Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › November Handicap 2010
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November 5, 2010 at 12:10 #16677
With Kauto Star and Sizing Europe going at it, the Breeders Cup, the Hanagan/Hughes saga and the Fortria chase on this weekend I can understand why the November handicap has been a little forgotten. But this is the last big betting handicap on the flat until next year so get your teeth in!
I have a Short list that has a few runners I won’t be considering anymore (the short list got shorter!)
Times Up @ 14/1
Sirvino @ 14/1
Shavansky @ 40/1
Thin Red Line @ 33/1
Jo’Burg @ 20/1
Betchworth Kid @ 16/1
Rangefinder @ (40/1 if it comes up Soft/Heavy)This is a seriously competitive race on paper. Since compiling this list, Rangefinder is gone cause the weather hasn’t washed the track away and Betchworth has seen support. Whats you angle?
November 5, 2010 at 13:46 #326340Montaff
for me, (currently 29 on betfair, 20/1 Ladbrokes). I think coming off a fast pace in a big field in softish ground can finally unlock his clear ability (2nd in group 3/listed races on soft), and came back to form with an ecouraging 6th at Ascot last time. Mick Channon once said that this horse was as good as Youmzain (!), so has a lot to live up to but I think he has finally been given a decent chance to win a big prize.
Prompter
would be my next best who also relishes soft and still relatively unexposed over this trip.
November 5, 2010 at 17:28 #326381AnonymousInactive- Total Posts 17716
The Betchworth Kid
showed signs of a return to form at Ascot and Alan King’s horses are in terrific shape; he’s my main interest at 16/1 with conditions seemingly ideal.
Willing Foe
is a rather unimaginative saver.
November 5, 2010 at 19:44 #326416I don;t think it’s gonna be that soft. Good to soft at worst.
I backed Classic Vintage earlier in the week – took 16s, he’s 20s now! I thought his last run was very eye catching, would have gone close with a clearer run.
He had decent form last year, particularly his Goodwood win. With the stable in cracking form I am hopeful that he will go very close.
Simeon is a danger and I might have a saver on him.
November 6, 2010 at 09:40 #326500AnonymousInactive- Total Posts 17716
The winner of this race normally posts up a Group 2/3 time which can throw out half the field in this race.
Would I want to be on
Senate
at 6/1 in a Group 3 probably not, what about
Willing Foe
? has the right profile and is certainly going the right way and he’s a danger.
I am inclined to look in the directon of
Simenon
for Andrew Balding who I’d fancy at 16/1 in a Group 3 over 12f with a bit of cut, especially with cut!. He’s a horse that put up a really smart time at Newmarket last year as a 2yo and although he has failed to build on his potential there was a little twinkle of magic back in the eye when travelling so well in the Cesarewitch trial with a long enough break to suggest the November handicap was the next target.
Alan Kings
Salden Licht
also catches the eye for me, impressive beating Alazan last time out who I had backed on his Sandown figure and given the trouble in running the short head doesn’t do Salden Licht any justice and could have won by 1 or 2 lengths probably making him a 12/1 shot here. Would I back Salden Licht in a strong run Group 3 on soft ground at 20/1? I probably would you know.
Simenon EW @ 14-1
Salden Licht EW @ 20-1I could see a finish off;
1. Willing Foe
2. Simenon
3. Salde LichtNovember 6, 2010 at 11:42 #326522Like the booking of irish apprentice on Salde Licht will back Willing foe also.
November 6, 2010 at 15:10 #326543Another tough one to crack, I’ll have a few quid each way on La Vecchia Scuola.
Think Jo’Burg, and Brunston could run well at big prices too!
GL all!
November 6, 2010 at 20:02 #326587Didn’t do either in each way singles. However, I have done Classic Vintage in an each way double with Espoir City at 25s in the Breeders Cup Classic tonight. Big ask but you never know.
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