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CheltenhamSpecialist.
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- January 25, 2010 at 16:59 #13906
Here’s a system that produces 100% winners and has run an original $20 bet into a profit of over $120,000 or £20 into over £120,000 if you prefer. This system requires no handicapping and is very easy to play.
Simply bet on a horse named Zenyatta.
Here is the proof that it works. (no matter how I edit this, it seems to eliminate the spacing between columns and run it together, so I’ve used dashes to keep the columns somewhat aligned. If anyone knows how to paste a table with proper spacings here please tell me.)
Col A Race – B Odds – C Winnings – D Beginning Bet
Maiden———–5.5——–$130———-$20
Allowance——–1.2——–$286
El Encino———1.2——–$629
Apple Blossom–1.8——$1,762
MiLady————0.3——$2,290
Vanity————–0.3——$2,977
Clement Hirsch–0.6——$4,764
Lady’s Secret—-0.7——-$8,098
BC LC————0.5——-$12,148
MiLady———–0.2——-$14,577
Vanity————-0.3——-$18,950
Clement Hirsch-0.2——-$22,740
Lady’s Secret—0.4——–$31,837
BC Classic——2.8——-$120,979I calculated this in an Excel spreadsheet, rounding off the totals to whole dollars. The A column was the name of the race, The B column the closing odds and the C column the total wagering bankroll as calculated by my formula. The lone entry in the D column was the original starting bet. The formula I used for the first cell in the C column was =D1*B1+D1 where B1 was the odds (5.5) and D1(20) the original bet. For subsequent totals I used =(C1*B2)+C1, =(C2*B3)+C2 etc. The C column was the bankroll that was wagered and the B column the odds. The result was displayed in the next C column entry.
The beauty of this system is that you don’t have to sweat it out like someone who has been playing it for over two years. You can start playing the system right now. Next time Zenyatta runs, simply get over to your local bank with a large, empty briefcase and fill it up with 120,979 in crisp new pound notes. Trot over to your friendly neighborhood betting shop, plop your briefcase on the counter and say "Zenyatta to win". Enjoying the expression on the face of the bookmaker when you open your case is an added bonus.
OK, maybe towards the latter stages of this progression your bets might have the undesirable effects of somewhat lowering the odds of your payouts and greatly increasing your heartrate and blood pressure. What the hell we’re in this game for the excitement aren’t we?
This is basically an anti-martingale system that is the opposite of the martingale-like double up on losing favorites until you win system previously mentioned in this section. This example does demonstrate the power of the parlay (i.e. taking your winnings on one horse, including your original bet, and betting it all on another horse in another race or the same horse in their next race). If you hit two 5 to 1 horses you will make 35 times your original bet, just as if you had hit a 35-1 shot. For example, bet 2 pounds on a 5-1 shot, win and receive 12 pounds (return of your 2 pound wager plus your 10 pound winnings). Bet 12 pounds on the next horse at 5-1 and get back 72 pounds or a 35-1 payout on your original 2 pound wager. You will have to judge for yourself if hitting two consecutive 5-1 shots is easier or harder than a single 35-1 horse with your current handicapping system.
As the Zenyatta example illustrates, even a horse that is often an odds-on favorite can produce a considerable payout after several consecutive wins. What if you had started backing Sea the Stars at the beginning of his 8 race winning streak, or just started at the beginning of his 6 group 1 wins? What if last 2009 racing season you had been using this parlay system backing Sea the Stars 6-race winning streak, Rachel Alexandra’s 8 race unbeaten run and Zenyatta’s 5 races unbeaten run? Either as three different parlays or all together. Place and Show parlays also offer somewhat safer possibilities for long winning streaks but the growth is slower and you might consider backing up your win parlay with one of these. Another possibility is setting a top bet, say 200 pounds. When your parlay hits 200 pounds, stop increasing your bets and just continue betting 200 pounds a race and collecting the winnings as long as your horses winning run continues.
The question you have to ask yourself is how would you feel if you lost? If, using the Zenyatta example above, you had increased your racing bankroll to 8,098 pounds just prior to last years Breeders Cup Ladies Classic, bet the whole 8,098 to win and Zenyatta ran second, beaten by a nose. Would you think, oh well I’m really only out 20 pounds from where I started or would you think what a mug I just blew 8,098 pounds?
OK, here’s how to play in 2010. When the flat racing season starts, pick out 5-10 or so of the most promising prospects for running off a series of wins. Start a parlay on each one, maybe using a 2 to 5 pound starting wager to keep things more under control. Continue backing any horse that keeps winning until;
A.) You have won so much money that you can’t stand to bet it on the next race and you cash in.
B.) Your horse ends their racing career and you cash in or
C.) You go insane after betting thousands of pounds and losing by a nose after your horse is interfered with in the stretch by the 5th place finisher.
Have Fun and Good Luck.
January 25, 2010 at 19:16 #272056I tried this with a horse called Quixall Crosset after seeing his name on loads of threads on here and figuring he must be pretty good to attract all that attention.
Slightly different outcome to the Zenyatta example above I’m afraid.
January 25, 2010 at 19:21 #272060I tried this with a horse called Quixall Crosset after seeing his name on loads of threads on here and figuring he must be pretty good to attract all that attention.
Slightly different outcome to the Zenyatta example above I’m afraid.
Not if you had laid him instead!
January 26, 2010 at 10:39 #272120A some what long, weird but fascinating read from someone who seems to have discovered the road to untold riches is an accumulator
January 27, 2010 at 05:39 #272308A some what long, weird but fascinating read from someone who seems to have discovered the road to untold riches is an accumulator

Thank You, I think

At least for the "fascinating read" part. I know that a parlay or accumulator system isn’t a revolutionary idea or an infallible road to untold riches but in 2009 it would have worked extraordinarily well with the top grade horses STS, RA and Z.
I am not even close to such a large punter that bookies quake with fear when I walk in the room, but I bet heavily, for me, on Zenyatta in her recent races, often keying her in exotics, and did quite well in the BCC when I got some decent odds. That got me wondering what would have happened letting a bet ride for all 14 wins, hence the Excel calculation.
I plan to try this system or some variant in 2010 on some horses I have my eye on and let the bet accumulate for at least 3-5 races depending on the odds and growth rate. Do you have a favorite parlay or accumulator system that you would care to share here?
February 5, 2010 at 18:01 #274193I believe it was known as the

Gambling Only Pays When You're Winning
February 5, 2010 at 18:20 #274196I tried this with a horse called Quixall Crosset after seeing his name on loads of threads on here and figuring he must be pretty good to attract all that attention.
Slightly different outcome to the Zenyatta example above I’m afraid.

gc
Jeremy Grayson. Son of immigrant. Adoptive father of two. Metadata librarian. Freelance point-to-point / horse racing writer, analyst and commentator wonk. Loves music, buses, cats, the BBC Micro, ale. Advocate of CBT, PACE and therapeutic parenting. Aspergers.
February 5, 2010 at 18:23 #274197Ribot!!! Yes I like it!!
It’s a bit late now for
FOR BILL
but I feel she’s got a few more wins in her still, I believe she’ll have two more runs this season. I’ve backed her in her last five races, should have had this system opperating!
February 5, 2010 at 18:30 #274201The only other (unbeaten) contender would be
AN SIORRAC
, if he comes back next season with no side effects from his lay off it’s going to take one hell of a horse to beat him
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