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  • #11920
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Instead in clogging up the forum with many started threads on dates i will use this thread for all of my trend selections forth coming

    30th June 2009

    Jockeys

    Seb Sanders has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 21.59% strike rate at Brighton with a healthy LSP of +44.78 and has 5 mounts today

    2.30 : Call Me Courageous (Upl)
    3.30 : Lancaster Lad (Upl)
    4.30 : Rough Sketch (Won 7/1)
    5.00 : Artic Freedom (Upl)
    5.30 : Caribbean Coral (Upl)

    Lanfranco Dettori has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 33.33% strike rate at Thirsk with a LSP of +0.25 and has just the 1 mount

    8.00 : Yirga (Won 4/5)

    Adrian (Trotter) Nicholls has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 12.86% strike rate at Hamilton with a LSP of +15.70 and goes to the Scottish course for just the one ride today.

    2.45 : Metroland (Upl)

    Trainers

    Richard Fahey has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 19.41% strike rate at Hamilton with a LSP of +26.24 and has runners today

    2.45 : Gap Princess (Won 2/1)
    3.45 : Stateside (Won 3/1)
    5.15 : Optical Illusion (Won 11/2)
    5.45 : Acquavella

    Clive Cox has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 30.00% strike rate at Brighton with a LSP of +18.50 and has just the 1 runner

    5.00 : Perfect Class (Upl)

    Jeremy Noseda has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 48.78% strike rate at Brighton with a LSP of +18.47 and has just 1 runner

    3.00 : Rocky’s Pride (Won 11/10)

    Sir Mark Prescott has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 32.94% strike rate at Brighton with a LSP of -6.54 and has just the 1 runner

    4.30 : Rough Sketch (Won 7/1)

    Saeed Suroor has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 42.11% strike rate at Thirsk with a LSP of +3.81 and has just the 1 runner

    8.00 : Yirga (Won 4/5)

    #249737
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Been away on another forum. but am going to contnue this now with my new strategy. i am going to transfer my data from the other forum to here.

    Right here is my trend strategy

    The trends will consist of as follows…

    1).

    Trainers percentage at courses

    2).

    Jockeys percentage at courses

    3).

    Trainer & Jockey Combination

    4).

    Speed Ratings which will be based on last 8 runs at the distance.

    5).

    The Horse’s Best time over the trip

    6).

    The Horse’s best handicap mark in an equivalant race.

    On occasions you will see extra yardage in a race and i will calculate accordingly.

    Example

    0-50yrds =

    1.25sec

    51-100yrds =

    1.75sec

    101-150yrds =

    2.25sec

    151-280yrds =

    2.75sec

    Also i will have to calculate the loosing distance in a race and an example below.

    Example

    7f 32yrds Winning Time : 84.33

    1 Brave Prospector
    2. 1.5L Lowther
    3. 2.75L

    Bond City

    The horse i will concentrate on here is the third placed Bond City who finished 4.25L behind the eventual winner.How i will calculate this is by allowing 0.50sec to every one length. This would give me an outcome of.

    4.25 x 0.50 = 2.12sec will be added to the winning time which would show 86.55. Now if the next race the horse runs in shows a dead 7f distance you will have to take off the allocated distance time using the yardage chart. so example

    Example

    86.55 – 1.25 = 85.25

    This would give me the calculated time that the horse ran over the dead 7f.

    Now these trends will be allocated for races 5f – 1m either them being Handicaps or Listed to Group races

    #249738
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Haydock

    15.30 E.b.f. Halliwells Llp Classified Stakes (Class 3) (3YO plus) 6f

    Ron Price : 13.04%
    Jamie Osborne : 14.04%
    Richard Fahey : 11.04%
    Colin Teague : 0.00%
    Rod Millman : 6.12%
    Dandy Nicholls : 10.22%
    Henry Candy : 13.89%
    Paul Green : 4.29%
    Bryan Smart : 4.60%
    Tim Easterby : 8.39%

    Points Table

    Beat The Bell : 10+10+1+5+7+5 (38)
    Lucky Numbers : 10+7+5+5 (27)
    Masai Moon : 7+1+10 (18)
    Dark Michief : 7+1+3 (11)
    Barons Spy : 5+5+3+1 (14)
    Fishforcompliments : 3+3+3+10+10+7 (36)
    Favourite Girl : 10 (10)
    Master Rooney : 1+7+1 (9)
    Guertino : 5+3+3 (11)
    Silaah : 1+1 (2)

    James Doyle : 14.29%
    Kieren Fallon : 23.33%
    Paul Hanagan : 11.67%
    Derek Nolan : 6.82%
    James Millman : 15.79%
    Adrian Nicholls : 7.34%
    Dane O’Neil : 8.00%
    Silvestre De Sousa : 6.25%
    Richard Mullen : 8.57%
    David Allan : 7.05%

    Doyle & Price : 9.66%
    Fallon & Osborne : 12.50%
    Hanagan & Fahey : 13.26%
    Nolan & Teague : 14.29%
    Millman & Millman : 10.62%
    Nicholls & Nicholls : 10.41%
    O’Neil & Candy : 12.41%
    Se Sousa & Green : 18.92%
    Mullen & Smart : 18.60%
    Allan & Easterby : 9.40%

    Baron’s Spy : 72.01 (Warwick) = SR 83 (88)
    Beat The Bell : 70.72 (Yarmouth) = SR 117 (90 AW)
    Fishforcompliments : 69.88 (Hamilton) = SR 124 (91)
    Guertino : 73.16 (Newcastle) = SR 88 (89)
    Masai Moon : 73.01 (Windsor) = SR 87 (95)
    Silaah : 72.08 (Newmarket) = SR 82 (82)
    Dark Mischief : 73.17 (Windsor) = SR 87 (89 AW)
    Lucky Numbers : 70.04 (Ayr) = 110 (90)
    Master Rooney : 72.51 (Hamilton) = 86 (88)
    Favourite Girl : 73.60 (York) = 67 (95)

    BEAT THE BELL : 38

    FISHFORCOMPLIMENTS : 36 (NR)
    LUCKY NUMBERS : 27

    Black Highlighted : 1pt e/w on both @ SP

    #249739
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Jockeys to watch today

    Yarmouth

    Seb Sanders

    has Accumulated over the last 10 seasons at Yarmouth a 19.03% strike rate with a LSP of +£57.54 and has four rides.

    2.10 : Tudor Princess
    2.40 :

    Togiak

    4.40 : Whiskey Junction
    5.10 : Rough Sketch

    Alan Munro

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 17.05% strike rate at Yarmouth with a LSP of +£35.98 and has just two rides.

    3.40 : Musigny
    5.10 :

    Watson’s Bay

    Trainers to watch today

    Yarmouth

    Richard Fahey

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 18.18% strike rate with a LSP deficit of -£10.16 and has just the one runner.

    16.40 :

    Total Impact

    Haydock

    Michael Dods

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 15.11% strike rate wiht a LSP of +£3.83 and has just the one runner

    16.00 : Burning Incense

    Ruth Carr

    has accumulated over the last two seasons a 40.00% strike rate with a LSP of +£10.50 and has just the one runner.

    4.00 :

    Avontuur

    The four highlighted in black are the played bets today

    £1 Luck 15 / 2pt on each to win

    #249740
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Sandown

    16.05 Fortune Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus) 1m 14y

    Gary Moore : 7.22%
    John Gosden : 18.84%
    Jeremy Noseda : 23.08%
    Mark Johnston : 16.21%
    Mike De Kock : 0.00%
    Andrew Balding : 9.88%

    Points Chart

    Forgotten Voice : 10+7+10+3+5+5 (40)
    Cadre : 7+3+7+7 (24)
    Laa Rayb : 5+5+5+10+7 (32)
    Ada River : 3+1+1+3+1+1 (10)
    Bankable : 1+10+5+10+7+10 (43)
    Zulu Chief : 3+1+3+3 (10)

    Ryan Moore : 21.77%
    Jimmy Fortune : 12.38%
    Frankie Dettori : 21.13%
    Royston Ffrench : 14.06%
    Pat Cosgrave : 0.00%
    William Buick : 5.77%

    Moore & Moore : 19.57%
    Fortune & Gosden : 19.81%
    Dettori & Noseda : 28.57%
    Ffrench & Johnston : 13.70%
    Cosgrave & De Kock : 16.67%
    Buick & Balding : 15.58%

    Bankable : 95.57 (Newmarket) SR 118 (117)
    Cadre : 98.85 (Yarmouth) SR 83 (86)
    Forgotten Voice : 101.66 (Ascot) SR 115 (101)
    Laa Rayb : 100.80 (Windsor) SR 120 (115)
    Zulu Chief : 104.85 (Newmarket) SR 88 (105)
    Ada River : 103.71 (Sandown) SR 85 (100)

    BANKABLE

    FORGOTTEN VOICE
    LAA RAYB

    BANKABLE

    :

    10pt win @ 0.78 BF

    #249741
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Starting Bank :

    100pts

    Bets Placed : 3
    Winners :
    Seconds :
    Thirds :

    Win Only Bets : 1
    e/w Only Bets :

    Price Taken : 0.78
    Bookie : Betfair

    Returns :
    Loss :
    Profit :

    Closing Bank :

    96pts

    #249743
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Todays trainers and Jockeys to watch

    Michael Dods

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 12.00% strike rate at Beverley and a LSP of +£1.34

    2.00 : Croft Bridge
    3.10 :

    Artsu

    Richard Fahey

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 16.89% striker rate at Beverley with a LSP of +£1.00

    3.10 : Peninsular War
    5.20 : Carpe Diom
    5.55 :

    Pacific Bay

    Saeed Bin Suroor

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 36.36% strike rate at Beverley with a LSP of +£1.00

    4.20 : Nafura
    :

    China Lily

    Joe Fanning

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 14.04% strike rate at Beverley with an LSP of -£22.08

    3.10 : Embra
    4.20 : Always Be One
    4.50 :

    Epic

    Highlighted in black are in play

    50p e/w Lucky 15 / 1pt on each to win

    #249745
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Single Bets Placed

    Opening Bank :

    500pts

    Bets Placed : 4
    Staked :

    8pts

    Returns : 0
    Loss : 8
    Profit :

    Closing Bank

    :

    492pts

    #249746
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Lucky 15/31/63

    Opening Bank

    : £500

    Bets : 1

    Outlay

    : £15

    Returns

    : £50.44

    Lucky 15 returns

    : £50.44
    Lucky 31 returns :
    Lucky 63 returns :

    Closing Bank

    : £520.44

    Today a 9/1 and 5/1 double

    #249747
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Single Bets Placed

    Opening Bank : 500pts

    Bets Placed : 4
    Staked :

    4pts

    Returns

    : 16pts
    Loss :

    Profit

    : +12pts

    Closing Bank

    : 504pts

    #249748
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Starting Bank

    : 100pts

    Bets Placed : 3
    Winners : 1
    Seconds :
    Thirds :

    Win Only Bets : 1
    e/w Only Bets :

    Price Taken :

    0.78

    Bookie : Betfair

    Returns

    : 7.80
    Loss :

    Profit

    : +7.80

    Closing Bank

    : 103.80pts

    #249749
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Pontefract

    Pontefract Park Fillies’ Handicap (Class 3) (3YO plus) 6f

    Micky Quinn : 12.50%
    Mick Channon : 12.70%
    Michael Jarvis : 30.38%
    Nigel Tinkler : 6.98%
    Jonathon Gask : 100.00%
    Henry Cecil : 32.00%

    Points Chart

    Catalan Bay : 10+7+3 (20)
    Invincible Isle : 7+3+7+5+5+5 (32)
    Russian Spirit : 5+10+10+3+7+1 (36)
    Artistic License : 3+5+3+7+3+7 (28)
    Angus Newz : 1+1+5+10+10+10 (37)
    Misplaced Fortune : 1+1+1 (3)

    Robert Winston : 9.85%
    Alan Munro : 15.00%
    Philip Robinson : 23.13%
    Louis P Beuzelin : 0.00%
    Tadge O’Shea : 15.38%
    Jimmy Quinn : 11.29%

    Winston & Quinn : 10.34%
    Munro & Channon : 5.26%
    Robinson & Jarvis : 18.85%
    Beuzelin & Tinkler : 0.00%
    O’Shea & Gask : 0.00%
    Quinn & Cecil : 12.96%

    Angus Newz : 72.55 (Yarmouth) SR 93 (90)
    Artistic License : 72.68 (Goodwood) SR 74 (83)
    Russian Spirit : 73.52 (Windsor) SR 82 (74)
    Misplaced Fortune : 75.15 (Nottingham) SR 52 (62)
    Catalan Bay : 76.81 (Haydock) SR 51 (75)
    Invincible Isle : 73.22 (Nottingham) SR 80 (78)

    ANGUS NEWZ : 37

    RUSSIAN SPIRIT : 36
    INVINCIBLE ISLE : 32

    ANGUS NEWZ : 3pt Win @ 4.2 BF

    #249750
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Lots going on today and first we will look at Richard Fahey’s runners

    Richard Fahey

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons at yarmouth a 21.62% strike rate with a LSP of -£4.26.

    3.10 : Lady Lefroy
    3.40 :

    Newbury Street

    Also he has accumulated over the last 10 seasons at Ayr a 14.24% strike rate with an LSP of -£12.43 recording the last 10 runners as losers here.

    2.20 : Brinscola /

    Jeannies Galloway

    3.50 :

    Tufton

    / Rossini’s Dancer
    4.20 : Unbreak My Heart / Charlie Tokyo
    4.50 :

    Faithful Ruler

    5.20 :

    She’s in the Money

    0.50p e/w Lucky 31 highlighted in black / 1/2pt e/w on all highlighted

    #249751
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Alan Munro

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 15.00% strike rate at Pontefract with a LSP of -£10.93

    3.00 :

    Citrus Star

    4.00 : Artistic License
    5.00 :

    Capeability

    5.30 : Betteras Bertie

    Hayley Turner

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 11.54% strike rate at Ayr with a LSP OF +£28.00

    2.20 :

    Horseradish

    2.50 : Glenluji
    3.20 :

    Syrian

    4.20 : King Charles
    4.50 : Moves Goodenough
    5.20 : Steel Free
    5.50 : Ocean Transit

    Henry Cecil

    has accumulated over the last 10 seasons a 32.00% strike rate at Pontefract with a LSP of +£8.61

    4.00 : Invincible Isle
    5.00 : Feathered Crown

    Michael Jarvis

    has accumulate over the last 10 seasons a 30.38% strike rate at Pontefract with a LSP of +£21,38

    4.00 : Russian Spirit
    5.00 :

    Alainmaar

    £1 Lucky 31 / 1pt on each to win

    #249752
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Ayr

    16.50 John Smith’s Handicap (Div 1) (Class 4) (3YO plus) 1m

    D.H Brown : 0.00%
    Paul Midgley : 5.56%
    Michael Dods : 9.36%
    Richard Fahey : 14.24%
    Alan Swinbank : 15.08%
    Mark Tompkins : 14.44%
    Peter Chapple-Hyam : 0.00%
    John Quinn : 9.41%
    A.G.Foster : 13.33%
    Kevin Ryan : 10.97%
    Bryan Smart : 9.46%

    Points Chart

    Ezdeyaad : 10+7+10+5 (32)
    Exit Smiling : 10+5 (15)
    Kinsya : 7+1+3+5 (16)
    Veiled Applause : 5+10+7+10 (32)
    Faithful Ruler : 5+3 (8)
    Celtic Change : 5+10+3 (18)
    Doric Echo : 3+7+1+1 (12)
    Thousand Miles : 5+7 (12)
    Spirit of a Nation : 3+10 (13)
    Moves Goodenough : 3+1+3 (7)
    Island Chief : 1+7+1+3 (12)

    Andrew Heffernan : 0.00%
    Micky Fenton : 15.75%
    Philip Makin : 10.15%
    Patrick McDonald : 15.00%
    Ashley Morgan : 0.00%
    Richard Mullen : 10.71%
    Frederick Tylicki : 14.81%
    Hayley Turner : 11.54%
    Amy Ryan : 0.00%
    Greg Fairley : 14.56%

    Heffernan & Brown : 0.00%
    Fenton & Midgley : 7.50%
    Makin & Dods : 14.09%
    Hanagan & Fahey : 13.27%
    McDonald & Swinbank : 11.48%
    Morgan & Tompkins : 12.71%
    Mullen & Chapple-Hyam : 5.56%
    Tylicki & Quinn : 28.57%
    Turner & Foster : 0.00%
    Ryan & Ryan : 17.50%
    Fairley & Smart : 12.50%

    Spirit of a Nation : 100.09 ( Kempton AW) SR 78 (85)
    Exit Smiling : 103.31 (Beverley) SR 69 (83)
    Celtic Change : 98.02 (Redcar) SR 71 (82)
    Faithful Ruler : 108.07 (Nottingham) SR 57 (80)
    Ezdeyaad : 102.08 (Haydock) SR 99 (83)
    Kinsya : 103.00 (Windsor) SR 95 (83)
    Thousand Miles : 99.70 (Newmarket) SR 71 (84)
    Veiled Applause : 104.69 (Pontefract) SR 96 (85)
    Moves Goodenough : 110.40 (Redcar) SR 58 (82)
    Island Chief : 101.41 (Musselburgh) SR 82 (64)
    Doric Echo : 99.15 (Ayr) SR 81 (81)

    EZDEYAAD : 32

    VEILED APPLAUSE : 32

    KINSYA : 16

    1pt e/w on both @ 9/1 Coral / 12/1 Ladbrokes

    #249753
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Lucky 15/31/63

    Opening Bank

    : £500

    Bets

    : 2

    Outlay

    : £62

    Returns

    : £397.05

    Lucky 15 returns :

    Lucky 31 returns

    : £397.05
    Lucky 63 returns :

    Closing Bank

    : £855.49

    #249754
    Trendsman
    Member
    • Total Posts 206

    Starting Bank

    : 100pts

    Bets Placed : 3
    Winners : 1
    Seconds :
    Thirds :

    Win Only Bets : 1
    e/w Only Bets : 2

    Price Taken

    : 9/1 / 12/1 / 4.2

    Bookie

    : Betfair / Ladbrokes / Coral

    Returns :

    Loss

    : -7pts
    Profit :

    Closing Bank

    : 96.80pts

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