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I’m 99% sure he will but when they have these multiple entries you just never know
Blackbeard to conquer the World
Why is it impossible to back Gore?
And you can still get 6/1 ERVEDYA and they have TIME TEST at 7/1 and surely that will not run in this race!!
I stated the points why you can’t back it…it’s not a sure thing. Maybe if you punt small but I am only in it for the big certs you can lump. Dosent always pay off but 95% do
I can’t see any negatives myself for Tepin. She is at her best over a mile and won a grade 1 on soft ground by 7 lengths last year. She also has a grade 1 victory to her name over 9f which is a positive over this stiff mile.
She is a very strong traveller, doesn’t need to lead and has a fair few gears, so I am expecting her to be in the mix.
I don’t see her blowing up like Animal Kingdom did at all as she has been prepped for this and has the credentials with her fantastic winning streak she is on. The only problem I’m having is deciding whether soft ground is giving her rivals here a bigger advantage than herself.
Thing with Tepin is this, if she dosent kick and take 2/3 lengths out she has no chance.
I think she is versatile tactically so there shouldn’t be any excuses I feel for not running a huge race.
The worry for me is not the stiff mile or whether she can act on proper soft ground but the advantage some of the competition have with their respective soft ground form.
I’m going to wait it out and see if 5/1 will become available.
I wasn’t particularly impressed with the prep runs for Ervedya and Esiterique. I felt that even though they would come on a lot for the run, they needed to have shown a bit more in those respective races.
Still, this looks a tidy race and should be a great start to the week.
This is how they are likely to line up anyway…so at least you will get a good idea of where your horse is positioned.
Tepin best position for me.
http://postimg.org/image/ftp9gsrdj/I still think Ervedya will win this and am on at 7/1 and 6/1 and 5/1 and I won’t be swayed on this!!
This mare will swoop and beat these and the only danger is if she has trouble in running!!
Impossible to get trouble in running at Ascot on the straight course so dont worry about that
I think Ervedya has a good chance on the going along with Esoterique but no doubt Tepin is the superstar in the field.TEPIN looks the real deal for me, but whether her form transfers to here is the question. I don’t see
why it shouldn’t, but the main reason for me posting is that I just received an email from Willie Hill
stating they guarantee 6/1 for TEPIN at 8.30 tomorrow morning. Anyone who is thinking of lumping on
should hang off till tomorrow morning, but don’t hang about, I don’t expect they will hold that price
for too long.Tepin has drifted to 6/1. I know there are doubts about how she will handle the ground, but the going was on the easy side at last year’s Breeders Cup. I think she looks very good value at these odds. With no Solow, she’s the best in this field imo.
Just as well Gleneagles was retired at the end of last season; he certainly wouldn’t be running today.
I’m looking forward to watching Tepin run. Surely Ervedya needs to be watched, since she likes soft ground?
Queen Anne looks open.
Tepin‘s USA form is the best, but his best form is on firmer ground. That said ran away with the First Lady (Group 1) on officially good-soft – didn’t look good-soft to me. What could be more against her is can’t run with a nasal strip and lasix. Also the straight track to consider. See why he’s drifted out from clear ante-post favourite, but the best horse is 6/1 now.
Great to see Dewhurst winner Belardo come back to Group 1 winning form in the Lockinge. Good or softer seems important to him and gets it here. But so too is pace, needs a strongly run mile to come through horses and that makes him inconsistent. Can’t see any more improvement and imo plenty short in the market now.
One I do like is Lockinge 3rd Endless Drama, travelled smoothly for a long way at Newbury before weakening late – after a year off. Just 1 ¼ lengths to make up on Belardo and only 5 runs to his name. More improvement likely and some form on heavy, though improved since on good ground shouldn’t be a problem.
Had a good Royal Ascot win on Ervedya in the Coronation last year and can run well again here. Unlike some, seems to have a turn of foot which is equally effective on a soft surface. However, doesn’t seem much between her and the other French horse Esoterique on form and latter is much bigger in the market.
Esoterique has an excellent record in Britain, length 2nd in this last year and there’s no Solow this year. Probably hasn’t run on quite as soft as this, but Le Marois on pretty soft gives encouragement. Should come on for reappearance and stable in form.
Stable of Kodi Bear is in even better form and should love conditions. Improved last year but a prominent early position seems important to him and there’s a pacemaker here. Looked temperamental at Newbury and not sure how he’ll cope with Royal Ascot.
I’ve backed Endless Drama and Esoterique with a saver on Ervedya.
Value Is EverythingWhat a horse!! I’m so pleased for her and all the connections taking the time to bring
her over here, well done for having the bottle.Gives me a bit of a pot for the rest of the meeting
Solow would have hosed this I feel. The proximity of Belardo suggests so.
I couldn’t fathom AP McCoy fancying Esoterique. She was beaten at odds on just 10 days ago and is hardly an improver at 6YO.
Probably not as strong a renewal as might have appeared and the Ricky Lake wonder horse was posted missing today.
I met a Frenchman on the High Street who mistook me for someone else and enquired:-
“Richard Lac, Ou est Ervedya, elle a ete la merde”
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
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