is a hard one to weigh up. He was going to be the cornerstone of my book, as I was fairly confident, he’d come to the fore for this race, as the season progressed. It did not go to plan. After his Ascot win, he reportedly finished lame there next time, though he’s also reportedly been trained solely for this race. If it wasn’t for my early money on him, I wouldn’t even consider him. Having not laid off a bean, I’ll win a fortune if he wins, 3 times bigger than my previous single win on a horse, Will this happen? Erm, no!!!
Gilgamboa has a touch of class about him, but hard to make a case for him over this trip, though arguably one of the better horses in the race.
Of the 4 I put up as horses of interest, I’ve whittled it down to Ballynagour & Ucello Conti, and I’ve reluctantly left the Curtis pair, depsite her recent good form.
The 33’s is still there on Ucello Conti, and he still looks very backable, while Ballynagour still appeals at the prices. I just worry about the overnight rain for Ballynagour.
I’m going to take my chances on Vics Canvas at a huge price. I’ve bet him 4 times over the last 2 seasons, and if I’m going to bet an outsider, it might as well be him, he rarely runs a bad one. I’d hate him to win, and get the feeling I got when Eastlake won yesterday.
Final Picks then, and it’s…..
Ucello Conti 33’s ew 5 Places
Vics Canvas 100’s 5 Places
Rule The World 180’s
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.