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I still think Awzaan is perhaps a bit too long a price – I’d’ve thought he would be around the 7s mark.
Will be interesting to see whether SNA is all he’s cracked up to be, though.
Twitter=@PGHenn
So don't run, just like the others always do
I’ve taken an exchange position at ridiculous figures about Viscount Nelson.
He’s part of my 7 who fit the speed/stamina spread.
The way he’s bred anything he did at two was always going to be a bonus. Despite that his form isn’t bad.
O’Brien warned us his are better for a run.
Fallon seems to have crept up on the beast almost unnoticed by the wider public.
He’s at the top end of the stamina bracket so he needs a strong pace but could kick early, get first run and wear them down from the front. His draw position enables him to lay up just near the shoulder of the flank centre far pinning the field in then bounce and get first run. And if there is any softening of the going I don’t think that harms him.
Stranger things have happened at Sea
Imo, Viscount Nelson is simply there to set the pace for SNA, and there’s no finer judge than KF, which is why he’s riding him.
Still say there up against it though, without help from the weather, and still say with no rain a miler will win it – as they usually do.
It’s a theory but with such a big field and several potential non-stayers doubtful there was ever going to be a lack of pace.
SNA is a strange one IMO. Favorites have a terrible record in the 2000 guineas. Racing Post trophy winners dont have a great record in the guineas (in recent years at least). Montjeu hasnt had a top class miler. Newmarket is gd-fm which surely wont help him. Everything about him screams derby horse 2 me. But that is what is most strange about him IMO, AO’B never sends horses like him 2 newmarket, they go ballysax derrinstown derby, so aiden must think SNA is a bit special. I’ll avoid him and stick with fencing master, but i think theres obviously a chance we may see something special 2day if he’s right about SNA. The guineas never fails 2 get me excited.
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People are saying SNA will go for the triple crown. If that’s true i’m quite happy for him to win this today. It’d be great for the St Ledger. If he didn’t win today though would he lengthen for the derby? I would definately back him a bit if he did.
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I maintain that Dick Turpin is being severely underestimated, but I’m actually considering laying St Nicholas Abbey for a place at this point. Doing so isn’t going to break the bank and I still have a nagging feeling that he was hugely flattered by the apparent ease of his Racing Post Trophy victory. Conditions were very much in his favour and although he seemed to quicken well (perhaps even too well) for a son of Montjeu, I just can’t see a horse who won three times over a mile as a juvenile being quick enough to win a Guineas. Today’s faster ground is also an unknown.
Elusive Pimpernel didn’t beat all that much in the Craven, Awzaan and Canford Cliffs simply won’t stay, Xtension probably ran right up to his best in the Dewhurst (and so shouldn’t beat Fencing Master) and Inler doesn’t appeal having only beaten Halsion Chancer in a gallop.
The race is, in my opinion at least, far more competitive than the market suggests.
The most difficult race to win in a triple crown effort is the Guineas according to John Oxx.To be ready for the Guineas and have the speed to win it that is the real challenge for a St Leger horse.
Wow Odds on in places….
Is turning into a good trade for me because i backed him at 6/4 if i can get any of those odds on backers on Betfair i may trade and just enjoy the race.
Not likely though
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If he goes odds on at Betfair plenty of laying will be done by me.
It’s apt that the last odds on beaten Guineas fave also has a runner engaged. It can’t win either.
I’m quite happy with my little ew’s on Al Zir, Makfi [my lucky dip horse] and Hearts of Fire, but, as a fully paid up member of the ’tilt at windmills brigade’, along with his trainer, Fair Trade is calling to me. Really looking forward to the race race, though, with no expectations of winning anything.
38K In between 2.22 and 2.3 on Betfair ready to back. This is going off odds on with the main bookies for sure.
St Nicholas Abbey looked a Million Dollars.
His coat was beautiful….
Agreed – he looks gorgous and a proper athlete. Appeared very calm in the pre-parade ring, too.
Despite opposing St. Nick, if he does win I hope he does so in the same manner as his Racing Post Trophy success.
Looking at the 13.55, the majority look certain to come down middle, as expected. I expect Frankie to spearhead the pack on Al Zir from his perfect pitch in the middle (10).
This promises to be a cracking contest – the most competitive field I’ve seen in a very long time. Really looking forward to it.
Pat Eddery on C4…there’s no Zafonic in this field, though!
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