- This topic has 216 replies, 8 voices, and was last updated 19 years, 3 months ago by
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Posts
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Results for Thursday 10 February
150 Southwell Old Bailey 3/1 f <br>2nd 7/2 f :(
300 Wincanton Jackson 9/4 f <br>7th 7/4 f :(
350 Southwell Saucepot 11/1 <br>1/2p EW 7th 10/1 :(
420 Southwell Optimum 3/1 f <br>2nd 9/4 f :(
LSP for the day = – 4.00 :angry:
Cum LSP = 0.559
Rex
Selections for Friday 11 February
215 Bangor Rebel Rhythm 5/4 f
250 Bangor Vulcan Lane 11/8 f
325 Bangor Loup Charter 10/11 f
345 Kempton Brown Teddy 11/4 f
500 Bangor Speed Venture 3/1 f
Rex
Results for Friday 10 February
215 Bangor Rebel Rhythm 5/4 f <br>W 5/6 f :)
250 Bangor Vulcan Lane 11/8 f <br>3rd 9/4 :(
325 Bangor Loup Charter 10/11 f <br>W 15/8 :)
345 Kempton Brown Teddy 11/4 f <br>4th 13/8 f :(
500 Bangor Speed Venture 3/1 f <br>4th 5/2 f :(
LSP for the day = – 0.292
Cum LSP = 0.267
Rex
rex<br>loup charter was a tissue 1.909 it went out to 2.87 it was not even fav in the end. should that have been a non qualifier as <br>1 it was not fav<br>2 it certainly did drift
Seagull,
I refer you to my responses on 1 February timed at 08:59 and 10:10 when you raised a similar question. My response to your most recent query is exactly the same.
Furthermore, I might ask you why you put up a Max of Barranco "gary moore has Barranco 14/1 in the post expected to at least get a place according to stable" the other day.
This horse tailed off and ran like a donkey. Were you trying to put off forum members and did you lay this horse yourself?. I suggest you should have put the horse in your "It’s a bit like winning" system thread. :angry:
Rex
Selections for Saturday 12 February
105 Lingfield Revien 6/4 f
120 Newbury Distant Thunder 5/2 f
300 Newbury Roman Ark 7/1
Rex
Results for Saturday 12 February
105 Lingfield Revien 6/4 f <br>W 13/8 f :)
120 Newbury Distant Thunder 5/2 f <br>W 5/2 jf :)
300 Newbury Roman Ark 7/1<br>9th 7/1 :(
LSP for the day = 3.125
Cum LSP = 3.392
Rex<br>
Rex<br>the ‘system’ as you described was it was for horses that are fav that do not drift ………..plus a ‘gut feel you may have’ (whatever that is) well how can anyone follow that as they may see a horse that is fav drift then be replaced by another horse as fav and then if it wins be included it just is no system. Its more like just posting selections you feel may win that happen to be fav.<br>If you think I tucked anyone up here by putting up a horse the other day that broke down so I could lay it once the price shortened you really dont know me. I expect an apology from you over that.
Without wishing to boast I would imagine the max bets I have put up have been the most profitable overall.
You dont know what was expected from the Gary Moore horse who incidentally had been trained in France before by A. Fabre (who is quite good by the way) that broke down when in 3rd. You dont know who had backed it with quite a lot of money off course and on betfair.<br>How can there be a system when a varaible is Gut Feel just by you is involved its totaly uncheckable and (still in a loss depspite that magic factor.) <br>The bit like winning thread is clearly stated for trainers that have poor records not horses so you dont seem to understand the difference between a trainer and a horse. That little system by the way is clearly defined but lacks the ‘gut feeling’ factor yours has but so far a 100% strike rate. ;) <br>As they say in the Dragons Den. ‘Im not investing in that and Im out of here’
another 2 favs that you expect not to drift plus the gut feel you posted were<br>Roman Ark that was 7/1 nowhere near fav?<br>Saucepot 11/1 ;) was that a fav that shortened up ?<br>theres no logic to this and no system that is based on favs winning will ever win over a full season. Unless of course he first fav wins and then u stop.
Seagull,
re your  1st posting – methinks you doth protest too much.
re your 2nd posting – you are wrong. Stagecoach is a system (each selection goes through 13 different selection criteria) and the selections are mostly favourites that don’t drift too much – but not all as I have explained before to you, which apparantly you are either too thick to understand, or too stubborn to admit.
Rex
PS Did I bully you at school, because your feeble and incorrect attempts to police my system selections smack of someone trying to get their own back?
PPS It is you that should apologise to me :angry:
PPS Chill and enjoy your Sunday ;)
This post is more for any other readers of this thread, rather than for Seagull.
I systematically went through my system last night (as I do every night) and the provisional selections are:
310 Exeter Sleep Bal 5/4 f<br>330 Hereford Bill Brown 11/10 f<br>340 Exeter Il Duce 5/2 f<br>400 Hereford Robber 11/10 f
As it happens all of these are forecast favourites according to the RP. However, being a forecast favourite is not a selection criterion. I will then systematically monitor the markets (mainly Betfair) during this morning to see if I can discern any significant outward movement in these horses prices that might indicate that the horse is not fancied to run well today. If I identify any such drift then I will not make the horse a system selection.<br>I normally post at about noon. If there is a big drift after this time, or after the first show, it is too bad. I initially had two sp measures to show this, as personally in most instances I make my bets just before the off. Ironically, the only time a horse has drifted in such a way was on the first day of posting. I have now dropped this different measure.
As at the time of posting, my provisional nap bet (Sleep Bal) is a little longer than I would have thought but it is early on Sunday, so no worries yet.
Two other horses are on the cusp of selection. Horses that get 7 points or above are provisional selections. Horses that get six of fewer points are discarded. Horses that get 6.5 point are on the cusp. They are:
230 Hereford Early Start 4/1 3f<br>250 Ayr Behavingbadly 13/2 4f
Interestingly, Early Start is the current favourite on Betfair. It is here and with regard to Sleep Bal that my gut instinct will kick in. Should I add Early Start as a selection and/or drop Sleep Bal. I am looking at the markets in order to make this decision. I am human though and not a robot.
This is the system that I am monitoring and posting. It is just in profit but is a bit of a roller coaster. I would suggest you don’t back them at the moment. I will look to see if there should be any refinements.
I am an amateur and doing it for fun but in a systematic way. This thread belongs in the Systems sections of this forum just as much as Barry Dennis’s alliterative selections etc. :biggrin: :cool:
Rex<br>
ok you are right your system is going great guns making massive profits. <br>However as you have just posted today you dont advise anyone to back them and you are going to do some changes. why’s that then? :cheesy: <br>if it aint wrong dont fix it ! so is it wrong then or not?
when u can beat any of my 2 simple systems on here or beat me in the max bets section let me know.
As I have stated your method is nothing to do with favs that dont drift as this magic ‘gut feeling’ :o factor is involved . Try and enter this method into the Barrys Quickie competition and I am sure they will agree with me that it is something completely inconceivable (that means something that cannot be imagined). Thats what it is .<br>
Seagull
<br>You selectively read and do that badly. Where did I say my system is going great guns? What I said was:
"It is just in profit but is a bit of a roller coaster. I would suggest you don’t back them at the moment."
Why don’t you go down the local where you will find your information providing "stable boys" laughing behind your back at what a mug you are, especially when they put you away during the week.
I now know why you call yourself Seagull. You are an unwelcome irritant that squawks too much and trys to crap on people from a great height. :cool:
I will now do what any normal person will do and ignore your blustering and posturing. I guess I will have to tolerate you like an annoying wasp at a picnic because swatting you will only put you out of your lonely misery.
Good day to you sir.
Rex
as long as u will carry on so will I.<br>What u cant seem to understand is that any so called system needs certain rules how can anyone else understand it otherwise ?<br>Yours has the gut feeling factor what is this?  You have never explained this magic factor?<br>I have already explained about a horse breaking down . <br>You dont really know who backed it but I do. <br>re the max punts I am well in an overall profit in that section. Cant see much from u there.<br> As you have already stated you are an amateur that about sums you up and there is nothing else to add. unless u want to carry on.<br>
(Edited by Seagull at 11:45 am on Feb. 13, 2005)
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