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  • #1605
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Here is a system primarily drawn from the Racing Post (the usual suspects – RPR, TS PD etc) plus a subjective (gut feel) from me. I will personally only back the horses that do not drift significantly from the price forecast in the RP. I will record the LSP for all selections though.

    Selections for Thursday 27 January

    110 Southwell Cerebus 7/4<br>310 Southwell Treasure Cay 6/4<br>330 Warwick Bobsleigh 5/4<br>350 Plumpton Surefast 8/11

    Rex

    <br>

    #57685
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Results from Thursday 27 January

    110 Southwell Cerebus 7/4  W 11/10 f :) <br>good support

    310 Southwell Treasure Cay 6/4 L 4th 5/6 f :( <br>strong support

    330 Warwick Bobsleigh 5/4 L 4th 5/2 f :( <br>strong drift from f/c – friendless on B/F all day – they knew ;) didn’t have my money. Ran poorly

    350 Plumpton Surefast 8/13 W 4/5 f :) <br>slight drift from f/c

    LSP = -0.1<br>LSP of backed horses = 0.9

    Rex

    (Edited by RexWayne at 4:38 pm on Jan. 27, 2005)

    #57686
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Rex,

    I’m always keen on any system derived from the RP because I rely on it so much myself.<br>Good luck; I ‘ll be watching with interest.

    #57687
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Selections for Friday 28 January

    No significant drifters at the time of posting

    <br>130 Folkestone Jair Ohmsford 5/2

    140 Doncaster Donna’s Double 7/1 <br>1/2 p ew

    245 Doncaster Nation State 13/8

    345 Folkestone Barton Nic 4/6

    405 Wolverhampton Red Chairman 8/11

    415 Folkestone Bob Bob Bobbin 11/10

    425 Doncaster Billyvoddan 11/4

    505 Wolverhampton Don Pasquale 7/4

    Rex<br>

    #57688
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Redults for Friday 28 January

    Odds on selections spoiled a good day

    130 Folkestone Jair Ohmsford 5/2 W 7/2 :)

    Good support on BF throughout the day. First show<br>drifted on course to 7/2. Won easily ;)

    140 Doncaster Donna’s Double 7/1 7th 9/1<br>1/2 p ew

    245 Doncaster Nation State 13/8 2nd 4/6 f :( <br>Strong support

    345 Folkestone Barton Nic 4/6 L PU 4/5 f :angry:

    405 Wolverhampton Red Chairman 8/11 2nd 4/9 f :(

    415 Folkestone Bob Bob Bobbin 11/10  W 8/13 f :)

    425 Doncaster Billyvoddan 11/4 W 5/4 f :) <br>Very strong support

    505 Wolverhampton Don Pasquale 7/4 2nd 11/10 f :( <br>good support

    LSP = 0.27<br>LSP of backed horses = 1.27

    <br>Rex

    (Edited by RexWayne at 2:50 pm on Jan. 29, 2005)

    #57689
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    No selections for Saturday 29 January – very competitive

    Rex

    #57690
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Selections for Monday 31 January

    115 Kempton Mr President 5/1

    125 Wolverhampton Pianoforte 11/10

    205 Exeter Almah 11/8

    250 Kempton Schuh Shine 11/8

    410 Wolverhampton Langston Boy Evens

    440 Wolverhampton Sundried Tomato  5/1

    Rex

    #57691
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Results for Monday 31 January

    115 Kempton Mr President 5/1 3rd 7/2 :(

    125 Wolverhampton Pianoforte 11/10 W 11/8 :)

    205 Exeter Almah 11/8 W 8/15 :)

    250 Kempton Schuh Shine 11/8 W 15/8 :)

    410 Wolverhampton Langston Boy Evens W 8/11 :)

    440 Wolverhampton Sundried Tomato  5/1 9th 5/1 :(

    LSP = 2.78<br>LSP of backed horses = 3.78

    Rex<br>

    #57692
    Seagull
    Member
    • Total Posts 1708

    pianoforte was not the fav.<br>and it drifted on the forecast price

    glad it won though

    (Edited by Seagull at 11:51 pm on Jan. 31, 2005)

    #57693
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Seagull

    The sub-title of this thread is "mostly favourites that don’t drift", not favourites that don’t drift , so your pedantry is incorrect.

    My system identifies horses that I think will run well. It generally identifies  horses at the shorter end of the market and often such horses are forecast favourites and end up actual favourites. Pianoforte was forecast  favourite and was very well supported. New Wave was strongly fancied and ended up actual favourite and caused Pianoforte to become second favourite.

    Still, your interest in this thread is appreciated, even if you feel it necessary to incorrectly criticise it ;)

    Rex

    (Edited by RexWayne at 9:01 am on Feb. 1, 2005)

    #57694
    Seagull
    Member
    • Total Posts 1708

    I thought the horse difted OUT in  price was that not correct?

    #57695
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Seagull

    Your initial point was its non favouritism. You are now trying to wriggle out, unsuccessfully I might add. :cool:

    My subtitle should read (if there was enough space)

    "  ………… exclude horses that drift because they are clearly not fancied and people are laying them for all they are worth.

    There was plenty of money for Pianoforte throughout the day. It was strongly supported. There was more money for New Wave, because many people strongly fancied this horse too. Pianoforte didn’t significantly drift because it would be a non-tryer etc. The market had it as a two horse race which is how it turned out – a close fought thing, which as you noriginally pointed out Pianoforte won. The slight drift of Pianoforte, in this instance, was a good thing. If you fancied it, you would back it at the value price, as no doubt you did.

    People post  threads on this forum to help others on the forum win money, if they choose to back them.

    What is your problem? :angry:

    Rex

    #57696
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Selections for Tuesday 1 February

    100 Lingfield Anfield Dream 3/1

    140 Taunton Manorson 4/5

    240 Taunton Manly Money 4/7

    340 Taunton Duchamp 7/4

    I am looking as 2 other possible selections. They are going backwards and forwards in the market at the moment.

    Will post later if they firm up.

    Rex

    #57697
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    2 additional selections for Tuesday

    210 Taunton Noble Request 7/2<br>1/2 p W

    310 Taunton Laska De Thaix  3/1<br>1/2 p EW

    Conservative staking for me on these. The slight drift has stopped.

    Rex

    #57698
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Results for Tuesday 1 February

    100 Lingfield Anfield Dream 3/1 W 15/8 f :)

    140 Taunton Manorson 4/5 W 4/6 f :)

    210 Taunton Noble Request 7/2 W 5/2 2f :) <br>1/2 p W

    240 Taunton Manly Money 4/7 W 5/6 f :)

    310 Taunton Laska De Thaix  3/1 3rd 9/2 3f<br>1/2 p EW :( :( :)

    340 Taunton Duchamp 7/4 W Evens f :)

    LSP for the day = 5.575 :biggrin:

    LSP = 8.355<br>LSP of backed horses = 9.355

    <br>Rex<br>

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