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Travers Stakes 2022

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  • #1612532
    Turkoman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 287

    This year’s renewal of the $1.25 million “mid-summer derby” over 10F at Saratoga looks very competitive (at least on paper) with both, Rich Strike (the Kentucky Derby winner) and Early Voting (the Preaknes winner), are represented in this eight-runner contest.
    Here are the runners in order of their stall number with sire’s name and odds in parentheses:

    1. Cyberknife (Gun Runner) – (7/2) – previous run: Haskel Inv. (G1); 1/8
    2. Rich Strike (Keen Ice) – (10/1) – previous run: Belmont Stakes (G1); 6/8
    3. Ain’t Life Grand (Not This Time) – (20/1) – previous run: Listed; 1/5
    4. Gilded Age (Medaglia d’Oro) – (30/1) – previous run: Listed; 2/8
    5. Artorius (Arrogate) – (9/2) – previous run; Listed; 1/8
    6. Epicenter (Not This Time) – (7/5) – previous run: Jim Dandy (G2); 1/4
    7. Early Voting (Gun Runner) – (8/1) – previous run: Jim Dandy (G2); 4/4
    8. Zandon (Upstart) – (5/1) – previous run: Jim Dandy (G2); 2/4

    The favorite, Epicenter, has been very consistent this year but has yet to win a G1. Although he looked good winning the Jim Dandy beating Preaknes winner Early Voting in my view, visually, Cyberknife looked much better in winning the Haskell where he broke Spend A Buck’s course record over 9F that stood since 1985…

    It’s worth noting that Rich Strike is the only runner with a victory over the distance so he could represent “value” at his current odds. Moreover, Saratoga’s more recent going has been “deeper” than usual which is more tiring for pacemaker types but is better suited for late running styles…

    To me, the one of most interest is Juddmonte’s home-bread, Chad Brown-trained Artorious. This Arrogate colt is very lightly-raced with 2 wins in only 3 starts. But his last was an eye-opener even though it was against lower lever competition than he’ll face here. His “dad” won this race en route to winning the Breeders’ Cup Classic. Should he prevail here, no doubt he will be considered a leading contender for this year’s ‘Classic…

    Good Luck all…

    #1612540
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    One of five Grade 1s on a scintillating Saratoga card.

    I shall be giving the Travers and all of them my undivided attention when I get home from Goodwood later tonight

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    #1612587
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    Just had chance to look at this terrific card’s five Grade 1s.

    In the 6.55, Jackie’s Warrior looks in a zone of his own.

    Seems equally effective at 6f or this 7f and unbeaten in four starts this year, two at this level.

    I won’t hear of defeat for Jack Christopher in the 8.52.

    For me, and as predicted at the time. he simply failed to get the 1m1f trip in the Haskell last time.

    Prior to that, he had been simply sensational when winning the Woody Stephens by this 7f by an easy TEN at Belmont Park.

    The 9.32 looks less clear cut but Clairiere ought to have a favourite’s chance having won a Grade 2 over this 1m1f course and distance last time.

    And in the 10.05 on Turf I’d want to be with Gufo who shaped like a return to 1m4f would suit when finishing strongly over a furlong less last time.

    And so to the Travers at 10.44pm (well past my bedtime!).

    Cyberknife won the Haskell in a manner which suggests this 1m2f will suit, but Epicentre would be my choice.

    He’s put up three banging Grade 1 performances in his last three runs.

    Runner up in that insane Kentucky Derby when they went a suicidal pace and, after leading fully 2f out he was mugged close home by Rich Strike who came from another zip code to pick off all the kamikaze pilots.

    And runner up to Early Voting in the Preakness before avenging that defeat in the Jim Dandy over 1m1f here last time out.

    Big lie in for me Sunday morning because I’m be staying up late to watch this one.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1612631
    Avatar photoChivers1987
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1970

    In the 2205, if Adhamo stays the extra furlong after his 11 furlong grade 1 victory last time then I fancy he’s good value at 5/1. Broome is currently 11/10 ish and OK he was in the much more prestigious King George last time but Christ he was miles back.

    #1612667
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6657

    Big shock with Jackie’s warrior getting turned over

    Got softened up a bit then the winner stayed on strongly from off the pace

    #1612668
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    A dramatic start to the five G1s for sure.

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    #1612674
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    Order restored to the universe as Jack Christopher wins with authority.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1612677
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6657

    If that clariere isn’t injured I’d love to hear the jockeys explanation of what was going on there

    Malathaat won a shade cosily in the end after the second and third got racing quite early

    #1612678
    Avatar photoIanDavies
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    • Total Posts 12998

    Malathaat comes with a storming late run to score – favourite Clairiere seemed to get unsettled as they were held in the gates, started slowly and never figured.

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    #1612679
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6657

    Rather important typo on the skybet website for the next race

    I thought Broome looked horrendously short at 5/4

    But they’ve got him down as a 128 horse not a 118 horse so he must be a certainty

    I’m sure there will be a few who don’t realise that’s a mistake and think they are backing something 10lbs clear of the field on ratings

    #1612680
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    Win or lose I think Broome is short.

    Even on his best form – which he certainly didn’t show last time out – he hasn’t got that much in hand here.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1612683
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    It would be somewhat ironic if the Chad brown battalions boxed broome in and made it as hard as possible for him to win

    #1612685
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    “And in the 10.05 on Turf I’d want to be with Gufo who shaped like a return to 1m4f would suit when finishing strongly over a furlong less last time.”

    That was the one I really wanted – fairly decent price.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1612686
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
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    5/4 pre race

    Likely 50/1 after that start

    Took plenty of encouragement to get going too

    Not a horse iv ever taken too

    Wouldn’t have backed him with monopoly money at that price

    #1612691
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    “Epicentre would be my choice.”

    Well-deserved victory for Epicentre, who doesn’t know how to run a bad race and won this with authority – clearly the best middle-distance dirt 3yo in the USA now, I think.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1612698
    Avatar photoGladiateur
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    • Total Posts 4749

    Both Mo Donegal and Nest might have something to say about that last statement, Chezza.

    #1612700
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12998

    Schoolboy error, Gladders, I haven’t won as much money on either of them as I did on Epicentre last night – that always impacts heavily on Chezza Ratings!

    Joking aside, I’d fancy Epicentre to take care of Mo Donegal over 1m2f, but Nest has been sensational since her Belmont second to him and, of course, gets the gender allowance in any meeting with the colts.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"

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