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I had a hunch Murphy would go for the Ryanair with Kalahari and had a punt at 20’s. If the ground comes up on the quick side (sabotage that watering pipe !!) i can see Lee being glued to the rail and coming as late as possible. I think he has a big chance. Hopefully Riverside will head to Aintree instead.
Now that Riverside Theatre is a likely runner, I don’t see why his odds are still 6-1. Surely 2-1 would be more appropriate? He has the best form of any runner and is going over his optimum trip against a bunch of second class horses.
A very interesting runner in the Ryanair i think, Riverside Theatre.
Some good prices at the moment for him too in the Ante-Post betting.
Doesn’t have that much form going left-handed, and most of his better runs have come on ‘flat’ tracks, going right-handed.
Will be interesting to see how he gets on this year at the festival. He didn’t have the best of runs in The Arkle last year, and couldn’t really settle into a rhythm it seemed.
I think the trip will suit him though, and he should go close. He has shown a lot of improvement this season.
I’m a big fan of Alberta’s Run – backed him win (15.5) and place (5.1) on Betfair, but the news that Riverside looks like he’ll run means I’ve had a tenner at 6s with Coral on him. Really looking forward to this!
Twitter=@PGHenn
So don't run, just like the others always do
The lay bets kept disappearing on Riverside Theatre last night so not a total surprise he’s out injured this morning.
Does Albertas run? No idea why 2 horses who have btn Poquelin are behind him in the betting. Both booted 4.5 lengths into him [Tranquil (rec 2lb) and Albertas] over a similar CD. Tranquil Sea’s record suggests he needs to be fresh and is this year. I think they both maybe value @ 13/2 and 10s NRNB.
Is this due to the boost in ratings good horses get for beating handicappers under top weight?
Albertas Run is the one I like in this. Poquelin is respected but at current odds Alberta is one of the very few Cheltenham 2011 standout bets for me at this stage.
That’s if they even run him at Cheltenham, might be saved until Aintree. Although after Riverside Theatre’s injury, i think it may tempt them to go for the Ryanair again.
There really isn’t a decision to make with Albertas Run. If he runs somewhere near to last year’s form he wins, if he runs in the Gold Cup he finishes tailed off. Not many horses win three times at the Festival, so why deprive him of the chance? Having said that as we all know if we get a deluge he wins nothing.
Voy Por Ustedes will be given an entry. If he is back to his best he could run a big race at a decent price. Stable on fire.
I’d love to see him win this. Class horse on his day who has not got the recognition due him.
After a long list of dubious selections Pricewise may have found the board at last with Weird Al.
On a stiff track this might be his trip and with so few runs he could easily be a better horse than those heading the market.
As I have said before Poquelin had his chance last year and never looked liked winning and Kalahari King appears to have forgotten how to win. The markets have gotten wise to Ferdy Murphy and his runners in general now represent dreadful value.
Certainly, if have gone with Alberta’s Run who is very much ground dependant, it is worth considering the other ‘Al’.
Just read on sportinglife that Somersby may well be running in this – having traded at 159-1 on the fair and being removed from ante post lists!!
Apparentley Henrietta thinks the ground may favour a switch from the champion chase! (nothing to do with it being a very weak renewal and having to face Big Zeb / Masterminded!)
Its my idea if the winner if it runs anyway!! – I’m sure if it goes for the champion chase it will just run on into a place anyway.Thought this might happen. To give Hen some credit, she did say it was possible. Just wish I’d taken the betfair price, although did take 6/1 immediately B365 went NRNB last week. I think he’ll start favourite.
Also took 8/1 NRNB Wishfull Thinking at the same time for the Jewson, and he’s now fav.
Value Is EverythingDoes anyone recollect if this is Gauvains preferred Cheltenam target, if indeed he is being aimed at the Festival?
I like him as the value in the race, travelled terrifically lto against Riverside Theatre (who i had down as a good thing for this prior to injury) and the presumed better ground will suit.
20’s looks too big, as hs is perhaps still unexposed at this trip following his return from injury, and only has 3lb to find with the much shorter Kalahari King regardless.
Thanks in advance for any information regarding his likelihood of running in the race.
PC,
Think I heard Gauvain will probably go for the Ryanair.
But if you think 20/1 is value, you should get on anyway, before it disappears. Even Billy Hills is offering nrnb on the Ryanair, so you’ll get your money back if a non-runner.Value Is Everything
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