Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Welsh National 2020
- This topic has 55 replies, 25 voices, and was last updated 5 years, 3 months ago by
Venture to Cognac.
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- December 21, 2020 at 10:40 #1514843
Updated…
Secret Reprieve 10-1 ew 5 places
Springfield Fox 13-1 ew 5 placesGone for 2 course winners who could be ahead of their marks.
December 21, 2020 at 16:21 #1514872My finger’s hovering above the old boy Joe Farrell at the mo, back down to his Scottish National winning mark. Seems to be more at home on a sounder surface, although ran a fair third in the Midlands National when it was bottomless. He’s got a fair swing at the weights with the two that finished in front of him that day and I’d give him an each-way squeak at 40s.
December 21, 2020 at 18:10 #1514882Joe Farrell on my shortlist now too Tom.
With Seeyouatmidnight not going, I won’t have another Antepost here, and still too big a shortlist……
Joe Farrell
Lord Du Mesnil
Ramses Des Teille
Vieux Lion Rouge
Yala EnkiPreference for Ramses at the moment, but I’ll wait now.
December 23, 2020 at 16:32 #1515036Secret Reprieve must have a huge chance here. He would be my main selection, but I’ll definitely have Yala Enki as a backup.
December 25, 2020 at 23:06 #1515113I’ll go with Didero Vallis of Venetia’s here. 33-1 ew 5 places will do for me.
December 26, 2020 at 20:51 #1515301Lord Du Mesnil looks rock solid here and I expect a big run.
Vieux Lion Rouge was brilliant at Aintree and coming here off the same mark is difficult to ignore.
The Hollow Ginge was a bit of a revelation in the Ladbroke and nothing to suggest he can’t improve going further.
They’d be my three.
December 26, 2020 at 21:35 #1515305I think this looks right up Dominateur’s street. He doesn’t
do anything fast so this extra distance and ground should see him at his best.
He seems right at home at Chepstow winning on his last 2 visits. Very well
spotted by Yogi earier on and getting a cracking bet at 25s. He’s 16s with
Bet365 and I think he’s still very good value at those odds.Dominateur 16/1 Bet365
December 26, 2020 at 23:00 #1515313Hopefully runs a good race now BigG, I’ve added Prime Venture at 14\1 ew earlier today as a saver.
Dominateur 25\1 ew
Prime Venture 14\1 ewDecember 27, 2020 at 10:57 #1515340I hope your bet doesnt get voided mike, you got a good price on fav
January 4, 2021 at 19:58 #1516401Decided I’m definitely going to go with Ramses De Teille here, but at current price, I’m as well waiting, can’t see it contracting too much.
Stablemate Vieux Lion Rouge is still on the shortlist too, and he’ll be backup if he goes.
January 5, 2021 at 06:05 #1516437My bets weren’t voided Istabraq so atm all good to go.
January 5, 2021 at 09:49 #1516446My bet was voided for Dominateur at 16/1 with Bet365, but they
go the same price again. He’s best priced 12/1 elsewhere. I can’t see that price
lasting too much longer.January 5, 2021 at 11:31 #1516454I’ve just checked and my Bet365 bet on Dominateur from the 23rd Dec is still apparently valid – the date of the race has been changed to 9th Jan on it as well. My Willy Hill bets on the same race are also listed as current although the race date for these remains at 27th Dec!?!
January 5, 2021 at 14:33 #1516489Lord Du Mensil for me, took 19.5 on the Exchange
January 8, 2021 at 08:19 #1516824Ramses De Teillee for me @ 12/1 EW. I fancied him over Christmas but was worried the race would come too soon after Aintree, so personally delighted at an extra 2 weeks. On paper that Aintree run looks like a shocker because he’s 7th and beaten 94L, but it really wasn’t. He didn’t take to the fences at all and it was a run littered with mistake after mistake. Despite this, he kept delivering himself back into the race, travelled eye catchingly strongly, the mistakes just caught up with him. He looked to me like a horse in rude health that day, and I thought he had an experience advantage over some of the market principles here. He’s run very well in this race before, will love the heavy conditions and the Pipe yard are in form with a 30% strike rate over the last 14 days. He doesn’t leap off the page as a brilliant bet, it’s more of a gentle building of ticks in the plus column. I think he’ll really enjoy being back at Chepstow over their obstacles vs Aintree. I’d like to see Tom Scudamore ride him up with the pace (if there is any) because making up ground at Chepstow on heavy will be challenging but yeh, 5 places 12/1 EW RDT feels solid enough to me.
January 8, 2021 at 14:38 #1516848Springfield fox and lord du mesnil for me
Both had handicap mark saving preps over a trip too short or over hurdles
January 8, 2021 at 16:29 #1516864Seems strange that they have kept some bets valid for the 9th, and paid out others,
like mine. Fortunately for me they returned my cash with my bet at 16/1 on Dominateur
and I still managed to get the 16s with them this time so no need for me to complain.
I hope they kept Yogi’s bet on Dominateur at 25s, I’d be a bit miffed if I were him
if it were returned, with 16s being the best odds offered, whilst some bets still stood.
Seems Strange
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