Home › Forums › Archive Topics › Systems › The ‘Surprise’ Handicap Winner
- This topic has 73 replies, 10 voices, and was last updated 17 years, 8 months ago by
Artemis.
- AuthorPosts
- March 10, 2008 at 07:50 #149398
Monday 10 March
Stratford
3.40 Pretty Star 4th/11 7/1Totals
Stakes 19pts Profit 2.5pts[/color:4i376dkb]March 11, 2008 at 08:43 #149687Tuesday 11 March
Cheltenham 4.00 Bob Hall PU/14 16/1[/color:2bxf56nv]
other qualifier:
4.40 Native Jack 2nd/16 40/1[/color:2bxf56nv]Totals
Stakes 20pts Profit 1.5pts[/color:2bxf56nv]March 12, 2008 at 09:39 #150087Wednesday 12 March
Cheltenham
4.00 Liberate Meeting Postponed[/color:1kze6hno]March 13, 2008 at 08:40 #150465Thursday 13 March
Cheltenham
4.05 Boychuk 6th/22 25/1[/color:1xfa1kbh]
Other qualifiersCheltenham
1.40 Fingeronthepulse Won/20 9/1[/color:1xfa1kbh]
4.40 Glacial Sunset 14/24 100/1[/color:1xfa1kbh]
5.15 Run For Paddy 8/24 50/1[/color:1xfa1kbh]Hexham
4.15 Top Cloud PU/6 5/2[/color:1xfa1kbh]Totals
Stakes 21pts Profit +0.5pt[/color:1xfa1kbh]March 14, 2008 at 10:36 #150812Friday 14 March
4.40 Gwanako
Other qualifiers:
5.20 Foreman
Both were non-runners[/color:25uqxwbn]
March 15, 2008 at 07:22 #151407Saturday 15 March
With effect from today, I’m including all qualifiers as selections. Instead of using the most valuable handicap of the day, any handicap where the RP top-rated is 100+(flat) or 130+(jumps) will be considered. This should provide more bets and also give a better indication of whether or not this approach has any possibilities. I’ll put the value of the handicap after the race time.
Lingfied
2.10 12K Vortex 7th/8 14/1[/color:3w4jdo3q]
5.30 6K Dicoh 2nd/11 11/2[/color:3w4jdo3q]Wetherby
2.25 8K Ross Comm 5th/6 6/1[/color:3w4jdo3q]Totals
Stakes 24pts Loss 2.5pts[/color:3w4jdo3q]March 15, 2008 at 09:03 #151436Hi Artemis,
think this is a good move, hope so for your system anyway.
i’ve noticed that on many days there are 2 or 3 or more that could easily have been selections, had it not been for the overall criteria of The most valuable h’cap.
Good luck
March 16, 2008 at 07:42 #151710Hi snowman,
I think I’m also influenced by the fact that I’ve missed a few good winners by just concentrating on one race a day. The other qualifiers have produced 35 selections with 4 winners at 10/3, 16/1, 9/1 and 9/1,which would have put the system into profit. During this period, the two systems I am trialling have outperformed my usual form/ratings based approach(the one I put my money on), so although I’m pleased to see them doing alright, it does raise questions about my more convential method of finding profitable bets.Maybe, for me, the winds of change are in the air.
Sunday 16 March
No bets today.
March 17, 2008 at 07:54 #151969Monday 17 March
Meeting: Race value: Selection: RP forecast odds.
Wexford
4.05 6K Storm Breaker(14/1) 9th/14 14/1Totals
Stakes 25pts Loss 3.5pts[/color:2r8gfgr6]March 18, 2008 at 07:55 #152174Tuesday 18 March
Kempton
5.00 4K Crossbow Creek (8/1) 6th/6 7/1Totals
Stakes 26pts loss 4.5pts[/color:362tohfa]Wednesday 19 March, Thursday 20 March, Good Friday(No Racing)
No bets
March 22, 2008 at 09:40 #153257Saturday 22 March
Doncaster
2.50 24K Heywood 66/1 13/21 100/1[/color:3cbl35t8]
4.00 77K Raptor 16/1 11th/21 12/1[/color:3cbl35t8]Carlisle
3.40 16K Pass Me By 33/1 6th/16 20/1[/color:3cbl35t8]Totals
Stakes 29pts Loss 7.5pts[/color:3cbl35t8]March 23, 2008 at 08:50 #153366Sunday 23 March
Musselburgh
5.30 6K Rasaman 6/1 8th/13 7/1[/color:317y9r4x]Cork
4.15 Prince Picasso 14/1 7th/21 16/1[/color:317y9r4x]
Totals
Stakes 31pts Loss 9.5pts[/color:317y9r4x]March 24, 2008 at 09:01 #153485Monday 24 March
Fairyhouse
3.55 104K Flintoff 33/1 6th/23 25/1[/color:295l24h0]
4.30 16K Mount View Prince 14/1 15/22 12/1[/color:295l24h0]
5.40 10K War Of The World 5/1 3rd/10 4/1[/color:295l24h0]Chepstow
4.10 4K Heathcote 17/2 2nd/14 8/1[/color:295l24h0]Cork
4.10 16K Bob’s Pride 4/1 7th/7 3/1[/color:295l24h0]Redcar
4.55 4K Inside Story 14/1 9th/18 14/1[/color:295l24h0]Totals
Stakes 37pts Loss 15.5pts[/color:295l24h0]March 25, 2008 at 07:58 #153642Tuesday 25 March
Fairyhouse
2.45 47K Schindler’s Hunt 11/4 Won/11 11/2[/color:35co5rpg]
4.25 9K Lakil Princess 8/1 4th/12 7/1[/color:35co5rpg]Totals
Stakes 39pts Loss 11pts[/color:35co5rpg]March 26, 2008 at 08:00 #153802Wednesday 26 March
Kempton
3.50 5K Tora Bora 16/1 7th/14 40/1[/color:9zxhua3x]Wolverhampton
9.20 4K New York Oscar 8/1 5th/7 5/1[/color:9zxhua3x]Totals
Stakes 41pts Loss 13.0pts[/color:9zxhua3x]March 27, 2008 at 06:56 #153995Thursday 27 March
Exeter
3.20 6K Parkinson 14/1 5th/9 14/1[/color:ajdcw2nz]Wolverhampton
9.20 9K Party Boss 11/4 7th/7 3/1jf[/color:ajdcw2nz]Totals
Stakes 43pts Loss 15pts[/color:ajdcw2nz]Friday 28 March No bets
March 29, 2008 at 08:31 #154421Saturday 29 March
Doncaster
3.05 4K Stevie Gee 8/1 7th/12 8/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]
4.10 10K Off The Record 16/1 12/17 10/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]Kempton
2.40 9K Mister Hardy 12/1 6th/10 12/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]Newbury
2.20 10K Always Waining 25/1 7th/14 25/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]
5.05 5K Coach Lane 4/1 2nd/8 3/1[/color:2vi1cjhv]Totals
Stakes 48pts Loss 20pts[/color:2vi1cjhv] - AuthorPosts
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