Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Welsh National 2011
- This topic has 41 replies, 19 voices, and was last updated 12 years, 11 months ago by Zamorston.
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December 27, 2011 at 13:58 #384390
Any Currency for me – looks pretty open say the least
December 27, 2011 at 14:05 #384392Carruthers
for me!
Owes me nothing after his Hennessy win so carrying my hard earned again….Cappa Bleu an interesting one for me aswell at a bigger price….
December 27, 2011 at 15:58 #384418I was very impressed by Cannington Brook last time out despite about the worst piece of idling I’ve ever seen. He’s seriously unexposed in my view with quite a bit more to come.
He Seemed to get on much better – jumping-wise – with Tom O’Brien last time than with his regular rider J Tizzard. He’ll love the ground and, I think, the trip, and is a very sound EW bet imo.
I’d fear Cappa Bleu, if he is definitely over whatever was ailing him, and Blazing Bailey, but will be betting Cannington Brook with some confidence.
I too am on Cannington Brook Steeple. Trip should suit and although not a winner over jumps on soft ground, acted well on it on the flat. One of few with a chance of improving. Hopefully the distance will help with his jumping.
Am also on Le Beau Bai. Loves heavy ground and Chepstow. Won at 3 miles last time and stays extreme distances extremely well. Still well handicapped on form of a couple of years ago.
Savers on Galaxy Rock and Our Island. Improved last time at Cheltenham, though not a great race for the course, on good-soft 3m3f. Has good form on heavy and stable in form.
Our Island finished close to Cannington Brook last time (3m heavy). Staying on all the time. A further half a mile could see more improvement. Now backed him to make a main bet.
Well done Ginger on LBB. I stuck with CB only though was surprised to see him backed in from 14s to 15/2. Fate of all value EW bets – 5th!
December 27, 2011 at 16:59 #384438Well I backed the winner.
Actually I didn’t want to have a bet in the race just watch it so I stuck 2 quid on the first horse I saw on my Betfair bot, so I could watch the race, which was him.
TBH I never knew he existed until that moment. When he looked beaten I thought no sense in losing 2 quid and hit the bot and manged to green up. I won 1.89p which wouldn’t pay for a JW Black with Coke in my local bar
Never mind if anybody asks me if I’ve ever back a Welsh Grand National winner I can now say yes
December 27, 2011 at 19:01 #384468TBH I never knew he existed until that moment.
When he looked beaten I thought no sense in losing 2 quid and hit the bot and manged to green up. I won 1.89p which wouldn’t pay for a JW Black with Coke in my local bar
Never mind if anybody asks me if I’ve ever back a Welsh Grand National winner I can now say yes
"Never knew Le Beau Bai existed" H! Where’ve you been this last few years? Thailand?
Know your horses H. He stays all day, always going to make ground up up the straight.
Value Is EverythingDecember 27, 2011 at 20:25 #384490Not to take anything away from the winner and the placed horses, I wonder if Carruthers body was telling his brain, enough’s enough for a year or more, matey.
This may not be the case with Carruthers, but I’ve seen horses on the flat, particularly carrying big weights, winning powerfully and apparently easily, and never being the same again.
On the other hand, I think trainers often race a horse lightly the next year or so, deliberately; and I don’t mean to get their weight down.
December 28, 2011 at 14:31 #384592Grimes,
Carruthers can sulk and jump badly if he can’t see the front. ie Likes to either front run or be part of the arrowhead. Certainly doesn’t like being crowded like yesterday. Got away with it at Newbury in the Hennessy due to there being no rail on the inner of the back straight (first four fences). But such a bad decision to line up on the inside yesterday, a hostage to fortune, once surrounded he had no chance.If Carruthers runs in a staying race with fewer front runners to worry about, expect a return to form.
Value Is EverythingDecember 28, 2011 at 14:54 #384594Feel sick that my ante-post on Synchronised went tits up….would surely have won by half the track with what he’s just done to a quality looking Lexus field!!
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