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Im on Vauban win only at 14s so really hope Iceo underperformed yesturday rather than Pied Piper being an absolute monster whos come on a ton for his race where he beat Vauban, either way, good for the Vauban form and he surely would have won LTO had he not made that mistake at the last, will be a fascinating watch next week! Hope they go Supreme with Pied Piper just in case it is a mega horse now lol.
Can’t work out why Fil Dor is 2/1 for Saturdays race (second favourite to Vauban who’s evens) yet Fil Dor is shorter in the market for the Triumph than the Mullins horse (3/1 compared to 4/1). Seems good value on the Elliot charge this weekend.
Im with you ben, theres a presupposition that vauban will improve as much as pied piper in his price for the weekend, its as if hes already done it, he hasnt, the prices are wrong fil dor should be the fav, 9/4? Ill have to back that and let vauban do it, couldnt be touching him at evs
Because fil dor isn’t certain to run this weekend youd have to assume
He likes a bit of cut which he won’t get unless they relentlessly water the incredibly well draining leopardstown
Ah thanks FF, wasn’t aware of the clear weather over in Ireland.
And Ham if Vauban does end up improving as much as Pied Piper seemed to then I’ll be very happy indeed, but I wouldn’t want to bet on it lol.
Elliott never mentioned a ground worry for fil dor did he? even though his forms on it, he won fine on good at fairyhouse, its the DRF, he will 100% be running unless injured,regardless, absolutely no chance he comes out because the ground
And i wouldnt be betting evs on it ben thats for sure
Davy Russell said at Xmas that Fil Dor loves soft ground but can handle a bit better. From that, to me, says he prefers cut in the ground. They have been putting a lot of water on the track so he may well run.
Makes no difference what davy sais, this is one of the top 3 races/fesitvals of the season for him, hes running regardless if hes fit, its the DRF, if this was cheltenham it wouldnt even be a question, he’d just run, as he will here.
“A bit of softer ground would suit him better, but it was a nice performance and he did it well. Lunar Power brought him a little left so he needed the good jump at the last.
“We will look at Leopardstown over Christmas but ground will be a thing, so we will put him in at Chepstow (Finale Hurdle) as well.”
Fwiw that’s what Gordon said after his second run
So far from certain to run unless the taps are turned on, which it sounds like they are doing so hopefully both run
It’s usually just the chase track that has an issue as the hurdles track is normally fine since it’s watered all summer for the flat.
If he needs true soft ground he could be struggling come the Friday of Cheltenham. Normally good ground by then.
Get in Vauban! The Vauban Pied Piper matchup looks on now in March. Cashed out Icare.
Fil dor not out of it at all, especially if the ground is soft
He looks like a stayer
Though you’d expect vauban to improve again and be tough to beat
Get in there Mike!! Looked quality there. Bit gutted I’m on win only but the ew double with ADV is looking very saucy!! £15 ew at 20/1 and 14/1 lol
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