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Love the Sailsbury bet Ginge 😀 (hate to be a **** but it’s the 6.55)
Quick question, how come you don’t bet on the exchange? Not enough liquidity the night before? or do you get BOG with the books?
Vast majority of my own personal bets are with betfair, Ben. Most bookmakers have either closed or restricted my accounts. But when a horse is the same price with a bookmaker as on the exchanges then I like to give that price as it’s BOG for my follower. You also occasionally get some suggesting exchange prices I put up aren’t available.
Value Is Everything3:00 York
20 points each way @ 17/2 (B365) Suedois (min 15/2)
14 points each way @ 14/1 (B365) Mubtasim (min 13/1)Value Is EverythingThat’s fair enough, makes sense as well seeing as there’s often not much to be matched on Betfair the night before and the prices are more likely to stay the same with the books so your followers can get the prices you’ve advertised.
It’s not York, but have been waiting for this horse. Ran behind Expert Eye and would’ve been second had he got a level break. This step up in trip looks sure to suit and the opposition looks weak – out of form or needing to improve a lot to beat an on form Mildenberger. I’d expect him to go off something like 4/6
5:55 Salisbury
100 points @ 11/10 Mildenberger (min 5/6)Never in doubt.
Value Is EverythingWith Suedois placing and Mildenberger winning today:
Stakes 367
Return 272
Friday Deficit -95 pointsYork so far:
Stakes 907
Returns 1028
Profit +121 pointsValue Is Everything1:55 York
Three at the top of the betting, Mustashry, Mondialiste and Master The World are all usually hold up horses in a race where it’s hard to find any pace. Forest Ranger is perhaps the most likely but Soverign Debt has often raced handily of late too.38 points each way @ 7/1 (PP) Soverign Debt (min 11/2)
Value Is Everything3:20 Goodwood
100 points @ 11/10 (Sky) Lightning Spear (min Evens)Value Is Everything34 years today I first stepped on to a racecourse. Still remember Shoot Clear shooting clear in the then Candlearbra Stakes, now the Prestige.
2:10 Goodwood
21 points each way @ 16/1 (B365 1/4 odds) Whitefountainfairy (min 12/1)Value Is Everything2:10 Goodwood
21 points each way @ 16/1 (B365 1/4 odds) Whitefountainfairy (min 12/1)36 points @ 5.8/1 Quivery (min 5/1)
saver:
32 points @ 5/2 (B365) Verandah (min 5/2)Value Is Everything3:00 York
48 points @ 7/1 Invincible Army (min 6/1)savers (might come back and make one a main bet in the morning):
17 points @ 4/1 Headway (min 7/2)
14 points @ 5.6/1 Nebo (min 5/1)Value Is EverythingWell done this week,I have backed Lightning Spear 3.20 Goodwood,and Battersea in the Ebor.
If you go to back a certainty always buy a return ticket.
Well done this week,I have backed Lightning Spear 3.20 Goodwood,and Battersea in the Ebor.
Celebration mile looks a poor Group 2, CJ. I’ve often backed Lightning Spear in Group 1’s, but when I saw 11/10 yesterday thought I’d be opposing him. However, with Zonderland without a run for ages… Richard Pankhurst more a 7f horse, thouroughly inconsistent and out of form… Opal Tiara out of form and not good enough even at her best… And in Oh This Is Us‘s last two starts has beaten just one horse home in two big fields… Although at the prices did think about a saver as some placed form gives him a chance. Market move for the Hannon horse could be significant. Thought about Hathal as an alternative with Haggas in good form, but there doesn’t appear much pace in the race and he’s an 8 to 10 furlong horse seemingly devoid of finishing speed. Lightning Spear has the best form, suited by conditions and the one horse that ran well last time/recently.
Good luck with Battersea in the Ebor, I can’t get involved with big field handicaps on the flat these days – not the time. Don’t even know who’s running. I’ll be cheering yours on.
Value Is Everything1:55 York
Three at the top of the betting, Mustashry, Mondialiste and Master The World are all usually hold up horses in a race where it’s hard to find any pace. Forest Ranger is perhaps the most likely but Soverign Debt has often raced handily of late too.38 points each way @ 7/1 (PP) Soverign Debt (min 11/2)
Had some 16/1 taken overnight for Forest Ranger, he’s shortened up but have to put him up.
14 points each way @ 11/1 Forest Ranger (min 10/1)
Value Is EverythingWell done this week,I have backed Lightning Spear 3.20 Goodwood,and Battersea in the Ebor.
Glad of that one, Ben. Lucky there, but had 11/1, 16/1 and 7/1 seconds in the other three today!
With Lightning Spear winning, Forest Ranger and Whitefountainfairy each way placed:
Stakes 393
Returns 367
Saturday Deficit -26 pointsThread Stakes 1300
Thread Returns 1395
Thread Profit +95 pointsValue Is Everything
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