[onefurlongout]

I take your point Pompete.

Had I put the money down I would have been well up by now

[onefurlongout]

Once again guy thanks for the posts.

Just to clarify. I apply the same assessment criteria and apply points to every runner which then provides me with an overall result. When all the individual points are totalled the one with the highest number of points is the top rated etc etc

At the moment I am assessing all race types to establish any patterns. From the analysis I’m hopeful of develping a more refined approach which may improve the win ratio. eg all 5f maidens.

So far from all the races covered the win ratio is 28%.

Thank for the advice Gerald I’ve just wiki’d Binomial Distribution and all I can say is wow!! I think your version is much more concise

[onefurlongout]

Thanks for the advise Artemis.

I have currently completed assessment of 329 races and I’m hopeful of assessing more over the next few days.

Within my analysis spreadsheet I have the following headings

Date
Meeting
Race type (eg handicap)
class
going
Dist
Top rated won (Y/N)
Price of top rated
number of top rated selections (there is sometimes more than 1)
Second rated won (Y/N)
Price of second rated
number of second rated selections

I’ve also complete the above for the 3rd,4th and last picks

Does anyone else think I need any further headings?

As for the analysis I look at:

the winners from each section against all runs
the number of single picks wins against single pick wins
Average prices
Type of race against win/runs
Distances against wins/runs
Going against wins/rund

I’m sure there are more to look at and I would appreciate any advice from any members that have conducted this type of analysis.

Thanks

[onefurlongout]

just shadow so far and from the 1st May all flat racing

I have the data stored and recoreded on venue, distance, going, odds.

Still some work to do me thinks

[onefurlongout]

Cheers guys for all your suggestions, all very helpful indeed.

bcsim999 I totally agree with your brief summary. The only additional point I would make would be that a single front runner might be the fastest horse in the race and with a good lead it might be difficult to peg back.

[onefurlongout]

Thanks Pru,

What I’m looking for is a snap shot to the postion in the race. (not clear in my original post)

Held up prominent etc etc.

[onefurlongout]

Hi Terry,

The server was down for a few days last week, back up and running now

[onefurlongout]

Hi terry,

Just not had time to get online as much.

Are you still using racing sense and did you get a chance to look at racestats?

[onefurlongout]

Wow!

I was only 2 in 1979 but to have records streching back that far some of the members on here are amazing

[onefurlongout]

Just got news from the site and its problems with the server, should be back up ASAP

[onefurlongout]

Typical isnt it.

Lets hope its back up soon

[onefurlongout]

His service is second to none, I do believe he used to charge for the service.

Would love to develop a program but my skills arent the best

[onefurlongout]

I’ll email the guy when I get home as his address is on my home PC and I’ll let you know

[onefurlongout]

Hi Biotechy,

I certainly hope not, I’ve been having problems accessing the site as well.

Will have to go back to the drawing board if this is the case.

Not sure of anywhere else that is as comprehensive.

[onefurlongout]

SK,

Looks like in my PM I pointed you in the direction of a site that is currently down.

I’m hoping this should be back up shortly

[onefurlongout]

Hi Kev,

The spreadsheet has values in %’s and in win/placed/runs format.

Id like to make each cell a % and then highlight those where the value is greater than 10% and finally strip this information into another sheet.

Not even sure this is possible.

This programming lark looks pretty complicated BTW

[onefurlongout]

I currently use ukracestats but I’d like to be able run a program that strips the info from their download excel spreadsheet.

Would save me hours

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