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Getting too clever for my own good the two runners were of course half a stone clear of the field in the first so a reverse forecast would have been the call.
Cork 2:30Run forest run
Win
Ran a stunning race five runs ago on very soft ground. Gets that ground again now and has dropped back to a winning mark already. Regardless Connor stone Walsh takes half a stone off his back and we’ve seen already today what happens when that much weight is forgone.
The lower drawn horses have dropped out in big numbers to suggest high is the place to be.beverley 1635
ARCTIC SUNRISE
win
never raced but looks way too classy for these.
breeding not the cost suggests he out of place here. Drawn too high but if able to adjust for that should win well.
Bellewstown 1635
ZENON
Each way
Charming spirit
Both each way
Willie Mullins runner zennon a thousand days plus and a last time out winner entered in the cesarawitch.
Both of these soft ground specialistsWillie knows best and silly me thought there were more than five runners there!!!
Southwell 1830
timewave
win
Bay of naples
each way
timewave holds strong claims here while bay of Naples loved the old course a winner recently at Leicester comes here at the top of his game and placed here two visits ago. Seen out rise for that latest win and could strike here if ROMAN ART doesn’t get there first.
Roman art
bay of Naples
timewave
Combination tricast
Southwell 1900
Raqeebb
win
SMART DEAL
Each way
the recipient of “free energy “
could cause a turn up here.
snipers eye may win but with exaggerated hold up jockey on board is best left well alone.
Not the biggest race today by any means but
Worcester 2:15Mofassa
Makes chase debut in a class three for Paul Nicholls. Harry Cobden takes the ride and this stable switcher is expected to run well enough in this horse to make a successful start to life at the top trainers.Worcester 1450
mutual respect
win
ran into a stable switcher who had never run over fences previously but had been allowed to run off a rating 30lb below hurdles mark. Ran well in the circumstances and as a previous winner the race before, likely now to resume that path.
vinnie the hoodie
small each way
the new top weight after the defection of two horses including chess player but likely beneficiary is mutual respect as the bottom weight here.
Epsom 1745
a real show of the changing of the guard here as Billy loughnane gets the leg up on an AMO runner in the presence of Kevin Stott who recently lost the gig ( why I don’t know) he’s been on this horse many times but this listed and group placed horse hasn’t got his head in front and has been frustrating to follow
little boy blue
maxi boy
both each way
Marley park
win
Marley park won this last year but won here recently and may have lost the chance to back up the run due to the rise but this looks a deeper race and a few horses have “turned up” including Brighton specialist little boy blue…..
fairyhouse 1520
Mitiva
win
Liz Doyes runner comes back to racing after being off 100 days. well beaten on handicap debut after showing up well in maidens. A bumper winner and yard returns in better form.Rated 100 and this is a mid to 102 rated race. All runners connected to this horse in bumpers handicaps and maidens operating above this level by some way.
Mark Walsh jp macmanus retained jockey up today not my favourite jockey but a positive booking nonetheless.If you have a jockey you are not sure about, do not use that jockey in low grade races where it may be they are prepping for future races. That was the case here for mark Walsh who as is often the case hung back for a long time before staying on.
Newcastle
1800CONCORDE
Win
Progressive and with Billy Loughnane up should relish step up in trip.Stall 1 will never work out to be a draw data horse it’s simply not mathematically possible.
But draw data horse stall 1 is here!!
THURLES 4:50
BAROMETER
ESCH WAY
Colin Keane could land a quick fire double in half an hour.
Back on board here for first time since winning over this trip.
Third last three times stepped up specially here.Salisbury 5:35
Ashtanga
Each way
Progressive and unexposed Harry Davies rides. Debut form class four third winner is rated over 100Oceanline
Each way
Sea stone
Win
Ascot 4:30
NT MINNESOTA
Downpatrick
ROHAAN
Ascot 5:05
Beat the heat
Fontwell 5:15
As a winning pointer this trip will suit NT Minnesota for Willie Mullins has been found wanting over shorter.
Oceanline returns to the flat having been over jumps for in form David Pipe.
Rohaan wins at least once a year and today with some give in the ground looks about right on a track where he has won four times. With Neil callan a top booking he must be primed to go for it today. Makes up ground hand over fist in all of his races and although down the field this season has been an eyecatcher.
Win Acca singles and doubles.
Sea stone is the win bet from the ascot race and looks too good for the others.1715
MOONSHINE SPIRIT
Win
Henry Box Brown
each way
MS good third behind sassified.
sassified won yesterday off 92 from 79.
HBB back down soon after being here off 93 back in same mark and very lightly raced and not returned since winning here. Both have strong chances…..
1730
LEWA HOUSE
WIN
Charlotte Jones’ only ride of the day.
Punchestown 1500
Next race at punchestown
Zanahiyr to win
Zanahiyr to win by 3.0 lengths or more 11/8
andy dufrense to win without zanahiyr 100/30just a three runner and a race in question although to me an exciting duel between a very good class 1 flat horse and Newmarket winner in the ring with a horse who has chased hard behind the great constitution hill.
My estimed friend wouldn’t touch this race with a barge pole due to the record of the middle trainer, I even dedicated a song 🎵 skandal in downpatrick 🎵 if you recall.
on all known form the very talented Brynes runner could win this because at the weights he’d be receiving a ton of weight from these but to me the rating are more important and performances of form in the book and I don’t think you’d find any stronger form than ZANAHIYR. coming third twice to the champion national hunt horse in consecutive races . The picture is completed by Andy Dufrense of the shawshanks redemption and every time I see this horse I think of the scene when Andy barricades himself in the wardens office and plays that beautiful music if Andy Dufrense wins today It’d be the shawsam’s redemptionthe bottom line
even though run for Oscar is 19lb to the good given the jockeys claim a horse that chased home a 175 rated horse to within 3:5 lengths is different class and although the Newmarket winner has speed and class should be no match for the selection and may well falter under pressure here.
Zanahiyr to win
Zanahiyr to win by 3.0 lengths or more 11/8
andy dufrense to win without zanahiyr 100/30Sweetest carries a rising star in the opening race at Newmarket.
If this lad can confirm the rumours going round the gallops and devils dyke he could make a meme for himself here. If gets home first we could see a flying dismount he’s reputed to make.
Newmarket 1350
SWEETESTEach way
Intricately
Win
Flora of Bermuda
Win
Combination tricast1645
Newmarket
Devoted Queen
win
Charlie Appleby has not only won this race three times in the last four years, DQ is the draw data horse over a very wide sweep of runnings. Very well bred and with the Buick in the driving seat also receives free energy and has everything experience in her favour the absence of a key rival a very big plus.
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