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- This topic has 7 replies, 7 voices, and was last updated 18 years, 6 months ago by
insomniac.
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- November 23, 2007 at 22:49 #5739
I see England have been eased out to 11/1 for the 2010 World Cup (Football). But are 9/1 with at least one firm. Is this a joke? I know it’s some time away but would anyoneone on here seriously take that price because I doubt I would nibble at double that price or even more. What is the reasoning behind their prices? Confused…….
November 24, 2007 at 19:28 #126698I expect that Corm and Jim will be rushing down to the bookies to back england at those odds

Two possible reasons that they are so short –
1. English bookmakers will probably take more money on england winning than any other country and will face a huge payout if a miracle did happen so cannot afford to offer more generous odds.
2. As you say there is a long time to go yet and it is possible that england will improve considerably between now and S/Africa under new management……they will have to.November 26, 2007 at 09:53 #127117Why do Coral have England as third joint favourites at 10/1 and World Cup holders and four times winners, Italy, at 11/1… whereas Croatia, England’s EC dual conquerers, are priced at 50/1?
Gambling Only Pays When You're Winning
November 26, 2007 at 09:58 #127120Why do Coral have England as third joint favourites at 10/1 and World Cup holders and four times winners, Italy, at 11/1… whereas Croatia, England’s EC dual conquerers, are priced at 50/1?
Because some people would STILL back England no matter what the price.
November 27, 2007 at 01:23 #127322Why do Coral have England as third joint favourites at 10/1 and World Cup holders and four times winners, Italy, at 11/1… whereas Croatia, England’s EC dual conquerers, are priced at 50/1?
Because bookmakers are accountants whose job is to divide the money not to calculate probability.
I’m sure that you know that already. The price is crazy but I’m sure that plenty of patriotic mugs will be getting on
November 27, 2007 at 12:48 #127386We all know England aren’t going to win & their price is a joke so lets concentrate on finding a bit of value elsewhere…
Without putting in too much thought, my first impression was the Czech Republic look overpriced at 66/1
Any one else got ideas on what’s value now or clues to finding the 2010 winner?
November 27, 2007 at 13:02 #127390Thinking about it, it doesn’t have to be the winner. Just need teams that are likely to qualify, possible improvers over the next 30 months and be 1/4 the price they are now
Simple
November 27, 2007 at 16:37 #127437It has always been the perception that England fans automatically back England for World Cup / European Championships and so Bookies under-priced them. But I don’t think punters do nowadays – certainly not to an extent that makes it necessary for the Bookies to offer such a skinflint price as Crizzy pointed out.
Are there really so many value-blind, patriotic punters out there nowadays? I know educational standards have gone done somewhat over the last 30 years or so – but come on! - AuthorPosts
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