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Thanks everyone
Really unlucky Ginge, Jukebox ran a cracker
Not often a plan comes together, made my Cheltenham that.
Agree greenasgrass
Stronger and filled out this year and READIN TOMMY looks a stayer in the making also and LISNAGAR was picking up nicely in the closing stages in that race and a strongly run Martin Pipe will suit I think. Strange as he is not entered in any novice races (taken out) so it makes me wonder if this is Mullins Handicap plot. Say it quietly
LISNAGAR FORTUNE
Cracking form against READIN TOMMY WRONG (short head between them), crying for a step up in trip. Horse he beat last time (JASKO DES DAMES) has collateral form with JIRORO (JASKO beat JIROKO in France) who ran behind TULLYHILL today and MYSTICAL POWER previously. LISNAGAR FORTUNE comes out very favourably when you start to look.
Interesting to see if entered and what mark he would get?
He has been softly softly this season but has very good form when you scratch the surface…..
Small bet on GABBYS CROSS at 33/1 ew for me. Well in on his hurdle mark compared to his chase.
We shall see……
My ante-post horse ran today and very pleased with him…….
STELLAR STORY 33/1 ew
A full brother to THE STORYTELLER (who knew his way around Cheltenham)
I have been topping up all summer and pleased to say the form is coming together
Stellar Story was 5th in his first bumper but won his second race last season (Green as grass) beating ANY ROAD (won his first hurdle race last week).
Ran and beat ILE ATLANTIQUE in his last run of the season and you could see the penny drop half way up the run in and he got up close home, a stayer through and through. ILE ATLANTIQUE won last week also first run over hurdles. ILE ATLANTIQUE also got beat roughly the same distance by FIREFOX and he also won last week.
When STELLAR STORY beat ILE ATLATIQUE that day 4 lengths 3rd was CALDWELL POTTER who ran IT’S FOR ME to a length and a half last Thursday at Punchestown.
STELLAR STORY won at Navan today and the further he went the better.
Bet in on the strength of that today but I’m really looking forward to this horse, tough as old boots and loves a battle
“Yogi, something surely has to go wrong for Fay to go to a NH CHASE. When has Nicholls sent his best staying chasers there? Given everything he’s said is 100% BANC i can’t see it.”
Hi Jack
Absolutely agree, when all the hype surrounded GW going to stay over hurdles I covered my bet on him and then thought what could I do for a cover for BANC if this were to happen? STAY AWAY FAY for any race at 8/1 I thought was reasonable value but now GW seemingly back in the mix I was hoping FAY would step up but like you. I can’t really see it to be honest.
Where do they go with GERHARD ? That was a heavy fall today and I certainly can’t bet him going forward, too risky as confidence surely knocked out of him now
Greengrass – I’ve done the same as you and echo your sentiments ….
ABSOLUTE NOTIONS 50/1 EW
GAELIC WARRIOR at 14’s ew early doors then the media hype regarding the Stayers Division there for the taking so went in with WH to win any race at 7/2. Happy with the 14’s
STAY AWAY FAY to win any race at 8/1 (Hoping Nicholls would choose the NH Chase)
Also did GRANGECLARE WEST for the Turners at 32’s on the exchange this morning plus a screwy 12/1 to win any race.
Knowing my luck all three will turn up here…..DOH
I’ve done PANDA BOY EW at 66/1 after his first run behind Minella Indo at Punchestown, tailed off today (surprise, surprise) over 2 miles. A plot is coming with this lad in a handicap over a distance/marathon trip…..
NOTLONGTILLMAY looked fantastic in the paddock when I was there last month, Ran well over 2 miles and should be spot on for this. He will do for me in a tough looking handicap, speculative EW at 14/1.
Limerick is renowned for getting like a bog and at Christmas is always testing, with so much rain this week I wonder how bad it will be? I will be looking for a horse that stays 4 miles let alone 3 and who will love the conditions…….
WALK AWAY for me. Clearly had its problems but has raced against good horses previously and should go on the ground and a nice low weight to boot.
7/2 still available with WH for any race
Mullins always stated with GDC he had the speed for 2 and the potential over 3. In hindsight no surprises to see GDC in Turners and we all know what should of happened and what did…..
GW has always looked like a “Thinker” of the game especially left handed but I honestly think he is growing up and hopefully matured with another summer on his back, Upped in trip and a fence in front of him can see him kick on at Cheltenham over 3 miles.
Mullins has surely played the long game with him and he is wishing and hoping that he gets the last laugh…
Very true Cork All Star and GDC ran his last race over hurdles being upped to 3 miles at the Punchestown Festival in the April before going novice chasing the following year if I remember correctly…..Pick a box, any box…. It’s a lottery alright
“What does this say about GDC if he’s already looking for another GC horse”
Nothing really in my opinion, Mullins has a conveyor belt of talent year after year and he is the best in the business, constantly evaluating his horses and moving them onto their best discipline whether that be hurdles over 2 or a staying chaser over 3.
He has a multitude of owners who trust him regardless and us punters who try and second guess where he will place his horses come the big festivals. Social media sites like on YouTube will have their opinions by enthusiasts of the game like us or sponsored content by bookmakers that I personally take with a pinch of salt,
God forbid that GDC stepped on a stone a week leading up to the GC. he would have nothing to go to war with. I really don’t blame Mullins and all trainers to be constantly improving and developing their horses and hopefully find one to become the next big thing or win a championship race they thought wasn’t possible previously….
I agree with all the thoughts regarding him hanging when running at Cheltenham but I’m going to throw a spanner in the works. He was second twice, raw the first time but he beat 19 other runners in that Boodles and second again last season in a G1 beating all other 8 horses apart from IMPAIRE ET PASSE. Mullins quote from that race – “he lost his earplugs on the way to the start, he’s a 3 miler and he will be a big strong chaser down the line”. Racing Post analysis stated that he is built like a chaser.
My initial thoughts were that jumping a fence and stepping up in distance, where things won’t be happening so quickly for him will be the making of him. First part achieved when stepped up to 3 at Punchestown. Another year older and looks a leading player come March.
I went straight in and have some lovely tasty prices on the Browns Advisory, when all this talk was bantered around about the Stayers I topped up at William Hill “To win any race” at 7/2. Glad I kept the faith.
To that point are we missing the elephant in the room?
IMPAIRE ET PASSE to avoid CH and step up from 2:5 when he won the Ballymore to the Stayers now that GW apparently goes chasing?
MarkTT
I Agree with him not running in a graded hurdle, I think he might of been a case of coming into this race through the side entrance (like THE NICE GUY).
I’ve had a close eye on him ever since the Cheltenham bumper run and he has always looked a big shell of a horse who will make a lovely novice chaser in the future. When he races he is not particularly quick (visually) but looks a stayer through and through and time is the essence, and I honestly think its been a case of slowly, slowly with him.
Not saying he is anything of a good thing but just a sneaking suspicion he is the fly in the ointment,
We shall see ( all about opinions)
SEABANK BISTRO – EW
