Home › Forums › Horse Racing › Today's Pricewise – "50-1 generally available"
- This topic has 186 replies, 71 voices, and was last updated 11 years, 1 month ago by Nathan Hughes.
-
AuthorPosts
-
June 25, 2011 at 17:48 #19023
Hi all
Is it me or is Tom Segal in a rich vein of form? Today he tipped Tominator at 50/1 <!– s:shock: –><!– s:shock: –> Didn’t take a blind bit of notice myself <!– s:( –><!– s:( –>
June 25, 2011 at 18:21 #362487AnonymousInactive- Total Posts 17716
Must of had a nod from connections that it was trying before he put that up then.
June 25, 2011 at 18:25 #362488If you call a 50/1 winner a rich vein of form, yes.
I have backed the horse several times myself but didn’t think he would handle the going. I doubt that it was as soft as expected and to be fair he has bolted up.
June 25, 2011 at 18:29 #362489Was at Newcastleand haven’t seen times but certainly thought the ground was no worse than good to soft (probably on the good side of GTS).
Big crowd, sunny day and despite my fears about a Saturday summer crowd everyone was well behaved and enjoying themselves.
Well done Tom Segal, that one took a bit of finding.
June 25, 2011 at 18:30 #362490Fair play Mr Segal
June 25, 2011 at 19:17 #362492No I don’t call finding a 50/1 winner a rich vein of form. It seems he’s picked a few good bets lately…..er that’s all really.
June 25, 2011 at 20:57 #362500No I don’t call finding a 50/1 winner a rich vein of form. It seems he’s picked a few good bets lately…..er that’s all really.
It’s easy for a horse to win at 2m off of a featherweight when he has been crying out for the distance and held back for the big day. A right touch if you ask me, fair play to Segal for spotting a horse that was being lined up for a big pay day at the expense of every punter who previously backed it over an inadequate distance.
June 25, 2011 at 21:02 #362502Maybe he knows something…takes his price and let’s the nation know…fair enough.
June 25, 2011 at 21:59 #362508He is different gravy. Its alright being a flash in the pan, however he just keeps churning out winners. Wonder what is profit/loss is to £1 stake. Any one have info?
June 26, 2011 at 13:59 #362601He is different gravy. Its alright being a flash in the pan, however he just keeps churning out winners. Wonder what is profit/loss is to £1 stake. Any one have info?
–
Have a look on Tipsterform. We keep a record of his tips and record P&L at £100 a point. Hes about 5pts down since Jan 1st and 55 pts ahead since Sept 1st.June 26, 2011 at 14:03 #362602No I don’t call finding a 50/1 winner a rich vein of form. It seems he’s picked a few good bets lately…..er that’s all really.
It’s easy for a horse to win at 2m off of a featherweight when he has been crying out for the distance and held back for the big day. A right touch if you ask me, fair play to Segal for spotting a horse that was being lined up for a big pay day at the expense of every punter who previously backed it over an inadequate distance.
He’s spent much of 2011 in France. I didn’t think such skullduggery happened over there because of their excellent prize money.
June 26, 2011 at 14:41 #362605Don’t think you’d call the Hollinshead stable a gambling yard either.
My brother was a stable lad there for 6 years in the 80s and you can count the number of winning tips he came home with on the digits of Captain Hooks hooked hand!
June 26, 2011 at 18:58 #362647Aside from that he went into this race rated 90. Assuming that the stable thought Tominator to be favoured by the two mile trip, I wouldn’t imagine that there would be a pile of options for him over this sort of distance anyway. He would pretty much have been forced into events of similar class to the Northumberland Plate at the top courses.
Other tah nthe distance it’s not as if the hrose’s form wasn’t there for all to see. He’d won twice and most of the time was staying on at the end of his previous races. Add to that, he’d only been out of the first 4 once in his last seven runs in Britain. Indeed, if it hadn’t been for his beaten form in France, I suspect he’d have been a shorter price here. Tominator had form to give him a chance in the Plate but then, as I discussed with David Cormack on course, so did many of the field in what looked a very open contest.
As an aside, if I took one out of this contest it’s Petara Bay, who ran a cracker in staying on for fourth. Might be worth bearing in mind for then near future as his recent runs suggest he’s crying out for an extended trip.
Rob
June 26, 2011 at 21:26 #362654Just an example of why finding value in a race is important. Tom Segal A.K.A Pricewise although its a team effort really found a 50/1 which was backed down to 25/1 which most of us including me would love to back.
June 27, 2011 at 14:43 #362683You’d want balls of steel to be still following him since January
June 28, 2011 at 08:21 #362715Well you don`t have to blindly follow him,but theres no doubt for months now his information has been classic. And has turned up some very clver winners. He tips more than one of course,and ,if your unlucky or lazy or rushing, and don`t turn over the page, you`d have missed it,as his main selection was on the page before
June 28, 2011 at 13:49 #362745Well you don`t have to blindly follow him,but theres no doubt for months now his information has been classic. And has turned up some very clver winners. He tips more than one of course,and ,if your unlucky or lazy or rushing, and don`t turn over the page, you`d have missed it,as his main selection was on the page before
Have to disagree with you in relation to a couple of things there Roddy
1. Where a tipster specialises in tipping big-priced winners, in order to make money following him, you really do have to back every single one because you can’t afford to miss a day in case that is the day that the 50/1 winner wipes out the previous 49 losses
2. As TipsterForm says on previous page, prior to Saturday, his Pricewise column was almost 60 pts down since 01-Jan and that’s a lot of losers for anyone’s bank to bear. A lot of these were unplaced as well (believe me I know, I was backing them!)
Now I’m not knocking Tom because he knows what he is doing (his reasoning for his selections is worth buying the paper for more than the actual tips IMO) and everyone goes through a bad patch but sometimes I do feel that we are a little in awe of him, not least because of the glorified hyped-up crap that the RP puts up after he tips a winner. I mean he tipped 13 losers in a row at Royal Ascot before Brown Panther went in and the headline in the RP next day was something along the lines of "Bookies reeling after Pricewise tips a 9/1 winner". The RP should really have the full stats to hand for all to see. Otherwise it’s just all smoke and mirrors.
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.