Take a bow, Sir Mark

[Zarkava]

Salisbury 5.45, Invent drifts from 13.0 to 33.0 and was never put in the race. Expect to see him bolting up anytime soon.

[cormack15]

If they’re concealing his ability they’re doing a bl**dy good job of it.

[robnorth]

Given that the field ended up strung out like washing, the chances are most of them are very slow. The winner is progressive at this lowly level.

Far from being ‘not put into the race’ Invent was held up in touch with the pace to halfway, but then found littles when the pace increased. This is pretty much the same as previous race where, over trips from 7f to 11f, he’s weakened from two out.

Rob

[Zarkava]

Invent is listed in Mark Howard’s book on page 21. He states he was advised to include him when he went to Newmarket in February. Perhaps he is that bad, but the jockey didn’t even try on him. Watch his previous outing over 11f. Seb came with a lovely move down the outside but just didn’t stay.

[TheBluesBrother]

I had a look at the form for

Invent

.

1. This horse follows the profile of a typical Sir Mark Prescott horse i.e. four quick runs to get a handicap mark of

63

.
2. The problem is that the handicapper has given the horse about 15lb+ over what he has achieved so far and alotted a handicap mark of

63

.
3. His true mark should be around

48

in my book.
4. The handicapper has already dropped the horse 6lb’s to

57

, we are nearly getting there.
5. If the horse had no ability he wouldn’t be in the yard.
6. When the horse’s rating has dropped another 10lb he will win and run up a sequence.

I agree with Zarkava’s statement

[TheBluesBrother]

I see that the handicapper has dropped

Invent

a further 4lb to a new mark of

53

.
He is now on a handicap mark which he can win off

[davidjohnson]

If he’s now from a mark he can win off, presumably at Salisbury he was on a mark that still should have seen him finish closer than 35 lengths behind the winner?

[apracing]

Seems the trainer doesn’t think the lower handicap mark will help, as he’s put Invent into a 0-60 claimer over 12F at Wolverhampton next Monday.

AP

[mamlook2k75]

I spoke to Sir Mark a while back and he picked this horse out and said it will be a handicap job.

[TheBluesBrother]

Is today the day for

Invent

8.00 Yarmouth.
Somebody is interested 3rd favourite at 13/2

[kasparov]

This one looks quite tricky as Dubawi Dancer is a strong favourite. Probably they won’t want to finish second or third with Invent as that might raise his mark.

As a betting strategy it might be a good idea to back Invent for a win and lay for a place.

[Zarkava]

I’m not sure today is the day. I think the strategy Kasparov mentions is a good way to go. I have no doubt in my mind that when they start trying on Invent, he’ll win. No 2nds or 3rds, he’ll win.

[TheBluesBrother]

I have been watching the betting during the day and

Invent

is being quietly backed, down to 4/1 in a couple of places.

The price has moved by 2.73% during the day on Oddschecker so if today is not the day, somebody is going to be disappointed

You have to keep the faith, I lost my lucky rabbit’s foot

[Zarkava]

Could just be blind punting by those who think today might be the day. I’ll keep a close eye on the market 10 minutes before the race and see what happens. Last time he drifted 20 points in the hour leading up to the race…

[Zarkava]

Based on the betting for the past 50 minutes, I very much doubt today is the day. Not having a bet.

[Zarkava]

From 7.0 to 9.4 in 10 minutes. No chance. Doubt his name will even be mentioned. Stick him out the back, Seb, and leave him there.

[Zarkava]

Now 10.0 with a massive plunge on the Haggas favourite.

[Author]

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