Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › 2000 Guineas 2010
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Zenjah.
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- May 1, 2010 at 22:38 #293439
If St Nicholas Abbey is good enough, he can go and make the running at his "fast" pace himself, or as Aidan describes it – "even." Any of them can. But when O’Brien puts pacemakers in a race, the pace isn’t even or fair, it’s more like suicidal. It’s not as though Makfi stole it from the front. The best horse won, and he won with something in hand imo.
May 1, 2010 at 22:52 #293445Will certainly go down as one of my favorite guineas ever, fencing master would have been a better result 4 me but makfi is my best classic result 2 date nonetheless. I think fencing master was given a terrible ride 2day, it looked 2 me like he was pacesetting 4 sna who covered him most of the way. I’ll probably play fm in the sjp if theres a decent price 4 it. Have 2 hold my hands up with the winner though, it was value that attracted me, thought he should have been much shorter, as did plenty of others. I think the amount of people who were on him on here shows what a great forum this is. Cockney rebel didnt get the reception mafki did.
Well done for backing him, Bul. I didn’t really give him a second look after noticing he had won his two victories on ‘very soft’ ground!
Some criticised Hughes’ ride on Canford Cliffs – the guy did everything right, in my opinion, but I agree with you regarding the ride (or tactics) employed on Fencing Master. Very perplexing.
I’m unsure whether the horse was meant to be that far back in the Dewhurst, but it was certainly effective and the way he ran on that day suggested the extra furlong would be ideal.
I considered him a Derby prospect that day, but I’m almost certain he wouldn’t get twelve furlongs in a horse box, let alone a horse race. He looks a genuine ten furlong horse with the ability to compete over a mile, given the right conditions.
If he’s covered up at the Curragh, I can see that race suiting him more than most, but Canford Cliffs is the ideal sort for the St James’ Palace Stakes, in my opinion.
May 1, 2010 at 23:06 #293449I read Makfi was deemed surplus to requirements at Tregonings yard because when he went through the virus ravaged campaign of last year, Makfi was one that they thought had too much taken out of him by the virus and it would be better if they could get whatever money out of him by selling him.
May 1, 2010 at 23:32 #293451everyones entitle to there opinion JohnJ, what did you back btw? i just dont see why the team adopted different tactics, after it hacked up in the coventry and is apparently bombing on the gallops.
May 1, 2010 at 23:41 #293452Fencing Master, I didn’t think there was a problem with the ride he was given, looks like he needed the run.
On the matter of CC, he was held up as the trip was an unknown, he was ridden with this in mind. Calling Hughes what you did, does not qualify as an opinion IMO.
JohnJ
May 2, 2010 at 01:47 #293456
AnonymousInactive- Total Posts 17716
Though it might not be the fastest race ever run, I cannot see that the race wasn’t a proper test, and I doubt whether a stronger early pace would have made that much difference. The Guineas was certainly the fastest race of the day, less that half a second slower than Sea The Stars win last year, and only 2.28 secs slower than the course record, held by the 4yo Eagle Mountain, so those crabbing the result on the strength of the pace really are clutching at straws, imo.
Incidentally, I still believe that Viscount Nelson was there to set the pace – KF hinted so much in a pre-race interview when he said the horse was there to do "a job". That the horse was last and being harried along after 100 yds, (much as he had been at the Breeder’s Cup) can hardly be laid at the jockey’s door, though.
Didn’t think it was a great race as Guineas go, but I’d be amazed if the winner doesn’t prove a top class horse. SNA might still be up against it at a fast ground Epsom, and his best hope might be another soft ground Irish Derby – much like the other boat that won it last year.
May 2, 2010 at 03:51 #293457Well done Bulwark, could not have happened to a better person – a thoroughly enjoyable and unassuming contributor.
Canford Cliffs was very solid given the difficulties in riding him quieter. He can turn the tables on Makfi @ Ascot, which will be an enthralling contest in itself.
Al Zir was extremely fiery and gave Dettori no peace, who I think was focused squarely on Johnny Murtagh next to him the whole way. He looked certain to drop off SNA until Makfi parted the Red Sea and all the energies used when missing the jump and over-racing left him on empty. Really like this colt, has a future at G1 level.
May 2, 2010 at 07:44 #293470Hi Big Buck’s,
Hope Fryern didn’t lose his shirt on EP
He ran a good race and ‘won’ his side. Very promising. If you use ratio betting you don’t lose your shirt!
I had a very good day as I spotted Tartan Gigha (14-1 bet365.com at 12.13) in the first. Now you won’t believe me but if you don’t I can post the tweet/link.
Well done to the few who spotted the winner. All those rude about Xtension he was a great ratio bet with Stan James as was the winner.
May 2, 2010 at 08:26 #293472Cheers 2 everyone 4 the congratulations but there were quite a few who backed him also. Think makfi will prove pretty solid this season but i think elusive pimp could be a good one for europe in the breeders cup yet. Fencing master moved very well on the ground and im sure he has a group1 or so in him. Sna lost nothin in defeat, authorizeds international win on gd ground was probably the best performance by a montjeu short of 1m4f, so a fast ground guineas always seemed a big ask. Think itll be a good season ahead
.May 2, 2010 at 08:53 #293476Canford Cliffs was very solid given the difficulties in riding him quieter. He can turn the tables on Makfi @ Ascot, which will be an enthralling contest in itself.
I agree. Looking at the early stages of the race, it appeared plain obvious that Canford Cliffs wanted to do his own thing since he has a natural high-cruising speed and, perhaps, denying him from doing so may have cost him a couple of vital lengths that could’ve made the difference. Of course, this was one of those ‘trial and error’ tactics that no-one can be blamed for. I also fancy him turning the tables on Makfi (and Dick Turpin too).
May 2, 2010 at 21:31 #293790A big let down of a race for me,its a shame they split into 3 groups and that there was not more pace on early.For me what spoilt it,there were to many no hoper’s who shouldn’t of been in the field in the race,and its pretty clear coolmore are not that interested in this race anymore so i wouldn’t be backing any of there horses for this classic anymore.
May 2, 2010 at 22:07 #293803St Nicholas deffo found it all happening too quickly. I found O’Brien’s post-race comments somewhat disconcerting. Is it just me or did he seem to suggest that the 2000 Guineas was not the horse’s main target?! Tis very confusing for punters, if a horse is not fully wound up for a race of this nature when will it be…the Derby? Unless it flops in that and then the Breeder’s Cup becomes its ultimate target for the season.
Surely a horse should just be giving its best all the time …
Certainly in a classic!Maybe he was just making excuses….pace of the race etc.
Zip
May 2, 2010 at 22:17 #293805The pace was def a factor,other jockeys mentioned it as well,but your right about the guineas not being sna main target
May 2, 2010 at 23:40 #293821I cannot see that the race wasn’t a proper test, and I doubt whether a stronger early pace would have made that much difference. The Guineas was certainly the fastest race of the day, less that half a second slower than Sea The Stars win last year, and only 2.28 secs slower than the course record, held by the 4yo Eagle Mountain, so those crabbing the result on the strength of the pace really are clutching at straws, imo.
Surely a joke, Reet? 2 1/2L covered 2nd to 8th. Look at them after 4 furlongs, not even 5 lengths from first to last. Of course the time won’t reflect the slow pace. If you go slow early on and then sprint, everything will balance out. A very silly race run at a silly pace. 3 Group 1s this weekend and every one of them wasn’t worth the paper they were written on.
May 3, 2010 at 01:38 #293828
AnonymousInactive- Total Posts 17716
I hear what you’re saying Zark, but while the early pace was slow (from whatever hand-timed sectionals can be gleaned from a head-on view), the 6th & 7th furlongs were very fast, and the horses slowed appreciably in the final furlong, which culminated in making the overall time pretty respectable.
The winner was accorded a t/s figure of 120, which would have seen him win 5 of the last 10 Guineas, and not out of a place in any of them, so the overall form should prove fairly reliable, imo.
Also, comparing the racetime with the only other c/d race on the same day (Oasis Dancer – run at a more even pace overall), Makfi comes out around 26lb the superior animal, which – considering OD will probably be rated around 100 for the win – suggests the Guineas winner certainly isn’t the donkey you seem to believe..May 3, 2010 at 03:45 #293830
AnonymousInactive- Total Posts 17716
St Nicholas deffo found it all happening too quickly. I found O’Brien’s post-race comments somewhat disconcerting. Is it just me or did he seem to suggest that the 2000 Guineas was not the horse’s main target?! Tis very confusing for punters, if a horse is not fully wound up for a race of this nature when will it be…the Derby? Unless it flops in that and then the Breeder’s Cup becomes its ultimate target for the season.
Surely a horse should just be giving its best all the time …
Certainly in a classic!Maybe he was just making excuses….pace of the race etc.
Zip
Zip
Just an observation, but it would be wrong to think all the horses are trying all the time – even in the very top races. One only has to think back to the previous Guineas to see how both Rip Van Winkle and Mastercraftsman were ridden very differently to their subsequent 1m victories to see that isn’t the case.
The really top trainers plan their best horses’ campaign for the full season (making whatever adjustments are shown necessary along the way) – not just from one big race to the next.May 3, 2010 at 09:26 #293850Just an observation, but it would be wrong to think all the horses are trying all the time – even in the very top races. One only has to think back to the previous Guineas to see how both Rip Van Winkle and Mastercraftsman were ridden very differently to their subsequent 1m victories to see that isn’t the case.
Never a truer word spoken,particularly regarding Mastercraftsmans 2000gns run!Hindsight shows a fit Master would have finished a close up 2nd to Sea the Stars!

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