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Now that Richard Hughes has decided to remain faithful to Sky Lantern I’m hoping that she will reverse the placings with Hot Snap and take the Guineas, she is, at least, a good each way bet. Hot Snap was so impressive in the Nell Gwyn but hoping that without the 3lb penalty and a bit of luck Sky Lantern will win or at least gain a place. However, can’t rule out the French challenger What A Name who ran 2nd to Olympic Glory in a fillies and colts race in France last year and has won 2 Group 3’s also in France. She may not want the ground too firm and she hasn’t won over a mile yet, but she won all her races comfortably which could see her get the extra furlong and the uphill finish.
What A Name (win)
Sky Lantern (EW)
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...I am unsure how to view the booking of Oliver Peslier for Maureen. Obviously, Richard Hughes riding would have been ideal for stable confidence. Peslier’s booking gives me more confidence than the choice of Pat Dobbs would have, but still isn’t ideal.
Nevertheless, Hughes does have a flimsy belief that Maureen needs soft ground. There is no racecourse evidence to suggest that she doesn’t go on good, so I remain faithful. Maybe I do know how I feel after all!
- Total Posts 764
I like Big Break (16/1) and Agent Allison (26/1) at the current prices on the exchanges, they seem good value.
Sir Henry’s filly will do for me. She handles the course, travels well, will stay and more importantly, will quicken when asked. All the ingredients needed for a 1000 Guineas winner.
Gambling Only Pays When You're Winning
What A Name for me has the strongest form in the book, Dezangles has had two runners in Guineas Classics and has had a winner and a place, got to be a confident selection.
judging by the prices on betfair, Rasyemaa will be Weld’s only representative in the race
We have all seen the perils of getting carried away with what in reality was a very uncompetitive Craven Stakes. The Nell Gwyn looked a more solid yardstick but you do wonder just how good last year’s batch of 2yo fillies were and the way Hot Snap trounced them was almost too good to be true. Will she pick up in the same way again? At the prices I think the percentage call is to say no.
Still searching for the 100/1 winner so have backed Celtic Filly [who?] about whom I know nothing except her TS is very low but she seems to battle in inferior races to this and is, at least, by Footsepsinthesand. And could be anything
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We have all seen the perils of getting carried away with what in reality was a very uncompetitive Craven Stakes. The Nell Gwyn looked a more solid yardstick but you do wonder just how good last year’s batch of 2yo fillies were and the way Hot Snap trounced them was almost too good to be true. Will she pick up in the same way again? At the prices I think the percentage call is to say no.
I agree the fav looks too short and much will depend on how good Sky Lantern really is this year. Just The Judge seems friendless apart from some ante-post business when she was around 16/1 and the stable has to prove they can do what the old man has done in the past. I was in Ladbrokes today and they were offering golden lock in odds on What A Name of 6/1, I reckon that’s pretty good value and have had a few quid on. I’ll be very surprised if she is not in the first 3.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Bookmakers must be raising a glass to Richard Hannon. Completely bombs out with Toronado and then upsets the market leaders with the ‘exposed’ Sky Lantern. Could Spencer have waited a little bit longer? Given her relative weakness in the market over the past couple of days I would suggest the runner up is probably the one to take out of the race.
I would suggest the runner up is probably the one to take out of the race.
I’d say that Hot Snap is the one to watch in the future.
While there’s a possibility that she was flattered by her Nell Gwyn success, the fact that Sky Lantern has won today, with Winning Express beaten a nose for third, serves to underline the strength of that particular classic trial. Maybe the favourite found this race coming too quickly or perhaps the ground was too firm; it must be noted that both of Cecil’s runners at HQ yesterday finished last so, despite Chigun’s fine effort in the Dahlia Stakes, the yard may be under a bit of a cloud.
Whatever the reasons for her disappointing showing today, I’m more than willing to give Hot Snap another chance.
I think the reason for hot snap’s disappointing display is far more simple- she’s just not that good.
So you’re ignoring the fact that she was green, backward and still beat the Guineas first and fourth comfortably on only her second racecourse appearance? As I said, she may have been flattered but I’ll give her the benefit of the doubt for now, given the stable’s poor form.
Not sure about the stable’s poor form? Strikes me they have been winning some decent races with outsiders and losing with the seemingly more fancied ones. This has prompted some commentators to suggest the stable was in flying form.
Hot Snap was well supported today and for whatever reason turned in a dismal performance. Yes, it is a possibility she could bounce back but equally the Nell Gwyn might represent the pinnacle of her career. I would much prefer to follow a horse that continues on an upward curve and at this stage doesn’t need excuses, justified or otherwise.
Not sure about the stable’s poor form? Strikes me they have been winning some decent races with outsiders and losing with the seemingly more fancied ones. This has prompted some commentators to suggest the stable was in flying form.
Said commentators need shooting. No winners from the stable’s last twelve runners, with
both Noble Mission and Kyllachy Rise (the latter admittedly in the face if a very stiff task, although that is balanced by Noble Mission going off favourite) both last in their respective races yesterday, doesn’t exactly constitute "flying form". The stable’s last winner was on 26th April.Hot Snap was well supported today
She was backed this morning but drifted on course.
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