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I’ve been touting Cinders and Ashes for months. Pretty unusual for a horse with a profile like his to win this race but there seems to be very little coming through the ranks
1pt ew Cinders and Ashes 12/1 PP
Looks like Midnight Game and Vulcanite are Pricewise. Colossal amount of money for Midnight Game in the past couple of hours. Was 15./22. about 3 hours ago, now 12./12.5. Vulcanite 15./16..
ZARKAVA
Captain Chris, 1pt e/w @ 20/1, generally.
Hurricane Fly, 2pt @ 9/4, generally.
Sizing Europe, 2pt @ 5/2 generally.
Dynaste, 1pt e/w @ 33/1 generally
Al Ferof, 2pt @ 6/1 with Coral
Bob’s Worth, 2pt @ 5/1 generally.Not sure how people feel about this, but would anybody object to me changing my Bob’s Worth bet from 5/1 (still 5s, possibly even 9/2) to 1pt EW Invictus at 50s (was also 50s at the time I selected Bob’s Worth)?
ZARKAVA
Captain Chris, 1pt e/w @ 20/1, generally.
Hurricane Fly, 2pt @ 9/4, generally.
Sizing Europe, 2pt @ 5/2 generally.
Dynaste, 1pt e/w @ 33/1 generally
Al Ferof, 2pt @ 6/1 with Coral
Bob’s Worth, 2pt @ 5/1 generally.Not sure how people feel about this, but would anybody object to me changing my Bob’s Worth bet from 5/1 (still 5s, possibly even 9/2) to 1pt EW Invictus at 50s (was also 50s at the time I selected Bob’s Worth)?
Why the Invictus support? He’s got some nice form and is a lovely jumper, but i haven’t read anything about the RSA being his target and following his disappointing performance in the Dipper, Ascot on Saturday is a big ask considering opposition.
King’s supposed solid batch of Novice Chasers have all been a little disappointiong.
Otherwise i agree with your other selections. I forgot to get on Dynaste at 25’s EW until after his latest run. Have 10’s EW, but lazyness once again ruins me
No objection from me either, Zark.
No idea what the next race is, I imagine it would be the Neptune. I’ll try and find out, and I’ll ipdate the stats too.
My post from the Ryanair thread:
The Ryaniar is looking increasingly competitive this year with contenders from both sides of the Irish Sea.
Rubi Light has done very little wrong but I was disappointed with his Lexus run and today he only did what was expected, I don’t think he should have been cut for this on the back of the Red Mills. He was third last year and you would think he would have improved from then, looks a solid each way option but not for me at the price, at least not at this stage. If the ground came up on the soft side it would be a huge help to him. To win a race like this you need almost everything to go right and very quick ground would dent his chances.
Riverside Theatre and Medermit both ran good races today as well. Of the two I think Medermit looks the better Cheltenham prospect. He flew up the hill in the Supreme and he flew up the hill against Quantitativeeasing, but he found one too good on each occasion. Perhaps that will be Riverside Theatre again. He’s clearly talented but has his problems. In the past he’s been seen to best effect dominating small fields, and been found wanting against the top two mile novices at both Punchestown and Cheltenham. He needs further than that which he has since shown, and he’ll go to Cheltenham a leading contender. I’d fancy Medermit to turn the tables in March though.
Then we have Somersby. Until recently he’s been found wanting at the highest level but he beat Finians Rainbow impressively at Ascot last time out. He seems to perform better there than anywhere although he’s ran some great races in defeat at Cheltenham in the past. This will be a better race than the Victor Chandler imo if all the main contenders turn up.
Noble Prince was below his best last time out when turned over by Blazing Tempo. He was one of the best novices around last year and Cheltenham suits him down to the ground. This has been his aim since last year and he’ll probably get his ground. He’s run some very good races behind Big Zeb this season over two miles, and his season has a similar look to it as last year when he kept bumping into Realt Dubh.
Which brings me to my idea of the winner. Three runs against Noble Prince have yielded three wins. He travels like a dream and jumps for fun. In the Arkle last year he got outpaced in the straight and in hindsight he should probably have run in the Jewson. It is a worry that he hasn’t ran yet this season so hopefully he’ll be out before the month’s end. He’s also likely to finish close to Medermit on Arkle form yet is twice the price. He’s also four times the price of Noble Prince even though he’s won any time they have met.Hopefully he’ll be out in the next two weeks.
Any number of five or six horses could win but for me the value bet has to be Realt Dubh.
Realt Dubh
1pt each-way
20/1 generallyThanks Steeplechasing!
The Beneficial stat must be a concern though.
Riverside Theatre, 2pts win, 7-1 @ Ladbrokes.
Arkle run was over an inadequate trip and i’ll always forgive a horse on indifferent first run round that course.
He was travelling well on Saturday but even better when they quickened. 2.5 miles round Cheltenham should suit.Best horse in the race with the best jockey on board.
I’m on Rubi Light in real life but I absolutely love Albertas Run. I called him a dog when he won the RSA. A very slow dog. I said he’d never win another race. For a whole season I was spot on. Then he won at Ascot.
So I backed him at Cheltenham for the Ryanair. And then I absolutely lumped on at Aintree. And then I backed him at Cheltenham last year again. 3 bets, 3 wins. Profit of something in the region of £1800. A wonderful, tough, resilient, Cheltenham horse.
2pts 12/1
But I think Rubi Light will finish ahead of him.
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