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THM Goes Jumping 2013-14

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  • #457194
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    Felix Yonger is a non runner which is very disappointing, the 7/4 I had had long gone. Hopefully The Game Changer will do the business, being well supported.

    #457199
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    Thanks VTC, big day as I said!

    The Game Changer was unlucky when brought down in the Land Rover and has a huge reputation. The Mullins horse could be anything but 4/7 for a horse off the track for a year, wearing a hood too, seems very short. But then again maybe he’s that short for a reason, despite the negatives.

    Either way I think The Game Changer is too big at 7/2. I’ve already put him in an each way double with Felix Yonger (got 3/1 on TGC in that), and have just taken 11/4 for him in a straight win single.

    Cork 1.10 – The Game Changer (3/1)
    Cork 2.50 – Felix Yonger (5/4)
    €15 e/w double (PP)

    Cork 1.10
    The Game Changer
    €45 win @ 11/4 (PP)

    Winner alright! :D 8)

    Double becomes a single with Felix Yonger a N/R…

    €15 e/w @ 3/1 returns


    €45 win @ 11/4 returns

    + €43.75

    #457205
    TomBarkley87
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    • Total Posts 1835

    Good work Tommy :) At least someone’s picking winners eh :lol:

    #457213
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    Big word for Discover Wexford in the bumper, I’m not on but she should go close!

    #457218
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    Good work Tommy :) At least someone’s picking winners eh :lol:

    Thanks Boz, very happy with The Game Changer’s performance. If he learned to jump he could be a serious animal. He pretty much pulled his way to the lead half a mile out, and idled in front, I’d say he’s capable of a lot better than the bare form.

    #457224
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15977

    Well done THM & TGC 8)

    #457260
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    Thanks VTC, not for the the first time The Game Changer produces the goods 8)

    Looking ahead to this weeks racing. Fairyhouse stage a seven race card on Wednesday, where

    Apache Stronghold

    is the standout entry.

    Thurles is on Thursday. The first race is a beginners chase, where

    The Paparazzi Kid

    is of interest. There is a Listed Chase over 2m 6f with a good entry. The promising

    Turnandgo

    is entered in a maiden hurdle over 2m 6f.

    #457323
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    I think Cue Card is a bet at better than evens. He has to concede masses of weight all round but I think he’s probably a few pounds better than his official rating. He was rated about a stone lighter when winning last year, but it’s hardcto see too many dangers. If Somersby was at his best he’d be fav off that sort of weight but he looks regressive whereas Cue Card loojed to be still improving towards the end of last season. Williams Wishes is a nice horse and is the one I’d fear. I’ve taken Power’s 11/8.

    Exeter 2.50
    Cue Card
    €20 win @ 11/8 (PP)

    + €23.75

    #457437
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    Cue Card a shade disappointing yesterday, didn’t jump well and looked uncertain at a good few fences. As Steeplechasing has said elsewhere, he jumps better when Joe Tizzard helps him attack a fence but unfortunately he didn’t receive much help from the saddle in that regard yesterday.

    Two bets today, one of them very small! The main bet is

    Stoney

    in the 1.55 Fairyhouse, a two mile maiden hurdle. The horse seems to be held in quite high regard, having been well fancied on more than one occasion. He ran a good race when second in a Thurles bumper last time out, he travels well and should be hard to keep out of the frame. The hot favourite is Willie McCreery’s Kick On Boss, who has some good bumper form, splitting Outlander and Grand Jesture on his second start. However I think he’s a bit short at 5/6 and will take him on with Stoney who looks to be improving in a race that doesn’t look over strong.

    I’ll also have a small punt on

    Miller Of Glanmire

    in the 1.25, he was well fancied for a Galway bumper (where he cost me a packet) before running down the field in a maiden hurdle at Tipperary. The manner in which he stopped that day suggests something may have been amiss. He looks a quirky animal, and I don’t think he’s put it all in on his two race course starts. He looked the archetypal pig at Galway, but the way he traveled last time hints at an engine in their somewhere. He’s 14/1 to win outright, but PP have him 12/1 in their 3-place insurebet market, which appeals more. I’ll risk a fiver on him more in hope than expectation.

    1.25 Fairyhouse
    Miller Of Glanmire
    €5 win @ 12/1 (PP, 3-place insurebet)

    1.55 Fairyhouse
    Stoney
    €10 e/w @ 4/1 (PP)

    PP now gone 7/2 but 4/1 still available elsewhere

    - €1.25

    #457515
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    Got the


    I honestly can’t believe that 4/5 is available on

    Wrath Of Titans

    in the bumper today, thought he’s be 1/2. He was second to Moyle Park in the Land Rover after hacking up in a point, should win today.

    3.55 Thurles
    Wrath Of Titans
    €25 win @ 4/5 (Boyles)

    - €21.25

    #457604
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    I’ve been wondering when Willie Mullins is going to start sending horses over to England and next Saturday’s Paddy Power Gold Cup looks the perfect place with the perfect horse for the race.

    Marito

    was about two or three lengths down and closing when coming to grief two out in the Jewson. I’m not saying he would have won but he was gaining on the leaders and Ruby’s hadn’t really gone for him. It’d be a brave man that’d say he definitely would have been beaten and he surely would have went close.

    Considering how he raced off levels with Dynaste and Captain Conan that day, I find it very hard to see either of those two conceding 12 lbs to the Ricci horse. What’s hard to believe are the prices: Dynaste 5/1 generally, Captain Conan 12/1 generally and Marito 14/1 generally.

    I can only assume the price differential is due to the fact that Mullins generally doesn’t have a runner in these races and I must admit that’s my big worry. However, considering that Mullins has hinted at sending more horses across this season I think it’s worth taking a punt on Marito taking his chance at 14/1. He weighted off his Irish mark of 147 and I think they’ll be missing a trick if they don’t run. If he runs he’ll go off 6 or 7/1 in my opinion.

    Paddy Power Gold Cup
    Marito
    €10 e/w @ 14/1 (PP)

    - €41.25

    #457605
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    Got the


    I honestly can’t believe that 4/5 is available on

    Wrath Of Titans

    in the bumper today, thought he’s be 1/2. He was second to Moyle Park in the Land Rover after hacking up in a point, should win today.

    3.55 Thurles
    Wrath Of Titans
    €25 win @ 4/5 (Boyles)

    Wrath Of Titans was made to work hard in the bumper but his jockey didn’t go for the whip and I think he was confident he was always holding the runner up. There was a Rule 4 deduction.

    - €0.25

    #457610
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    Our Conor out of the Morgiana because he’s not had enough time to recover after getting cuts on his legs at Naas.

    Danny Mullins seemed to put the horse in every barging match and spot of trouble going that day, looks like there were consequences to that poor ride unfortunately.

    #457875
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    Some Tikket tomorrow €25 e/w 5/1 (PP)

    #457876
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    Captain Cee Bee €20 win 11/4 (pp)

    Good night and good luck…

    #457903
    stilvi
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    • Total Posts 5228

    Our Conor out of the Morgiana because he’s not had enough time to recover after getting cuts on his legs at Naas.

    Danny Mullins seemed to put the horse in every barging match and spot of trouble going that day, looks like there were consequences to that poor ride unfortunately.

    I commented on that ride at the time. It was obviously even worse than I first thought. A really great first racecourse association with the horse.

    Owner has three potentially very promising horses in Our Conor, The Tullow Tank and Foxrock. Unfortunately, with Mullins aboard you couldn’t back any of them with any confidence. If any half-decent jockey got on board you could chalk them up another 7lbs, maybe even more. Yesterday, The Tullow Tank got him out of trouble and really should have won with zero fuss on the bridle. Foxrock has had several runs over the wrong trip and has not been ridden to best advantage. Stamina not speed is his asset. He looks a potential National horse. Perhaps they can consider the National Hunt Chase along the way because that would at least mean getting a better jockey on board. Home Farm was another National horse who ran very well over the wrong trip in the opener.

    #458117
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    Our Conor out of the Morgiana because he’s not had enough time to recover after getting cuts on his legs at Naas.

    Danny Mullins seemed to put the horse in every barging match and spot of trouble going that day, looks like there were consequences to that poor ride unfortunately.

    I commented on that ride at the time. It was obviously even worse than I first thought. A really great first racecourse association with the horse.

    Owner has three potentially very promising horses in Our Conor, The Tullow Tank and Foxrock. Unfortunately, with Mullins aboard you couldn’t back any of them with any confidence. If any half-decent jockey got on board you could chalk them up another 7lbs, maybe even more. Yesterday, The Tullow Tank got him out of trouble and really should have won with zero fuss on the bridle. Foxrock has had several runs over the wrong trip and has not been ridden to best advantage. Stamina not speed is his asset. He looks a potential National horse. Perhaps they can consider the National Hunt Chase along the way because that would at least mean getting a better jockey on board. Home Farm was another National horse who ran very well over the wrong trip in the opener.

    The Tullow Tank a great example of horse getting jockey out of trouble, should have won on the snaff as you say. I was a bit disappointed in Turnandgo, who looks like he wants a significant step up in trip. He never stopped in fairness but looked painfully one paced over two miles. Mount Benbulben is another exciting horse but you’d always fear the worst unfortunately.

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