1000 Guineas 2014

My Oaks fancy

Taghrooda

has been entered for the 1000 Guineas as well now. It previously showed she was only in the Oaks. Although I expect her to come into her own over further than a mile, it is interesting that they have seen fit to put her in at Newmarket. A good run will see her odds cut for Epsom and I’ll take a punt that she will make the frame at the attractive looking 40/1 on offer.

Taghrooda, 10pts e/w 40/1

I see Miss France is out to a whopping 5/1 with Coral after todays run. I wonder what price they would have made her had she won?

It’s ridiculous Nathan, particularly when you consider Vorda, who finished ahead of her today, is 20/1

As I said earlier, it looks ripe for something lightly raced to improve past the lot of those who made headlines last season and win from way down the ante-post list. I just hope it’s one of my two huge priced dark shots!

Not a lot of interest in this race on the forum this year. Perhaps it’s too open for many to form an opinion yet.

There is some discrepancy with the odds for Tapestry at the moment with Ladbrokes as tight as 7/2, while Stan James are a comparatively whopping 8/1.

Interestingly, Ladbrokes are not quoting Miss France at the moment, so perhaps they know something that those 5/1 Favourite merchants at Coral haven’t manage to pull out of the ether yet.

Ihtimal is as low as 6/1 now but I think that’s an awful price. For sure she will be fit, having had two races in Meydan during February, winning both times but those races were Listed and then Gp3 company where she was 5/4fav and then 4/11 fav, so it was hardly world beating stuff. The races were on Tapeta and the second race was over 10f, making it a very different test to that she will face at Newmarket. She’s had eight races now and I think some will progress past her, if they are not, arguably, already there. I think 6/1 is appalling.

I wouldn’t grudge old Clive a win with Rizeena, or the late, great, Sir Henry a fairytale with the forgotten Joyeuse, who is friendless and out with the double carpet girls now in the betting.

Maybe the next 10 days or so will see a performance that propels something clear at the top of the market.

I hope My Titania can reward Bozlike’s faith and land him some money. The man was deranged enough mentally to nominate me as the poster of the year and he clearly needs a win to put his mind straight! Cheers Tom and good luck.

The man was deranged enough mentally to nominate me as the poster of the year

Steve if billion was joint winner once then there is hope for us all.

Since I saw her sluice up at Newmarket I’ve been a fan of

Vorda

, she won much easier than the three quarter length suggested and she’s my choice to win this years 1000 Guineas.
I do like Miss France but if the Xcellence form holds good then she won’t beat Vorda.

Any filly that can come within 1 length of No Nay Never, as Vorda did in the Prix Morny, is good enough for me and Rizeena was 3rd and she goes straight to the race. I’m discounting the Santa Anita form hoping she’ll do her best work in Europe this year.

Lucky Kristale

is my

each way

selection, if she has trained on this season she’ll get closer to Vorda than last time.

Vorda

currently 20/1

Lucky Kristale

14/1 (EW)

Jac

Pricewise tomorrow and

Rizeena

,

My Titania

and

Lucky Kristale

all blue across the board. Anyone any the wiser who’s got the nod? I’d presume

Rizeena

by the leap to favouritism but I’m too impatient to wait until morning to find out for sure

I know he’s tipped the Spanish horse for the 2000G. That is the one I would have given myself, purely on the variety in the prices, with 25/1 available in places and as low as 14/1 in others.

I would guess Lucky Kristale has the nod judging by 10/1 or less in places now. She would have been my selection last year if I thought she would get the trip but it nagged me enough not to have a bet and my gut feeling is she won’t get home, particularly if there is cut in the ground.

I’ll stick with my two rank outsiders for some fun and avoid anything single figures in an open looking renewal. I can’t have that Spanish horse NooNoo Canary (or whatever) for the 2000G and I’ll leave him to Pricewise et al.

Can you Flat shrewdies advise on whether I should trade out on my 16s Ihtimal?

(Thinly veiled ‘it looks like I’m not as novicey as I thought on the Level’ thread)

Damn; I’ve just spent an hour or so looking at the 2,000gns; has Pricewise really tipped the Spanish horse because that’s the one I was going to have an ew on [early foal with several mentions of ‘quickened’ in it’s races]? Haven’t looked at the 1000gns yet.