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Supreme Novices Hurdle 2021

Home Forums Archive Topics Cheltenham Archive Cheltenham Festival 2021 Supreme Novices Hurdle 2021

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 129 total)
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  • #1512557
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6526

    Ballyadam clearly has a lot of ability

    Will need to get a bit slicker at his hurdles if hes going to win this though

    #1512571
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6526

    Elliot said post race this is definitely ballyadams target

    #1512574
    Avatar photocharlie87
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    • Total Posts 893

    Yep FF91, music to my ears. No hesitation, no pause, Ballyadam comes here. I’ve covered for the Ballymore just in case, but its excellent news for my book

    #1512590
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 7244

    Ive not seen a quote that he’s deffo coming here Ff91? Where did you see it?

    #1512598
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6526

    Interview on Racingtv

    I am going to be trying to get a nice double rolling on to ferny hollow

    I feel having ballyadam and ferny on side at big prices is a strong position to be in at this stage

    #1512612
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 7244

    Ted Walsh apparently said on RTE that the bookmakers quoting 13-2 about Ballyadam for the Supreme following his Royal Bond Novice Hurdle victory should “be thrown into jail for robbing”.

    #1512657
    Avatar photocharlie87
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    • Total Posts 893

    I wouldn’t be rushing to take 13/2 but its certainly not criminal. Ted Walsh is always saying stuff like this – the other day in the RP he said Flyingbolt would ‘have eaten Arkle’ :yahoo:

    #1513237
    FinalFurlong91
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    Rumours that ferny is injured

    #1513388
    TomBarkley87
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    • Total Posts 1835

    Magic Tricks made a pleasing hurdling debut for Gordon Elliott Saturday in a race that’s been known to throw up a decent type or two. Seems he may have gone under the radar and 33/1 is freely available, although quite how much is left once I’m through with him is another matter :yahoo:

    #1513462
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3393

    Agree with TW, ballyadam is a horrible price for this, division looks poor as of now (assuming theres still some to come out) and im guessing its for that reason hes as short as he is, because its not on what hes shown, the royal bond was a grade 1 by name but nowhere near in quality. So hes joint fav by default for me,

    Id be avoiding him at all costs for now until after christmas in the FCNH at christmas

    #1513508
    Avatar photocharlie87
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    • Total Posts 893

    Ballyadam is 8/1 Ham, what price should he be in your opinion?

    #1513524
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6526

    For only his second run over hurdles it’s hard to knock him too much for his royal bond performance

    Maybe he beat no superstars but he travelled beautifully and showed a good turn of foot to effortlessly kick clear

    Problem is his jumping cost him crucial momentum 2 or 3 times, including at the last which stopped him from clearing away.

    People were expecting another envoi allen after the stable hype which doesn’t appear to be the case.

    But in a market where he’s the only grade 1 winner and won his maiden hurdle by 12 lengths its no surprise hes fav

    Its a funny market really as we are yet to see many horses who I immediately thought after seeing them that they’d go close in a supreme.

    #1513525
    Avatar photocharlie87
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    I’d agree with all of that FF91 – my question to Ham was more out of curiosity than anything else as it’s quite a hard market to price up.

    #1513526
    shipithollabolla
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 129

    Not much love for Dusart on here. I’m a sectionals believer and was fairly dazzled by what I saw at Newbury – seriously impressive numbers for a lifetime debut. Extra credit with Hendo not firing on all cylinders yet.

    Perhaps one that has gone under the radar a little with Flinteur Sacre bombing out?

    #1514799
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 31328

    sportsbook are doing cash out on Ferny Hollow at the moment
    No such luck with Skybet

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1514801
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7244

    Managed to get the cash out done. Shame as I really fancied him. Hopefully he makes a good recovery from his injury.

    #1515315
    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3393

    Considering the lack of depth in it so far charlie nothing should be shorter than 14-16/1 without NRNB, given the fact that he and appreciate it are tied in the market tomorrow and appreciate it is 16/1 for this and he is 6/1. That alone is enough, market has 0 liquidity and he is favourite by default.

    Now, if he wins tomorrow then 6/1 is a fair price without NRNB some firms will go NRNB shortly and then he can be as short as they like.

    But i dont understand the fear he has in the market this far out, cant see why anyone would back anything in this race under 10/1 this season without NRNB (not that i like NRNB in the slightest but atleast you have insurance)

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 129 total)
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