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All those meetings and everything’s at Chepstow today!
2.35 Chepstow Monksford 14/1<br>2.35 Chepstow Mattys Joy 20/1<br>3.40 Chepstow Tam O´Shanter 11/2<br>3.40 Chepstow Esterelle 12/1<br>4.15 Chepstow Redde 9/1<br>5.25 Chepstow Yann´s 12/1
Be Lucky!
Rich
Hi Rich
Sorry about bring you the bad luck yesterday :(
Hopefully today my goodluck side will kick in!
All the best
Well it must be my lucky side coming through – no mr jonah! – At least until 3.40 :biggrin:
5 May Stake Plan bets 2 points<br>2.35 Chepstow Monksford 1/13 @ 10/1 – 16.00 on Betfair!<br>2.35 Chepstow Mattys Joy 11/13 @ 12/1<br>3.40 Chepstow Tam O´Shanter 3/14 @ 13/2<br>3.40 Chepstow Esterelle 4/14 @ 16/1<br>4.15 Chepstow Redde PU/14 @ 8/1<br>5.25 Chepstow Yann´s 4/11 @ 8/1
May<br>4 winners from 40 selections – SR 10.00%<br>LSP: 20.00  LSO: 26.00  LBF: 43.33 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 50.00  SSO: 62.00  SBF: 96.66 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>19 winners from 145 selections – SR 13.10%<br>LSP: 38.00  LSO: 55.25  LBF: 119.29 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 110.00  SSO: 142.75  SBF: 273.81 (after 5% commission)<br><br>Another day that started well but disappointed with its failure to capitalise on the early promise. I suppose I can’t complain too much, profit is profit!
Rich
(Edited by RichNFord at 10:14 pm on May 7, 2004)
Let’s see what happens today……
2.05 Folkestone Artadi 14/1<br>2.25 Chester Secret Place 16/1<br>2.35 Folkestone Cinnamon Ridge 14/1<br>3.40 Folkestone Pickle 10/1<br>4.05 Chester Petrula 9/1<br>4.50 Folkestone Shape Up 10/1<br>6.40 Wetherby Up The Glen 11/4<br>8.15 Wetherby Blank Canvas 8/1
Be Lucky!
Rich
6 May Stake Plan bets 1 point<br>2.05 Folkestone Artadi 3/7 @ 25/1<br>2.25 Chester Secret Place NR<br>2.35 Folkestone Cinnamon Ridge 8/13 @ 16/1<br>3.40 Folkestone Pickle 1/9 @ 13/2 – 16.50 on Betfair!<br>4.05 Chester Petrula 2/12 @ 7/1<br>4.50 Folkestone Shape Up 2/8 @ 8/1<br>6.40 Wetherby Up The Glen 1/4 @ 10/3 – 5.80 on Betfair!<br>8.15 Wetherby Blank Canvas 2/7 @ 5/1
May<br>6 winners from 47 selections – SR 12.77%<br>LSP: 24.83 LSO: 31.50 LBF: 57.62 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 54.83 SSO: 67.50 SBF: 100.95 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>21 winners from 152 selections – SR 13.82%<br>LSP: 42.83 LSO: 60.75 LBF: 133.58 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 114.83 SSO: 148.25 SBF: 288.10 (after 5% commission)<br><br>A touch of seconditis there – and a 25/1 third (albeit well beaten), but at least two of them came home on the right side of the forecast. Pickle’s price halved during the live show (wasn’t you lot was it? ;) ) but still a good day today which will do neither profit nor strike rate any harm at all.
Rich<br>
(Edited by RichNFord at 9:01 pm on May 7, 2004)
Here’s a few more for you……
2.05 Nottingham Waterpark 16/1<br>2.15 Lingfield College Delinquent 8/1<br>4.40 Chester True Companion 10/1<br>4.50 Nottingham Inchconnel 16/1<br>6.40 Hamilton Mister Bell 7/1<br>7.25 Wincanton Swincombe 12/1<br>7.25 Wincanton Uncle Mick 7/1<br>7.55 Wincanton Springford 11/4
Be Lucky!
Rich
You may have noticed I have now updated all results posts throughout the thread to include a staking plan I have been using…..
Basically I have been staking 1 point on day 1, if that is a losing day then 2 points the next day, then 3, 4, 5, etc. When we have a winning day we refer back to the last day that finished with a higher SSO, and the stake from that day is adopted as the new stake for tomorrow, and the pattern continues as before.
Using this plan on last year’s stats made an SSP of 2,050.12 points with no losing months and only two below 100 points profit, rising to 2,716.80 SSO and August’s 87.83 easily the worst month while January & March both cleared 300. The largest bet would have been 11 points and we wouldn’t have been in double figures since 30th August. The largest loss from one point to another was about 200 points.
Of course, I must stress that staking plans on big SP / low SR systems such as this can be a touch high risk and you should assign an affordable bank of about 1000 points if you wish to adopt that strategy – the system is designed to produce an SP profit so many of you will prefer LSO or LBF, but I’ll post both anyway.
Be Lucky!
Rich
7 May Stake Plan bets 1 point<br>2.05 Nottingham Waterpark 13/17 @ 8/1<br>2.15 Lingfield College Delinquent 6/12 @ 7/1<br>4.40 Chester True Companion 4/12 @ 12/1<br>4.50 Nottingham Inchconnel 15/16 @ 20/1<br>6.40 Hamilton Mister Bell 3/5 @ 7/1<br>7.25 Wincanton Swincombe 3/9 @ 13/2<br>7.25 Wincanton Uncle Mick 5/9 @ 8/1<br>7.55 Wincanton Springford 1/5 @ 2/1
May<br>7 winners from 55 selections – SR 12.73%<br>LSP: 19.83  LSO: 26.75  LBF: 52.87 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 49.83  SSO: 62.75  SBF: 96.20 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>22 winners from 160 selections – SR 13.75%<br>LSP: 37.83  LSO: 56.00  LBF: 128.83 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 109.83  SSO: 143.50  SBF: 283.35 (after 5% commission)<br><br>Everything seemed to start slow today but at least one went in.
Rich
Hi Rich
Thanks for sharing your staking plan – impressed. The real advantage you gain on the exchanges with "long shorts" is the improvement on the price.
I agree a large bank is required. To my own cost without one can cost you dear – as many on the forum could probably tell you.
An excellent system – keep up the good work
(Edited by paul66 at 10:50 pm on May 7, 2004)
I agree with Paul. Thanks for sharing this with us and your staking plan. I have been backing short priced nags all my life and I am still VERY broke. So these are of REAL interest to me with the Betfair price advantage.
Off on holiday on Sunday. When I get back will be backing these with real money…………..kiss of death.
Regards,
<br>Paul
A repeat of last Saturday would go down rather well today!!!
Stake Plan bets 2 points<br>2.20 Beverley Grey Cossack 7/1<br>3.15 Southwell Tanikos 5/1<br>3.40 Lingfield Swainson 13/2<br>4.35 Hexham Littleton Valar 14/1<br>6.35 Thirsk Scramble 10/1<br>8.05 Thirsk William´s Well 14/1<br>8.20 Warwick Ile De Paris 6/1
Be Lucky!
Rich
8 May Stake Plan bets 2 points<br>2.20 Beverley Grey Cossack 12/19 @ 7/1<br>3.15 Southwell Tanikos 6/7 @ 9/2<br>3.40 Lingfield Swainson 4/9 @ 5/1<br>4.35 Hexham Littleton Valar 4/12 @ 12/1<br>6.35 Thirsk Scramble 6/15 @ 9/1<br>8.05 Thirsk William´s Well 12/20 @ 25/1<br>8.20 Warwick Ile De Paris 1/15 @ 13/2 – 9.60 on Betfair!
May<br>8 winners from 62 selections – SR 12.90%<br>LSP: 20.33  LSO: 27.75  LBF: 55.04 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 50.83  SSO: 64.75  SBF: 100.54 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>23 winners from 167 selections – SR 13.77%<br>LSP: 38.33  LSO: 57.00  LBF: 131.00 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 110.83  SSO: 145.50  SBF: 287.69 (after 5% commission)<br><br>A bit too much reliance on the lucky last for my liking just lately! Personally I’d rather have a winner in the first and then relax knowing I’m going to finish the day in profit and anything else is a bonus!
The other issue here is on the staking plan – had Ile De Paris been returned at 6/1 we would be staking 3 points tomorrow but at 13/2 and therefore 0.5 points LSP means technically we should revert to 1 point tomorrow but having only regained 1 point of yesterday’s 5 point loss it seems to defeat the object – any opinions on keeping it at 2 points for tomorrow?
Rich
Rules are rules – I’ll stick to 1 point for Stake Plan. Three in one race and four in another today, I’ll be disappointed to finish empty handed!
Stake Plan bets 1 point<br>3.00 Uttoxeter Tsunami 16/1<br>3.00 Uttoxeter Times Past 14/1<br>3.00 Uttoxeter Esher Common 12/1<br>3.20 Market Rasen Celtic Blaze 20/1<br>4.00 Uttoxeter Strong Magic 100/30<br>4.20 Market Rasen Vicars Destiny 8/1<br>4.20 Market Rasen Bison King 11/2<br>4.20 Market Rasen Balladeer 16/1<br>4.20 Market Rasen The Flyer 20/1<br>4.30 Uttoxeter Lustral Du Seuil 8/1
Be Lucky!
Rich
Hi Rich
Should be an interesting days racing today :o
With regard to staking plans I think going back to 1 pt is the safest option. Personally I am using a compound banking system – slow but with your previous years results thats fine by me :)
9 May Stake Plan bets 1 point<br>3.00 Uttoxeter Tsunami 2/17 @ 20/1<br>3.00 Uttoxeter Times Past 7/17 @ 8/1<br>3.00 Uttoxeter Esher Common PU/17 @ 10/1<br>3.20 Market Rasen Celtic Blaze 4/13 @ 16/1<br>4.00 Uttoxeter Strong Magic PU/9 @ 9/1<br>4.20 Market Rasen Vicars Destiny 1/16 @ 8/1 – 12.50 on Betfair!<br>4.20 Market Rasen Bison King 4/16 @ 13/2<br>4.20 Market Rasen Balladeer 8/16 @ 14/1<br>4.20 Market Rasen The Flyer 6/16 @ 10/1<br>4.30 Uttoxeter Lustral Du Seuil NR
May<br>9 winners from 71 selections – SR 12.68%<br>LSP: 20.33  LSO: 28.25  LBF: 57.97 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 50.83  SSO: 65.25  SBF: 103.47 (after 5% commission)
Overall<br>24 winners from 176 selections – SR 13.64%<br>LSP: 38.33  LSO: 57.50  LBF: 133.93 (after 5% commission)<br>SSP: 110.83  SSO: 146.00  SBF: 290.62 (after 5% commission)<br><br>Again had to wait ’till the last and ended up with an 8/1 winner and 8 losers, so at least nothing lost and indeed a slight gain with SuperOdds/Betfair. We are long overdue a good Sunday and today saw a 20/1 runner up and a 16/1 good effort although neither had any chance with their respective winners.
Rich<br>
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