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This is a cracking £100,000 sprint, run at Musselburgh each year, which rates closely behind The Ayr Gold Cup in
value for a sprint race. I believe it’s the highest value 5f sprint h’cap north of the border (unless someone can correct me on that score)It’s always a fiercely competitive race, but I think the key to it this year lies in last week’s Dash at Epsom.
I backed SEEKING MAGIC and KIMBERELLA, the latter being unfortunate to go down by
a shd.I’m not sure SEEKING MAGIC will make the journey north. Consistent animal that he is, it is worrying that at 8
years he has never won over 5f, and has won as far as 7f. I thought last week might have been different over 5f
as the going was on the soft side, but I think this is going to be too quick for him, although if he does make
the trip it wouldn’t surprise me to see him running into a place.KIMBRELLA on the other hand, has a serious chance over a distance and going that will suit. He ran a terrific
race at Epsom, is in terrific form, and I think sprinters can get away with running races close to each other.
He ran well in the Ayr Silver Cup last year, well there with 1f to go, but tired. I think he has every chance
of taking this. Unfortunately I’m not the only one thinking this, and 6/1 is the best on offer at this time.
I’ll wait till nearer the day, I’m not convinced he will be shorter as plenty of money will come for others.DUKE OF FIRENZE is another from the same race who can’t be left out of equations. He finished 3rd
and was running on strongly at the finish. The only thing is that he is 4lbs worse off with KIMBERELLA, who
finished 1 3/4L in front of him in that race. I don’t see why he should turn it round being worse off, but
these sprinters seem to pop up without rhyme or reason, so he is well capable of taking this. 10/1 isn’t a
bad price.GREEN DOOR is the one I’m most interested in for a bit of a gamble. He hasn’t fired yet this
year, and as a consequence he has dropped down from 105, after his win at Beverly last September,to 96, just
1lb above his winning weight at that meeting. He looked to be running his best race this year when well
with them at Epsom, until tiring in the last 100yds, beaten about 4L. Robert Cowell does well with his
sprinters, and if GD is coming into form, he is over priced at 25/1 with Coral (as low as 12 in a place).
He has the added disadvantage of carrying my money.Plenty of others make appeal and a case could be made for more than half the field. The draw is yet to be made,
I used to think that a low draw was favourable, but looking over the last few years it’s pretty mixed. Pace
is going to be the main factor.Good luck with this one
RED BARON is drawn two and has pace and TANGERINE TREES drawn twelve and like to lead so it looks like the draw won’t make too much difference G .
I have backed MONSIEUR JOE at 16/1 and RED BARON at 8/1.
MONSIEUR JOE was the unlucky one at Epsom I think in that he was drawn on the wrong side and nothing dranw low had a chance and yet he only get beat four lengths and he was hampered too!!
RED BARON won this race last year and was taken out at final decs at Epsom and the trainer left Blithe Spirit in and he ran well enough finishing fifth.And Red baron has finished in front of Kimberella this season and is better off at the weights too!!
If there is an improver in the race it is likely to be Judicial or Thesme who are both only four years old and could improve throughout the year.
Good Luck with your picks and as usual if mine doesn’t win I hope yours do!!
Had a look at the race again (Epsom Dash), and your right Raymo, Monsieur Joe was a bit unlucky
in running and looked quite good at the end without ever going to get near them from a poor draw.
I’ve had a good look at him, and at first I was a bit worried about top weight, but he has carried
pretty much top weight in his handicaps as he has run in some decent group and listed races. I have
to agree with you Raymo, he looks decent value at 16/1. Good luck with red Barron too, his chances
are quite obvious, which is why he’s 2nd fav.As I suggested above, I see that Seeking Magic doesn’t make the trip north, I think 5f on quick ground
would be too short for him. So that leaves my original 3. I thought KIMBERELLA at 6/1 was a bit short,
and that he might ease a little when money went elsewhere, but it seems that I was well off the mark
with that as he is best priced 5s and as low as 7/2. I’ll bite the bullet and take the 5s before it goes.Paddy Power and Willie Hill still go 10/1 DUKE OF FIRENZE, which has to be good value and my outsider of
my 3, GREEN DOOR, is still 25/1 with Coral, I think that he is well overpriced. I’m not normally a forecast
or tricast punter, but I might have a go with those 3.
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