The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

THM Goes Jumping 2012-13

Home Forums Betting Chat – Bets & Tips THM Goes Jumping 2012-13

Viewing 17 posts - 188 through 204 (of 244 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #432973
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Foxhunters
    Salsify
    €20 e/w @ 3/1 (PP)

    #432976
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Martin Pipe
    Toner D’Oudairies
    €5 e/w @ 10/1 (PP)

    Grand Annual
    Kid Cassidy
    €10 e/w @ 4/1 (BetVictor)

    #433021
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Made a few mistakes on this today :oops: Inish Island was obviously 13/1, not 13/1 like I had typed. Also, the last bet which said Kid Cassidy @ 4/1 was meant to be Alderwood. I’d already backed Kid Cassidy anyway, here’s a copy paste job from my BetVictor a/c. If people want photo evidence of the bet fair enough.

    15/03/2013 EUR 10.00 Each Way Single: 15 ALDERWOOD @ 4/1
    Betid 30623791300 Time: 17:20 Bet Type: Single Stake: EUR 20.00
    EVENT SELECTION PRICE E/W TERMS STATUS
    17:15 CHELTENHAM
    Horse Racing Outright – Race
    ALDERWOOD 4/1 Standard EW terms apply Settled

    :oops:

    #433033
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Balance entering this week:


    The following are all my bets for the week, I haven’t deducted anything for the losers who I’ve already counted in the p/l.

    Supreme

    : Un Atout €10 win @ 33/1

    loser

    Arkle

    : Arvika Ligeonniere €10 e/w @ 10/1

    loser

    JLT

    : White Star Line €5 e/w @ 14/1

    placed

    Champion Hurdle

    : Zarkandar €15 e/w @ 9/2

    loser

    Mares

    : Quevega €30 win @ 4/6 (SP 8/11)

    winner

    Centenary

    : Carlito Brigante €10 e/w @ 10/1

    loser

    Double

    : Simonsig & Quevega €20 win

    winner

    Four Miler

    : Back In Focus €25 win @ 11/4

    winner

    Neptune

    : Rule The World €10 e/w @ 20/1

    placed

    RSA

    : Lyreen Legend €5 e/w @ 40/1

    placed

    Champion Chase

    : Sizing Europe €10 e/w @ 10/1

    placed

    Jewson

    : Aupcharlie €10 e/w @ 7/1

    loser

    Pertemps

    : Jetson €7.50 e/w @ 10/1

    placed

    Ryanair

    : First Lieutenant €40 win @ 5/2

    loser

    World Hurdle

    : Oscar Whisky €15 e/w @ 4/1

    loser

    Byrne Plate

    : Ballynagour €10 e/w @ 5/1

    loser

    Triumph

    : Our Conor €10 e/w @ 6/1

    winner

    County Hurdle

    : Tennis Cap €5 e/w @ 14/1

    placed

    Albert Bartlett

    : Free Bet on Inish Island €10 e/w @ 13/2

    placed

    Gold Cup

    : Sir Des Champs €20 e/w @ 7/1

    placed

    Foxhunters

    : Salsify €20 e/w @ 3/1

    winner

    Martin Pipe

    : Toner D’Oudairies €5 e/w @ 10/1

    loser

    Grand Annual

    : Kid Cassidy €7.50 e/w @ 12/1

    placed

    Grand Annual

    : Alderwood €10 e/w @ 4/1

    winner

    Double

    : Sir Des Champs & Salsify €10 e/w

    placed

    + €15

    #433035
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    After a quick tot-up, my p/l now stands at…

    Great to be get my head back above water :)

    #433241
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    I can’t stress enough how much I fancy

    Twigline

    to regain the winning thread after her fall at Sandown last time out. She runs in the 3.25 at Limerick tomorrow. In my opinion she had Utopie Des Bordes’ measure that day, and she ran respectably in the Albert Bartlett yesterday. I can’t see any of this field capable of such form. Missunited is definitely the main danger, she beat the useful Zuska earlier in the season and ran well when 4th behind So Young last time. I said before her last run that Twigline could potentially be the next Quevega, if I’m right she’ll need to win tomorrow.

    3.25 Limerick
    Twigline
    €56.91 win @ 8/11 (Paddy Power)

    + €60

    #434450
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    What better way to took into the Easter eggs than putting the feet up in front of the fire with Fairyhouse and Cork on the telly.

    The highlight of Cork’s seven race card is the Grade 3 Imperial Call Chase over 3 miles, and it will be very surprising if one of the market leaders fails to win. Roi Du Mee, Call The Police and Pandorama head the market and look miles clear of the rest. At the weights

    PANDORAMA

    comes out clear of those two rivals on official ratings but his troublesome time of late has been well documented. He was a beast of a horse as a novice chaser and hacked up in a Lexus before greed got the better of his owner at Cheltenham. On his best form I’ve no doubt he’s trounce these and it might be worth taking a chance on him at 4/1. From what Noel Meade has said he’s not quite back to his best at home but he wouldn’t have to be to win here imo. Roi Du Mee is the one to beat, been in good form all year and is 11/10 for anyone who fancies him.

    ANNIE POWER

    should win the Mares’ Grade 1 in Fairyhouse. It’s stupid that it’s a Grade 1 imo, but it is what it is. 8/13 looks decent value, as I rate the horse she beat last time out (Defy Logic) quite highly. I’d make her a 1/2 shot.

    I think Davy Russell may have picked the wrong horse in the Grade B Novice Handicap Hurdle.

    RYE MARTINI

    has the potential to be better than his rating of 126 imo. He won a point from the decent Corbally Ghost before winning his maiden hurdle. he then disappointed in a hurdle race behind Rathlin before a better showing last time at Naas. I think he’s too big at 10/1, could be worth a small e/w interest.

    In the Powers Gold Cup I fancy Gord’s old favorite

    DEDIGOUT

    :lol: I was very impressed with him when he beat Lyreen Legend and Colour Squadron at Punchestown last year and thought he could be a smart staying chaser. He ran well over course and distance behind Arvika Ligeonniere earlier this season, finishing 20 lengths clear of Texas Jack. This is a race that’s full of nearly horses in a way, with Mount Benbulben, Oscars Well and Mikael D’Haguenet talented on their day but never really fulfilling their undoubted early promise. It’s a very open race, in which any of the six are capable of winning, but Dedigout should be favorite for me. The distance was too short for him when Buckers Bridge beat him two runs back but when stepped back up to this trip he was an easy victor last time out. 7/2 is fair game.

    There’s an e/w yankee now :mrgreen:

    #434458
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    For some reason I completely forgot about a couple of races at Fiaryhouse! In the Grade 2 Novice Hurdle

    DEFY LOGIC

    is the one to be on imo. Bright New Dawn is an absolute picture and I can’t wait to see him jump a fence as I think he could be very very good over the larger obstacles. However, he has to give Defy Logic 5 lbs which may prove beyond him tomorrow. It’s by no means a two horse race however with good horse like Some Tikket and Anonis also involved, among others.

    I also like

    SAMMY BLACK

    tomorrow in the handicap hurdle. He’s chased Shariyan home a couple of times now and tomorrow race looks a nice opportunity for him.

    #434486
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Annie Power ~ €35 win @ 4/7 (PP)

    Defy Logic ~ €20 win @ 11/4 (Boyles)

    Rye Martini ~ €5 e/w @ 10/1 (PP)

    Sammy Black ~ €10 win @ 3/1 (PP)

    Dedigout ~ €20 win @ 7/2 (WH)

    Pandorama ~ €10 e/w @ 9/2 (VC)

    - €55

    #434487
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Fifteen €0.30 four folds on the above 6, costs €4.50.

    - €59.50

    #434546
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    I’ve backed

    YOU MUST KNOW ME

    for tomorrow’s Irish grand National. He’s a winner on deep ground over three miles already and is very unexposed over fences. The step up from 2.5 miles should be in his favour and there’s worse 25/1 shots.

    Panther Claw

    is respected.

    Irish Grand National
    You Must Know Me
    €5.25 e/w @ 25/1 (PP)

    - €70

    #434551
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Missed the 100/1 on

    NINETIETH MINUTE

    , only myself to blame for that blunder. I’ve taken 66/1.

    ANNIE POWER

    confirmed the good impression she made when beating Defy Logic by winning the mares’ race today in fine style. I think she has the potential to be a Champion Hurdle mare.

    Champion Hurdle 2014
    Annie Power
    €5 e/w @ 25/1 (BetVictor)

    Grand National
    Ninetieth Minute
    €2.50 e/w @ 66/1

    - €85

    #434568
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Annie Power ~ €35 win @ 4/7 (PP)


    Defy Logic ~ €20 win @ 11/4 (Boyles)


    Rye Martini ~ €5 e/w @ 10/1 (PP)


    Sammy Black ~ €10 win @ 3/1 (PP)


    Dedigout ~ €20 win @ 7/2 (WH)


    Pandorama ~ €10 e/w @ 9/2 (VC)

    Six bets, 2 winners and 3 seconds. What I was pleased with is I beat SP on all of them bar Pandorama, who wen off 5/1.

    Annie Power returns


    Sammy Black returns


    Pandorama returns

    + €30

    #434629
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Another good card at Fairyhouse tomorrow, with

    Tennis Cap

    looking a likely winner of the novice hurdle. However, I think he’s plenty short at 5/4 and won’t get involved unless he drifts. His hard race at Cheltenham must be taken into account in what is a decent race.

    The first horse on the card that I’m seriously interested in is

    CONCORDIN

    in the point to point bumper. He ran an eye catching race behind Golantilla two runs back and won easily when let loose last time out. He’s since been bought by John Magnier, and as such I’m surprised to see he’s as big as 12/1 (Boyles). It is a really hot race with many impressive point winners but I think Concordin could be very smart and at 12/1 I have to put my money where my mouth is.

    In the National I’ve already backed

    YOU MUST KNOW ME

    at 25/1, and I’ll more than likely add

    PANTHER CLAW

    tomorrow. Both should relish the trip and have progressive profiles. It’s obviously a very open affair and is going to be a real test of stamina if the ground remains as holding as it was today.

    I also like a horse in the concluding bumper,

    GRAND GESTURE

    . I thought he ran an eye-catching race last time out behind Outlander, when he stayed on very nicely despite not getting one slap of the whip. It’s a pity there’s not 8 runners as I’d have liked to back him each way, but I’ll probably invest win only nonetheless, at 5/1.

    I like

    TWIN JOY

    in the 3.30 at Cork, his form behind Salsify and Tammys Hill reads well and if he’s an each way price I’ll have a small investment. In the 5.00 at Cork, if

    MOSSEY JOE

    is available at around even money I’ll be backing him. He looked back to his best last time out and the opposition looks weak here.

    #434631
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    4.10 Fairyhouse
    Concordin
    €10 e/w @ 12/1 (Boyles)

    #434681
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    3.40 Fairyhouse
    Tennis Cap
    €20 win @ 7/4 (Bet Victor)

    - €10

    #434686
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5577

    Irish Grand National
    Panther Claw
    €5 e/w @ 12/1

    - €20

Viewing 17 posts - 188 through 204 (of 244 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.