Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Swinley Chase 2023
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greenasgrass.
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- February 15, 2023 at 00:04 #1635492
Entries…………
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/2/ascot/2023-02-18/831356
I was kind of hoping that Regal Encore wouldn’t appear here, but he’s got the entry. He can only be a sentimental bet, given this seasons form, but he’s enough of a distraction. Hopes will lie in the watering, and his greatly reduced mark. I’ll 100% bet him, but very hard to recommend.
Regal Encore is 25’s at the moment, and on the same price is Dorking Lad. Unseated at the first last time, but I reckon he’s worth a look here. I like his general profile here, and connections like to target this kind of prize.
At 10’s, Danny Kirwin looks a big player. Smashing run here when last seen, going down narrowly here to Our Power. Looks on a nice mark too.
Those are my two fancies, but probably hoping for a bit of caution with the watering, and both also hold entries for Kempton, so no Antepost for now.
Danny Kirwin
Dorking LadI’ve taken the 25’s Dorking Lad, but missed the price on Danny Kirwan. I’ll swerve him now, as the price is gone
February 15, 2023 at 22:34 #1635618The wolf for me.
My cliff horse. The trip is probably a tad on the sharp side, he doesn’t jump well enough for an entire race, often gets outpaced early on and is basically a bloody stupid bet.
But he’s coming down the handicap now and at the prices I’m willing to kiss goodbye to 20 quid for the sake of my sanity if he ever does manage to win a race his raw ability warrants.
And throw him in to an e/w double with Petit tonnere in the proceeding hurdle race as well for extra stupidity.
February 15, 2023 at 22:56 #1635620I’d planned to deride TC’s bet as part of my ongoing campaign of revenge for his refusal to mail me a no-strings-attached lasagne.
But, rather annoyingly, upon closer inspection, I see The “Wol-erf” (old cartoon reference) is on his lowest handicap mark since his hurdling days and he’s still only a 9yo.
6lb lower than when runner up to Lord Accord at Cheltenham in October.
Stranger things have happened.
No jockey booked yet, though, so I will look again after tomorrow’s declarations.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"February 16, 2023 at 13:23 #1635662Revels Hill ew 5 places
February 16, 2023 at 13:45 #1635668The wolf has been declared and his price hasn’t moved a millimetre since!
Tells you all you need to know what the books think!
February 16, 2023 at 23:35 #1635737I’ll have a go on Phoenix way on the day.
He’s been staying on from way back in his last couple of runs and the one at Cheltenham in particular with fugitif and Il ridoto ahead of him was particularly eye catching.
February 17, 2023 at 16:39 #16357852 outright punts for me.
The Wolf at 20s
Nocte Volatus 33sBest of luck to all
February 17, 2023 at 23:01 #1635831Neon Moon looks much too big at 16/1 to that generous 5 places EW (now quite widely available). Ascot’s ground this morning (Friday) was given as good, good to soft in places (the good ground, as usual at Ascot comes from the turn in to the exit of the home straight. Turf here was relaid some years ago but it has never settled to a winter consistency with the old turf on the rest of the course; and it can make things less safe than ideal for horses suddenly finding themselves on different ground).
Anyway, a number of these have never shone on good ground, quite a substantial number. Some of them have won on it, but the rating achieved was some way below their best. Neon Moon’s top four performances are on good ground; only Danny Kirwan can better that, but he is not nearly as good value as Neon Moon. Weather Forecast indicates the track should be drying all day Friday and into Saturday; no rain predicted.
Trainer Pipe is in decent form at a win strike rate of 22% and Philip Armson takes 3lbs off with his claim. Neon Moon ought to have won last week at Taunton, but being steadied into the last saw him lose too much momentum, and he was beaten half a length. His top 3 performances have been right handed. But the ground is far and away the key contributor to the value here and an EW bet to 5 places looks highly likely to pay off.
February 17, 2023 at 23:31 #1635842Riders on the Storm for me here. Most of the times he seems to run best fresh. He has been off for 2 and a half months. 3 miles is a new trip for him, but he won several times at Ascot already and the Old Roan form with Hitman and Ga Law looks really strong.
Riders on the Storm 22/1 EW
February 18, 2023 at 09:41 #1635877Another vote for Riders Onthe Storm. Only two pounds higher than his Old Roan win (as mentioned that form looks really strong). He’s worth a go at this trip and they’ll coming here to win it if the National is the aim as he’s neither qualified or quite high enough in the handicap to be confident of getting in.
February 18, 2023 at 11:34 #1635902It’s wide open so I’ll play value with the wolf , hcap to go close and I’m also going with regal encore , last time was disappointing but I thought he travelled well first time out for a long way , Honeyball is no mug , he must still see something in him , plus it would bring the house down and Bobby would prob cry
Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026
February 18, 2023 at 12:18 #1635922Sporting John post wind op for me, though I’ll be cheering for Regal Encore.
February 18, 2023 at 14:40 #1635964Hope all the fallers OK. I bet Regal Encore got a good cheer when he came back.
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