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Mike, can I ask what you made of the ground at Cartmel on Monday?
0.18s/f (good)
Cartmel 23 Jul 2018
02:15 Beach Break 2m1f 63
02:45 Alfie’s Choice 3m1½f 83
03:20 Short Flight 2m6f 42
03:50 Dear Sire 2m5f 98
04:25 Raise A Spark 2m1½f 107
04:55 Shake It Up 3m1½f 72
05:25 Stags Leap 2m1f 61Mike.
They are supplied by the firm who name is a famous south American river, then they are bought and adapted by private individuals with add-ons.
Using my USB firestick I was just watching Lovejoy on Drama, and the listed 2yo race at Sandown on RUK, I paid £64 for my firestick, I have even added my own stuff on the firestick, plenty of tutorials on YouTube on the subject.Mike.
Gingertipster – Do you think any race was truly run, Mike?
No…
Top Speed has the the going as firm at +0.40s/f, when we agree there is a 0.10s/f difference between us.Mike.
Virgin Media sent me a a customer service email this morning, on all the category’s I put zeros, in the comments box I typed “what the point”.
Some of the channels they removed you can view on freeview is this not taken the piss, being a resourceful person I bought one of those special firesticks off Ebay, setup wifi job sorted every channel at my disposal.
We all know that ATR in its current format is coming to an end in 2019, no problem get yourself a firestick.
With regards to BBC problem with on demand channels, if you watch television only using on demand, you do not require a television license, which is a rip off at £152 just to watch terrestrial television live.
These days I rarely watch racing on television, there is far too much racing, in 2019 there will be 1,511 meetings in the calendar.
Mike.
Due to the small fields at Bath yesterday, not one race dipped under RP standard time, this resulted in my going allowance being +0.49s/f (Firm)
+0.50s/f (firm)
+0.25s/f (good to firm)
0.00s/f (good)
-0.25s/f (good to soft)
-0.50s/f (soft)
-0.75s/f (soft to heavy)
-1.0s/f (heavy)Mike.
Bath going described as “Firm-hard in places” tomorrow.
The Racing Post are more diplomatic when it comes to publishing going allowance descriptions, for example if the going was hard, “Top Speed” will have his going allowance as “Firmx”.
“There is no doubt in my mind that Salouen put in a big career best as he was running on soft ground over 12f for the first time and was given a masterful ride by SDS. Time will obviously tell but it could well be that Cracksman put in a mid 120’s performance in winning that race….”
Salouen speed figures:
01-Jun-18 Eps C1G1 238K 1m4f 89
12-May-18 Asc C1L 26K 1m4f 70
30-Sep-17 Cha G2 97K 1m2f 94
15-Aug-17 Dea 3yG2 195K 1m2f 87
08-Jul-17 San C1G1 284K 1m2f 73
23-Jun-17 Asc C13yG2 128K 1m4f 75
03-Jun-17 Eps C13yG1 922K 1m4f 79Mike.
“What I meant by the opening post was that normally I’d expect a considerable Epsom stand rail bias on soft or heavy. I’d be interested to know if that is your experience?”
With the nature of the track and the famous camber, I don’t think I could honestly answer that question.
What did surprise me, in the Oaks they crossed over and came up the home straight on the stand side, in the Derby they stuck to the normal route along the far rail with the camber.Mike.
“Anyone else think the stand rail had an even greater advantage than usual at this meeting (considering it was far from bottomless)?”
Most racing professional or “the sheep” as I refer to them, wouldn’t know what a going allowance was, did any of them realise that the official going was soft on Friday then on Saturday is was given out as good, did they pull the plug out?
On Friday I had the going on the slow side of good at -0.13s/f, on Saturday I had track riding at +0.12s/f (good).
Friday’s rail movements at Epsom:
Rails: Rail out from 1m to winning post, effect on distances as follows; 6f +8y 7f +10y All races 1m+ +12y
8yds = 0.53s
10yds = 0.66s
12yds = 0.8sAs for Cracksman, there was nothing wrong with his run earning the top speed figure on the day of 89 which was 1lb better than Masar’s Derby figure of 88, for the record I do not use WFA as it corrupts my speed figures.
Going allowance table:
Firm +0.50s/f
Good to firm +0.25s/f
Good 0.00s/f
Good to soft -0.25s/f
Soft -0.50s/f
Soft to heavy -0.75s/f
Heavy -1.00s/f (there is no limit to heavy, I have had the going at Cork (IRE) at -3.20s/f (bottomless)FlatTurf2018: https://drive.google.com/open?id=1Fo12vn11NrT1mgHKBMY71hZqY0q_dok8
You can scroll the list.Mike.
You are spot on with your assessment that it was Billesdon Brook’s turn of foot that won her the day, off a slow pace.
The problem you now have, if she was to run at Royal Ascot where races are run at true pace, she won’t make the frame, and will probably start off as a false favourite.
With regards to the official going allowances, if I ever meet a professional that understands the subject I will be very surprised, it took me two years of study and rating thousands of meetings to even grasp the basics, as a rule of thumb on the flat I would use.
Fast +0.50s/f
Good to firm +0.25s/f
Good +0.00s/f
Good to slow -0.25s/f
Soft -0.50s/f
Soft to heavy -0.75s/f
Heavy -1.00s/fSo in retrospect, I had the going at +0.10s/f (good) which was slower than the official going of good to firm +0.25s/f.
Mike.
The 1000 Guineas speed figures must have been some of the slowest recorded time wise, they went no pace, as Johnny Murtagh stated.
The racing professionals were scratching their heads trying to work out how Billesdon Brook managed to win the 1000 Guineas, on the clock the race was bad, she managed a speed figure from me of 74, which a moderate class 5 runner could achieve on the AW.
They had the official going as good to firm, my calculations had it down as +0.10s/f (good) which did surprise me as it was very warm yesterday.
To produce big speed figures and try to emulate the RPR’s figures, I see that “Top Speed” has preliminary awarded Billesdon Brook a speed figure of 103 using a going allowance of -0.16s/f which is heading for good to soft, if you believe the going was on the slow side of good yesterday please seek help.
FlatTurf2018: https://drive.google.com/open?id=1Fo12vn11NrT1mgHKBMY71hZqY0q_dok8
You can scroll the list…Mike.
What a disaster, the Champion hurdle at Punchestown was the one race where we could finally assess the true class of Samcro, and eliminate the hype.
The winner Supasundae equalled his best speed figure of 129, which puts him only 7lbs behind Buveur D’Air best figure of 136, what Melon or Samcro would have achieved against the clock in this race we will only have to guess.
Going allowance -0.87s/f (soft).
Punchestown 27 Apr 2018
03:40 Alpha Male 2m4f 34
04:20 Kemboy 2m5f 99
04:55 Magic Of Light 2m5f 74
05:30 Supasundae 2m 129
06:05 Dortmund Park 2m4f 88
06:40 Caid Du Berlais 3m½f 67
07:10 Antey 2m 109
07:45 Lone Wolf 2m2f 76Mike.
Will Samcro finish in front of Melon, my speed figures say no, although he has looked impressive when winning, his speed figures earned have only been average.
5:30 Punchestown
Min 135CH
Melon 130
Supasundae 129
Coquin Mans 126
Samcro 116
Wicklow Brave 110
Bleu Berry 100
The Game Changer 96Mike.
Newmarket 19 Apr 2018
01:50 Maybride 6f 63
02:25 Sawwaah 1m 60
03:00 Brando 6f 75
03:35 Masar 1m 71
04:10 Sheikha Reika 7f 67
04:45 Nordic Lights 1m2f 76
05:20 Star Of Southwold 1m2f 37
05:55 Breath Caught 1m 53Going allowance -0.05s/f (good).
I was very disappointed with the Craven winner Masar, the speed figure of 71 that he earned was only average, this years Craven must have been very weak.
Craven speed figures: https://drive.google.com/open?id=1X9hPoFtNWi8uUwFLFX1W_VQUzecAbTZp
You can scroll the list…Mike.
Newmarket 18 Apr 2018
01:50 Aeolus 6f 82
02:25 Anna Nerium 7f 63
03:00 Forest Ranger 1m1f 69
03:35 Soliloquy 7f 62
04:10 Strings Of Life 5f 24
04:45 Qazyna 1m 31
05:20 Ceilidhs Dream 1m 39
05:55 Old Persian 1m2f 43Going allowance -0.15s/f (good)
I thought that the speed figures today were is bit mediocre, especially the last four races.
Craven speed figures: https://drive.google.com/open?id=1X9hPoFtNWi8uUwFLFX1W_VQUzecAbTZp
You can scroll the list…Mike.
Craven meeting:
Jackstar is the first 2yo this season to break my Royal Ascot par of 60, earning speed figure of 63.
Going allowance -0.36s/f (good to soft)
Newmarket 17 Apr 2018
01:50 Aurum 7f 59
02:25 Porth Swtan 7f 63
03:00 Jackstar 5f 63
03:35 Purser 7f 74
04:10 Examiner 1m 87
04:45 Mildenberger 1m1f 76
05:20 Mjjack 7f 89
05:55 Major Jumbo 5f 85Craven speed figures: https://drive.google.com/open?id=1X9hPoFtNWi8uUwFLFX1W_VQUzecAbTZp
You can scroll the list…Mike.
At last, proper flat turf racing starting today with the Craven meeting at Newmarket, you know it has started, Frankie Dettori has got out of bed and has some booked rides.
I been trying to put together a set of speed figures for the 2018 flat turf, it has not been easy due to the continuous very heavy going conditions in Ireland, especially at Cork where the meeting on the 15th April 2018 went off the scale at -3.15s/f (quagmire), the two worse going allowances I have ever recorded both came from Cork…
FlatTurf2018: https://drive.google.com/open?id=1Fo12vn11NrT1mgHKBMY71hZqY0q_dok8
You can scroll the list…Mike.