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Bulwark wrote :
… very seldom I would see a result that really shocks me
I’ll start off with the 17:00 winner at Aintree on Saturday 5th April – Endless Power (IRE). Never run this fast, never run at Grade 2 and never won on going less than soft.
Explain this one !
Any more results that really shock?
Backing two runners is the relentless pursuit of value. Backing each way is a shortcut to the poor house. Only 7% make a long term profit.
Bulwark wrote :
… very seldom I would see a result that really shocks me
I’ll start off with the 17:00 winner at Aintree on Saturday 5th April – Endless Power (IRE). Never run this fast, never run at Grade 2 and never won on going less than soft.
Explain this one !
Any more results that really shock?
You are not going to believe this for a second Quadrilla, and apologies in advance of offence for aftertiming but Endless Power was my only winner at Aintree on Saturday. I backed him in the morning @ 20-1, because if I remember correctly (can’t check on racing post site as in work and its a blocked site) he was a bottom weight by Perugino (who by my recollection is by danzig) on better ground and felt he had a "chance" against more jumping bred sorts, the race was 2 miles I think. I only had a little speculative e/w on him and he drifted to 25s but he still won.
its just something I’ll try, when the ground starts to turn at the end of both seasons it can sometimes pay to drop the form and go on flat bred long shots on the jumps and likewise at the end of the flat IMO you can’t lump on anything that isnt bred for cut.
Was refering to the flat when I made that comment, however, quadrilla.
Denman winning the Gold Cup was a shocker for me as I thought he was nothing more than an over-hyped shopping trolley!…..shocked
, impressed and heartbroken (for Kauto) all at the same time.I thought it was only me that followed the tried and trusted bottom-weight in a handicap/sired by Peregino system.
Quadrilla,
You don’t think the fact that seven horses priced at 12/1 or less failed to finish the race had something to do with this ‘shock’ result? They all either fell or were pulled up after making major blunders.
Of the horses that finished, only one started less than 14/1, so a ‘shock’ result was almost inevitable.
AP
I thought it was only me that followed the tried and trusted bottom-weight in a handicap/sired by Peregino system.
Too many qualifiers for me!
Yes, Bulwark, and I had Comply Or Die to win the National 6 months ago at 100/1 using my patented Pipe-trained, four-legged, can jump a fence, weighs exactly 1067lbs, carries cloth number 33 as a son of Old Vic system…it just keeps churning out the winners.
The perugino at bottom weight isnt the system, the system is "try to find a horse at a price who may be suited to the likely conditions of the race". Its not a bad system when it works, like any system really.
To be honest I didn’t even realise he’d humped them, I had stopped betting after a **** result in the national (for me anyway) and two seconds earlier on the card, checked the result of the 500 and was made up, didnt give it any more thought than that until strangely enough its name came up on this thread. On further inspection of the race, the race was 10 seconds slow on good ground, which may explain why he romped it.
Yes, Bulwark, and I had Comply Or Die to win the National 6 months ago at 100/1 using my patented Pipe-trained, four-legged, can jump a fence, weighs exactly 1067lbs, carries cloth number 33 as a son of Old Vic system…it just keeps churning out the winners.
Strangley enough also I actually used to have a little system of picking sons of old vic in 3 mile races on the jumps, havent really employed it much this season, but actually used to work.
and heartbroken 
(for Kauto) all at the same time.
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