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UF Systems

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  • #1140
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    I have decided to put up two systems that I am paper trading at the moment. I intend to achieve +10 points LSP from each system, a month and a strike rate of 35%.

    2/4/03<br>System<br>UFA1 – No Bet

    System <br>UFA2 – No Bet<br>

    #46599
    snowman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 554

    Good luck Dave’. I do like it when someone puts up their expectations in terms of strike rate and profit. It usually means that the system has been well researched even though it may not yet have been paper traded.

    #46600
    darrell
    Member
    • Total Posts 651

    Good luck dave, will be following with interest.

    Daz.;)

    #46601
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    Thanks for the encouragement fellas, let’s see what happens today. These systems are really for the flat but I’ll trade the NH selections as well … give us a bit of interest while things are quiet.

    3/4/03<br>UFA1<br>T. 4.05 … Un Jour A Vassey (nh) X<br>T. 5.15 … Dance In Tune (nh) X<br>A. 5.30 … Coolnagorna (nh) X

    UFA2<br>L. 2.10 … Mac Love X<br>L. 3.55 … Makulu X<br>L. 4.30 … Polar Force X<br>T. 3.30 … Prince De Galles (nh) X<br>A. 5.30 … Coolnagorna (nh) X

    First Day … dry rub !!

    (Edited by dave jay at 9:27 am on April 4, 2003)

    #46604
    tttracing
    Member
    • Total Posts 184

    Looks like an interesting range of selections today Dave – good luck with them :cheesy:

    #46607
    tttracing
    Member
    • Total Posts 184

    not the best results – but that is irrelevant – we are inthis for the long term ;)

    #46608
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    4/4/03<br>Quite so ttt .. I’m just going to trade these for a month and then throw out any that don’t perform, so it’s just a bit of fun at this stage. UFA1 & 2 must get a 35% strike rate and UFA3 must get around 50%, or they are back in the shoe box. I’m only interested in the Flat selections really, I don’t bet on the NH after Cheltenham as a rule, there doesn’t seem to be much point.

    So far .. Flat 0/3 LSP: -3 …. NH (ref) 0/5 LSP: -5)

    UFA1<br>F. 3.20 … Contrary Mary X<br>S. 2.20 … Milly Waters X<br>A. 4.55 … Irish Hussar (nh) W3/1

    UFA2 <br>S. 2.20 … Milly Waters X<br>S. 3.30 … Sensational Mover X<br>A. 4.20 … Iris’s Gift (nh) W10/11

    UFA3<br>F. 2.45 … Paciano X<br>A. 4.20 … Iris’s Gift (nh) W10/11

    A winner today .. maybe, even one …. :laugh:

    (Edited by dave jay at 5:37 pm on April 4, 2003)

    #46610
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    5/4/03

    UFA1<br>L. 1.40 .. Tiger Tops X<br>A. 2.20 .. Impek (nh) X<br>H. 2.30 .. Silvertown (nh) W4/5<br>L. 2.45 .. Membership X<br>A. 3.55 .. Rooster Booster (nh) X

    UFA2<br>H. 2.30 .. Silvertown (nh) W4/5<br>A. 4.35 .. Lord Atterbury (nh) W7/4<br>L. 4.45 .. Inchcoonan X

    UFA3<br>A. 2.20 .. Impek (nh) X<br>H. 4.55 .. Alpha Romana (nh) X

    (Edited by dave jay at 7:26 pm on April 5, 2003)

    #46611
    tttracing
    Member
    • Total Posts 184

    Hi Dave,

    Might I suggest that a month isnt long enough to monitor results for any system/approach??!!

    #46612
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    Yes, ttt, quite true. I have researched these systems quite extensively .. the UFA3 system is okay, I use this quite a bit of the flat, last season it had a strike rate of around 65 -70%.

    What I haven’t done with the other two is paper trade them although the research has been done. IMO, research and actual betting are two completely different things. That’s why I’m going to give these a month .. I know how they performed in line with the modules that I used to research, now I need to know if I can go to the paper before racing and get the same results that I did in my research. If I can’t I will kick them into touch !!

    #46613
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    7/4/03

    UFA1<br>W. 2.10 … Bella Tutrice X<br>W. 2.45 … Financial Future X<br>W. 4.15 .. Sawwaah X

    UFA2<br>W. 2.10 … Bella Tutrice X<br>W. 4.15 .. Sawwaah X

    UFA3<br>K. 2.00 … King’s Bounty W1/4<br>S. 2.55 .. You are There W4/6

    (Edited by dave jay at 6:17 pm on April 7, 2003)

    #46614
    tttracing
    Member
    • Total Posts 184

    Interesting selections Dave,

    Financial Future should win – but in the long run, if you averaged  6/4 for this sort you would lose – 7/4 break even – 2/1 profit

    thats what i love about this game – every day is a challenge – every day has numerous possibilities

    good luck with the rest :)

    #46615
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    Thanks ttt .. I was going to bet that one but it’s curently trading on Bf @ 1.6 or something daft like that, so I won’t be bothering with it.

    #46616
    tttracing
    Member
    • Total Posts 184

    good choice Dave :cool:

    #46617
    dave jay
    Member
    • Total Posts 3386

    8/4/03

    UFA1 <br>No Bets

    UFA2 <br>No Bets

    UFA3 <br>E. 2.05 .. Double Honour W2/13<br>S. 4.25 .. Trade Dispute W4/11

    (Edited by dave jay at 9:33 am on April 9, 2003)

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