We are all in the gutter, but some of us are looking at the stars.

[sporting sam]

Hard going today
But winning forecast at Bangor.

Curragh 3.30
Star of Burma. Each way

Has the widest draw to deal with while newcomer

Baydar each way
Has a 768 day absence to overcome.
Dropped Over 30 lbs for last win and claim puts him 40 lbs well in but hasn’t won for ever. Five or six years to be precise and given time off will need the run here but must have been doing something for last two years…….
Will be of interest in next few runs
Silvertown
Win each way
Paying six places sky

[sporting sam]

Curragh
4.40

Banjo
Capture the drama.
both each way
Lunar Display
Winflat debut for capture the drama
Lunar Display has his form franked in many places and stable could not be in better shape.

Race lost by mistake made by jockey lacking awareness. Form there for all to see. Ban likely for jockey but no need to go mad over it despite losing cash. We all make mistakes.
.

[sporting sam]

Chantreys
Each way
Cover name
Win
7.10
Newcastle

Round up
Just one successful forecast in the tricast thread.

[sporting sam]

Opening race
Fakenham
Hermes Bellevue
Win
May represent some fair value against the odds on favourite.
Shown up well in two juvenile hurdle races in France. Makes debut here for top yard headgear on.

Juvenile hurdle
Fakenham
Aliomaana win
Game display last time after debut last fence fall when in with a winning chance.
Perfect reply when routing field with 29 length win. Hard to oppose here under a penalty in ordinary looking field. Targeting Aintree race in future.
Tiki Fire each way
This race has been won bi-anually by a trainer called King. Alan two years ago, Neil two years earlier and Alan two years previously. Neil’s turn this year.

Dundalk 1530
Dalvay
Win
Revised to each way
Is the best rated of these by some way and the booking of Dylan Brown Mcgonagle looks significant.
Has to give weight away all round though.
Hogan/ Macaulay have several runners here not least Malaysian. There are five runners in all which means the pace can be controlled to suit whichever is the favoured horse. Leadership race for Ger Lyons is very well treated with a ten pound claimer on board.
Dalvay was third in the 50k Ballysax here last year off a rating of 99 behind a horse who’d just raced fifth at Royal Ascot. Cheekpieces go on for first time. Been racing over longer trips since joining yard ( from Hogan) including a hurdle race where he was noted jumping poorly but will strip fitter for those runs….
Hard to second guess this outfit but going on horses ability and application of headgear/ switch to correct distance/ jockey booking and best rating place more than likely if this is stable’s intention. Little doubt that they have a huge edge in these races….

Was available at 28/1 this morning certain to remain an outsider.

[sporting sam]

Somehow I missed the winner at Dundalk’s opener all the more galling that I had a thread on the horse in question last month (which I will bump again). Although the thread yielded the horse breaking his maiden last month I’d have liked to have bagged the follow up win.
The stable had at least five runners in the race yesterday along with supporting players as I said it is hard to second guess this operation.

[sporting sam]

5.20
Bumper

Time For Hollie
Each way
Gabrielles getaway
Win

[sporting sam]

Chelmsford
5.30

Lord Cherry
Each way
Stall 2
Stall 1 a non runner

[sporting sam]

6pm

Pax Britannica
Win
Clarakhani
Each way
Ran too freely when last seen.
Steps up massively in trip on handicap debut.
The other one of win interest is
Wadacre George
Win
Who steps up after wins at the distances back 2 and 4 furlongs twice.

[sporting sam]

It must be faith
Win
Plum draw following 2.5 length defeat to Dark shot the other day at Catterick. ( Last thread winner)
Lorna Cole
Each way
6.30.
Lorna Cole down below last winning mark
Drawn on opposite side to it must be faith but will have room to work on position for late in the race

[sporting sam]

7pm

Delta River
Win
Short headed here twice off marks of 73.
Will be seen to better effect therefore in handicaps. Has run well in class 4s chance here against obviously better treated rivals
Bounty pursuit
Each way
Won at a variety of trips and gone close here on several occasions.

[sporting sam]

Round up
Time for Hollie
Bumper runner 2nd each way at 20/1 over in Wales.

Chelmsford runners all unplaced

[sporting sam]

Uttoxetter 1.03
Jettaway Joey
Win.

may well benefit from the defection of
Broken Halo

[sporting sam]

Uttoxetter 1.38

Ten Past Midnight
Win
Unpenalised for win last time.
Chances.

Court Dancer
Each way
Bounced after win here but just a pound higher now and could bounce back with conditions to suit.

[sporting sam]

Spy catcher
Eldrick Jones
Both win
155
Newmarket

[sporting sam]

Apologies
…..
They’ll have been well down the track by the time that post went up.
Priority for me was to place the wager….

Spy catcher
Returns to form and wins well.

[sporting sam]

Down Royal
2.20

Cask Mate
Win
Late starting 8yo
Some very good runs at up to 2.4 and looked very good winning on the flat readily over the Derby trip.

[sporting sam]

Newmarket
3.40
Moving Light
Each way
Drop back to this trip likely to suit.

[Author]

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