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The Consensus Plan

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  • #20239
    billion
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4375

    Please let me say this is very much open to criticism and constructive discussion.

    A few years back there was a system where five elements were considered (Postmark – now RPR, Topspeed, Massey defunct, Postdate & poss. Spotlight or similar) and if 4 of the 5 agreed it became a selection.

    As I am aware the winners were plenty but the prices short. Therefore a staking plan such as “The Staircase” could well be ideal to boost profit.

    I have recently tried to revive the spirit of the system and to date the results have been, lets say “underwhelming”, the sequence being: – L L Won 5/2 L L.

    I have applied 4 elements which are not required to be top rated other than RPR.

    RPR – Top Rated selection, take this horse and check: –

    Postdata – No X’s against the possible selection. ? are OK.

    Must be 1 2 3 in RP betting forecast

    Timeform rating 5* 4* or 3*

    I am looking at both handicap and non handicap races of Class 4 or better.

    I am also wanting one selection per day.

    The selection for Tuesday has shown 3 possibles: –

    Fakenham 2.10 HOPE POINT 5* + LOST[/color:zxfw1qvm]

    Folkestone 3.00 FIDELIS 5* – LOST[/color:zxfw1qvm]

    Fakenham 2.40 BOTTMAN 4* LOST[/color:zxfw1qvm]

    I have put a plus sign against Hope Point which is top rated 5* with Timeform and enjoys good comments.

    I have also put a minus sign against Fidelis, also top rated with Fineform 5* but the comments are not as positive.

    Bottman is there should the other two only become available at odds on I can drop down to it if at better odds.

    From the three possibles I should have my required one selection.

    All 3 choices are available at 6/4 but HOPE POINT is non BOG therefore 11/8 BOG.

    As the top choice HOPE POINT is available at odds against it becomes the selection.[/color:zxfw1qvm]

    Billy's Outback Shack

    #378005
    shakeshuck
    Member
    • Total Posts 19

    I hadn’t noticed Adrian Massey had finished on his site. Shame.

    http://www.patternform.co.uk is still going, if that helps any?

    #378022
    billion
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4375

    Hi

    shakeshuck

    It is good to know someone has read this and to respond with something constructive.

    I did only mention Massey as I knew his rating was an element of the original concept which enjoyed a superb strike rate but sadly most of the winners were odds on which is ok if you bet that way and many do.

    My idea was perhaps to find a few winners at odds against thus being 1.2.3 in the betting and 1.2 or 3 with Timeform and not having to be top rated with Postdata but simply not to have any X’s.

    It will generate better prices but also a lot more losers.

    I have no intention of posting daily but was looking for some interest and ideas.

    Billy's Outback Shack

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