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The ‘Surprise’ Handicap Winner

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Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 74 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #149398
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Monday 10 March

    Stratford
    3.40 Pretty Star 4th/11 7/1

    Totals
    Stakes 19pts Profit 2.5pts
    [/color:4i376dkb]

    #149687
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Tuesday 11 March

    Cheltenham 4.00 Bob Hall PU/14 16/1[/color:2bxf56nv]

    other qualifier:
    4.40 Native Jack 2nd/16 40/1[/color:2bxf56nv]

    Totals
    Stakes 20pts Profit 1.5pts
    [/color:2bxf56nv]

    #150087
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Wednesday 12 March

    Cheltenham
    4.00 Liberate Meeting Postponed[/color:1kze6hno]

    #150465
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Thursday 13 March

    Cheltenham

    4.05 Boychuk 6th/22 25/1[/color:1xfa1kbh]
    Other qualifiers

    Cheltenham
    1.40 Fingeronthepulse Won/20 9/1[/color:1xfa1kbh]
    4.40 Glacial Sunset 14/24 100/1[/color:1xfa1kbh]
    5.15 Run For Paddy 8/24 50/1[/color:1xfa1kbh]

    Hexham
    4.15 Top Cloud PU/6 5/2[/color:1xfa1kbh]

    Totals
    Stakes 21pts Profit +0.5pt
    [/color:1xfa1kbh]

    #150812
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Friday 14 March

    4.40 Gwanako

    Other qualifiers:

    5.20 Foreman

    Both were non-runners[/color:25uqxwbn]

    #151407
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Saturday 15 March

    With effect from today, I’m including all qualifiers as selections. Instead of using the most valuable handicap of the day, any handicap where the RP top-rated is 100+(flat) or 130+(jumps) will be considered. This should provide more bets and also give a better indication of whether or not this approach has any possibilities. I’ll put the value of the handicap after the race time.

    Lingfied
    2.10 12K Vortex 7th/8 14/1[/color:3w4jdo3q]
    5.30 6K Dicoh 2nd/11 11/2[/color:3w4jdo3q]

    Wetherby
    2.25 8K Ross Comm 5th/6 6/1[/color:3w4jdo3q]

    Totals
    Stakes 24pts Loss 2.5pts
    [/color:3w4jdo3q]

    #151436
    snowman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 556

    Hi Artemis,

    think this is a good move, hope so for your system anyway.

    i’ve noticed that on many days there are 2 or 3 or more that could easily have been selections, had it not been for the overall criteria of The most valuable h’cap.

    Good luck

    #151710
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Hi snowman,

    I think I’m also influenced by the fact that I’ve missed a few good winners by just concentrating on one race a day. The other qualifiers have produced 35 selections with 4 winners at 10/3, 16/1, 9/1 and 9/1,which would have put the system into profit. During this period, the two systems I am trialling have outperformed my usual form/ratings based approach(the one I put my money on), so although I’m pleased to see them doing alright, it does raise questions about my more convential method of finding profitable bets.Maybe, for me, the winds of change are in the air.

    Sunday 16 March

    No bets today.

    #151969
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Monday 17 March

    Meeting: Race value: Selection: RP forecast odds.
    Wexford
    4.05 6K Storm Breaker(14/1) 9th/14 14/1

    Totals
    Stakes 25pts Loss 3.5pts
    [/color:2r8gfgr6]

    #152174
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Tuesday 18 March

    Kempton
    5.00 4K Crossbow Creek (8/1) 6th/6 7/1

    Totals
    Stakes 26pts loss 4.5pts
    [/color:362tohfa]

    Wednesday 19 March, Thursday 20 March, Good Friday(No Racing)

    No bets

    #153257
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Saturday 22 March

    Doncaster
    2.50 24K Heywood 66/1 13/21 100/1[/color:3cbl35t8]
    4.00 77K Raptor 16/1 11th/21 12/1[/color:3cbl35t8]

    Carlisle
    3.40 16K Pass Me By 33/1 6th/16 20/1[/color:3cbl35t8]

    Totals
    Stakes 29pts Loss 7.5pts
    [/color:3cbl35t8]

    #153366
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Sunday 23 March

    Musselburgh
    5.30 6K Rasaman 6/1 8th/13 7/1[/color:317y9r4x]

    Cork
    4.15 Prince Picasso 14/1 7th/21 16/1[/color:317y9r4x]

    Totals
    Stakes 31pts Loss 9.5pts
    [/color:317y9r4x]

    #153485
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Monday 24 March

    Fairyhouse
    3.55 104K Flintoff 33/1 6th/23 25/1[/color:295l24h0]
    4.30 16K Mount View Prince 14/1 15/22 12/1[/color:295l24h0]
    5.40 10K War Of The World 5/1 3rd/10 4/1[/color:295l24h0]

    Chepstow
    4.10 4K Heathcote 17/2 2nd/14 8/1[/color:295l24h0]

    Cork
    4.10 16K Bob’s Pride 4/1 7th/7 3/1[/color:295l24h0]

    Redcar
    4.55 4K Inside Story 14/1 9th/18 14/1[/color:295l24h0]

    Totals
    Stakes 37pts Loss 15.5pts
    [/color:295l24h0]

    #153642
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Tuesday 25 March

    Fairyhouse
    2.45 47K Schindler’s Hunt 11/4 Won/11 11/2[/color:35co5rpg]
    4.25 9K Lakil Princess 8/1 4th/12 7/1[/color:35co5rpg]

    Totals
    Stakes 39pts Loss 11pts
    [/color:35co5rpg]

    #153802
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Wednesday 26 March

    Kempton
    3.50 5K Tora Bora 16/1 7th/14 40/1[/color:9zxhua3x]

    Wolverhampton
    9.20 4K New York Oscar 8/1 5th/7 5/1[/color:9zxhua3x]

    Totals
    Stakes 41pts Loss 13.0pts
    [/color:9zxhua3x]

    #153995
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Thursday 27 March

    Exeter
    3.20 6K Parkinson 14/1 5th/9 14/1[/color:ajdcw2nz]

    Wolverhampton
    9.20 9K Party Boss 11/4 7th/7 3/1jf[/color:ajdcw2nz]

    Totals
    Stakes 43pts Loss 15pts
    [/color:ajdcw2nz]

    Friday 28 March No bets

    #154421
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Saturday 29 March

    Doncaster
    3.05 4K Stevie Gee 8/1 7th/12 8/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]
    4.10 10K Off The Record 16/1 12/17 10/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]

    Kempton
    2.40 9K Mister Hardy 12/1 6th/10 12/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]

    Newbury
    2.20 10K Always Waining 25/1 7th/14 25/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]
    5.05 5K Coach Lane 4/1 2nd/8 3/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]

    Totals
    Stakes 48pts Loss 20pts
    [/color:2vi1cjhv]

Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 74 total)
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