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Ribchester is the best horse by some way on Newbury form. Going to take a lot of beating with luck in running but that may be the problem if there is one. Hasn’t got the best of draws and will be taken on in front if chosing that role. Had run of the race at Newbury. If Ribchester doesn’t sit prominently then it’s possible pace makers and rank outsiders Dutch Uncle, Toscanini and front runner Kaspersky could well be ignored by the other pace angle Deauville – who may set the pace of the pack. However, AOB’s first string will need a pace bias for the exposed Deauville to win. Richester is pretty amenable as much as tactics are concerned which is a plus. It is difficult for me to say if he’s more likely to win or lose; only just came down on “win” (52% fair 10/11).
Lihtning Spear appeared more amenable to restraint on reappearance and may yet do better if that continues. 3 3/4 lengths 2nd to Ribchester at Newbury (latter getting the run of the race). Only a length behind the same horse in last year’s QEII, with the Minding just 1/2 a length in front of the pair. Would any of the others be good enough to be that close to the great filly? I don’t think so.
Mutakayyef is one that could yet improve, hasn’t had many opportunities in these conditions (mile on a firm surface). Stamina seemed to give out in International last year when chasing home top class Postponed and Highland Reel. Been on his travels and not at his best since. Beat Dutch Connection easily by 2 1/4 lengths in Summer Mile when last seen at a mile in this country.
Ennaadd another with progress in him, but probably has too much to find in one go. Neck second to Tabbarack giving the winner 3 lbs in a listed race last time. Would be my choice if having to go for an outsider. I’ll stick to the main three.
I’ve backed Lightning Spear 13/2 and Mutakayyef 15/2 with a saver on Ribchester Evens.
Value Is EverythingSolow has had a setback and will not run at Royal Ascot.
I don’t like it when horses get problems a second time. I’d be ruling him out of coming back anything like his peak now.
Surprised to see Ladbrokes still quoting the horse at 5/1, and Coral at 9/2, Freddy Head said last week that Solow will not be on a racetrack until September or October, if at all this season.
I’ve gone with Ribchester instead. I think he could be short if he wins the Lockinge. 7/2 looks good enough for me.
Ribchester 7/2 He may just be pretty skinny by raceday.
Cheers pal -I backed him thanks to you. New course record too
Well done ITV. There was a steward’s inquiry, the announcement was made while those two fashion morons started yapping about complete irrelevancy. Cop on would have meant yer man would stop talking, listen to the announcer and tell the audience that the placings remained the same and then smoothly go waffling about his fashion.
If Churchill wins well today, he will murder Ribchester on good ground
Well done Ribchester backers, especially those that took the big ante-post prices.
Value Is EverythingPoor Brian Gleeson, struggling with talking to Sheikh Mo, awkward silence
Poor Sheikh Mo.
Awful questions I thought.Value Is EverythingPoor Brian Gleeson, struggling with talking to Sheikh Mo, awkward silence
Poor Sheikh Mo.
Awful questions I thought.Surprised they bothered interviewing him anyway
It was huge raymo.
I missed him off the compy as I was convinced he’d start odds on….
Blackbeard to conquer the World
Ribchester is becoming one of those horses who doesn’t win by far and hides his superiority. Once again he hung across the track when hitting the front and had plenty more to offer when challenged.
I think Mutakayyef is one to take out of the race. The vibes were so poor today but he still ran a belter, enjoying the strong pace and suggesting he might yet rewrite the wrongs of last year’s Juddmonte International. I’m a little wary of horses who are patched up and rushed into a Group 1 when not quite right (they can recoil!) but you have to give the benefit of the doubt. Hopefully he has a clean run at the Eclipse, Juddmonte International and Champion Stakes.
My each-way nibbles on Oh This Is Us didn’t pay off. He ran a brave race and got a respectable finishing position but just got outstayed with such a fast pace on a stiff track. Maybe he’d be one to take stateside for a minor Group race – tight turns and a sharp mile could be right up his street if he gets the splits.
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