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Have to agree with EC. Unless there is a particular reason why a trainer or jockey is doing well or badly at a certain track, then these ‘trends’ are nothing more than statistical coincidence.
(Edited by Aranalde at 5:31 pm on Sep. 29, 2005)
Hagger, sorry it’s taken me so long to reply to your question, I’ve been rather busy of late. My stuff is called Trend Horses but refers to patterns within horses’ form figures rather than trends associated with previous runnings of a race (although I do refer to such things). Today for example I’ve tipped Pango each-way because he hasn’t finished out of the frame at seven furlongs since October 2001. I was also on Boundless Prospect each-way in the first at Newmarket. He has lost all 27 starts in fields of 14 or less but has won 5 from 12 in fields of 15 or more runners. Throw in his need for a straight track and he had five wins and a close third to his name from seven starts under the conditions he faced today – all bets proofed in advance to Rory, Chompy Draw Boy and my Dad :)
Have to agree with EC. Unless there is a particular reason why a trainer or jockey is doing well or badly at a certain track, then these ‘trends’ are nothing more than statistical coincidence.
(Edited by Aranalde at 5:31 pm on Sep. 29, 2005)
Possibly all racing is
a statistical coincidence.
Go on repeat it just likeyou gotta get value
yeah..
all racing is
a statistical coincidenceOne reason might be that
the trainer lives down
the road and the horses
racing are fresh as daisies
and can see their mates
on the gallop laughing
like whores at them when
they are running in last
or doing a Carvills
this will give them a
lot more lung at the finish.Shouldn’t this be in
the systems section
come on sloppy admin
a free site stilldemands
standards
where’s the janitorthat Seagull was a good’n
was’n he ?
until he met that ol manthat Seagull was a good’n
was’n he ?
until he met that ol manIt is a great system but backing your own selections not blind stabs in the dark you also need to walk away before bet number 7 unless the ol man takes his balaclava to the bank and asks for a free refill.
Blackbeard to conquer the World
Wonder where Seagull is now, sitting in the bus shelter with a bottle of cider?
I've stumbled on the side of twelve misty mountains
I've walked and I crawled on six crooked highwaysYears ago I tried my hand at compiling speed ratings I had some success but I also missed a lot of winners because I went by my ratings rather than my feelings. After this I tried my hand at handicap ratings same as above. Now I have a little system which I can do quick and I am having sucess with and it also allows me to go with my feelings so I am enjoying my racing again. So I would say systems are no good because they stifle a person.
Often when I eat cheese
and I shouldn’t after krone
I wake up in a sweat n
I know I have had that
old Psycho dream again
where Seagull is sitting
there with has his teeth out
and I look at him and
blink twice and then
that awful realisation
he is none other than
that scratchy old man
with his pockets full
of fivers
It is you that’s changed
Actually many will remember
the ol seagull we always
looked up to himTrue, I seem to remember that he met young **** once and said he was a good lad.Wonder what said good lad is doing these days?
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