The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Relkeel

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  • in reply to: Fooled by randomness #366883
    Relkeel
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    Is it too simple to say that, if you toss a coin 100 times, there are 93 sequences of 8 (1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8, 2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9, 3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10…upto…93-94-95-96-97-98-99-100)?

    Each of those sequences has a 1/256 chance of being all heads, therefore the chance of any 8-head sequences is 93/256 (36%).

    If you’re looking for a sequence of eight heads OR tails, I reckon the chance doubles to 72%.

    in reply to: Hiring people that used to work for bookies? #246097
    Relkeel
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    Early days yet but hoping to identify areas where inefficiencies in bookmaker prices can be exploited and developed into a system

    Sounds like glorified arbing to me!

    Good luck, anyway.

    in reply to: Hiring people that used to work for bookies? #246089
    Relkeel
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    in reply to: Curious question about non-runners #217854
    Relkeel
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    Quad

    Sorry to pour cold water over your fiendish scheme, but a race ceases to be a tricast race when there are less than 6 runners.

    Any tricasts placed on such races (yesterday’s 3.45 Haydock, for example) become forecasts on the first 2 name selections.

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