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Blame Roberta 20/1 e/w
Last run behind Second Generation looks good now, as she has come out and won a Listed race. Come On Leicester was a good 5th in the QM prior to her second aswell in that race giving it a solid look. Nice low weight and Quinn is shrewd, he’ll have her tuned for this.
I particularly like three here, with a saver on a fourth.
Agree with you Kev (and Jack) Brave Roberta is over-priced. Far less exposed than many of these. Just the two runs – albeit undoubtedly needs to progress. Taking in to account showed quite a bit of improvement at Windsor despite not getting away on terms… If well out of the gate this time, that upward curve of form could give her a chance here – in a race with fewer progressive types than normal and many racing over a trip seemingly short of their best. Managed to get some 25/1.
Another at a big price is Snazzy. Well beaten in the Queen Mary but before that had run the Queen Mary winner to 1 1/2 lengths in a York 5f listed event. Even though winner Signora Cabello improved at Ascot, it was still a good enough performance to suggest is in with a squeak here off 8-10. What went wrong in the Queen Mary? Not sure, seemed to me got snatched up early and raced towards the back of the disadvantaged group. Before that was a rare Charlie Fellows first time out winner. imo Worth a bet at around 33/1.
Those two drawn on the Stand rail which can be a disadvantage these days, but several drawn/raced there on Friday ran well.
Another Queen Mary also-ran from that same far side at Ascot – Red Balloons looks the very best value here. As they pointed out on ATR this morning, Timeform make her top rated and one of the few with a “p” for improvement likely. Travelled well for a long way at Ascot, up with a very strong pace. No surprise couldn’t last home. Drawn more towards the middle in 17 here. Subsequently held up and showing a good turn of foot, fairly easy winner of a Class 5 novice. Available @ 12/1 earlier today, wouldn’t surprise me if going off half those odds.
My saver is the top weight (if there is such a thing in a non-handicap) Little Kim. But isn’t badly in having improved last time out when winning a French Group 3 by a length from Queen Mary favourite/disappointment Chelsea Cloisters. At Newbury imo the very best of the draw is often found with those racing in the third quarter from the stands, so in that respect a draw in 12 looks as good a spot as any. Although didn’t seem much advantage/disadvantage on Friday’s results.
Value Is EverythingI’ll bet a couple here, have taken the 16’s to 6 Places on Snazzy. Haven’t bet her yet, but I’ll definitely side with Society Queen win only around 18’s as well.
Red Balloons, Kinks and Tin Hat were my three to focus on. In the end I decided to rank them:-
1. Tin Hat
2. Red Balloons
3. KinksI am not a Channon fan and I like the effort Tin Hat put in last time.
£2 on Tin Hat and a 50p Tricast
Good luck, we’ll all need some.
PS Tin Hat is a shade of paint I bought the other day and if that’s not a good way of picking horses……
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I have backed three in this cos of the six places!!
ON THE STAGE at 20/1
RED BALLOONS at 17/2
BLAME ROBERTA at 18/1I know class quite often comes out best in this but have gone for potential rather than proven form.
Good Luck Guys
Thought Blame Roberta did pretty well after a dreadful start. Enjoyed Fahey’s failure in the race. Jammy git still managed to get 10th place prize money
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