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Agree.
That was immense. Learned a crucial lesson too as pointed out.
Hurdle form being replicated. I’m gonna smash him when NRNB comes in.I was put off by Punchestowns yesterday. I dont think he jumped near well enough to consider him for the RSA. I always thought Sandown was overestimated as a tough jumping course. Cheltenham will test his jumping a lot more and if he doesnt improve from yesterday I dont see him taking a hand in proceedings. It will no doubt annoy connections no end if he doesnt turn out to be top class over fences, because there is a lot of money to be had chasing Big Bucks home all year over hurdles, or even challenging him for wins. Congrats to BG yesterday on a great ride.
I think its a case of "either Long Run runs, or stay away" for me.
I think the Pandorama/Weapons Amnesty form is short of top class. I cant have Diamond Harry after just one run and I doubt we’ll see Mikael at the festival.
He’s clearly the best horse in the field though. I doubt brushing a few obstacles at Cheltenham will faze him and he’s odds-on to be storming down the hill as the pace hots up and other cry enough. Not like he can’t grind up the hill either, as he showed at Sandown.
On hurdles form Diamond Harry isn’t a whole lot behind, and Long Run’s Kempton form appears to give him the edge on a line through Tchico Polos. I think both of the above mentioned have a lot of improvement to come also.
I’m expecting Long Run to head to the Arkle.
As for improvement, after only two chases (compared with Long Run’s five steeplechase outings), Punchestowns clearly has plenty of scope for further improvement too – especially when sent over a trip.
I’m expecting Long Run to head to the Arkle.
As for improvement, after only two chases (compared with Long Run’s five steeplechase outings), Punchestowns clearly has plenty of scope for further improvement too – especially when sent over a trip.
I am convinced Long Run will end up staying further than Punchestowns, Long Runs Feltham does not scream Arkle to me and Punchestowns looks more of a 21/2m specialist {Ryanair 2011} imo.
Tazbar will only go to Cheltenham if the ground is good. He wont go where its soft. I was impressed by him yesterday over a trip way too short. However, given how much of a battering Long Run gave him in the Feltham, I have to fancy him too. And then there is Weird Al who looks like a top chaser in the making. Punchstowns didn’t impress yesterday but then I think Herndersons horses are running a few pounds under par. On a line through Tchico Polos though, Long Run and Tazbar are looking like the two to have on my side.
Cheltenham should have better ground than that at Leopardstown yesterday and i would confidently bet that
Weapons Amnesty
will beat Pandorama in the RSA! Davy Russell seriously over did the waiting tactics yesterday and was basically beaten by the ground!Oh yes if Mikael fails to get to Cheltenham this year,i can see myself recovering my losses with interest on this fellow!Long Run is still too novicey! Weird Al would be a danger to all as he is a very lightly raced but fast improving sort!
And he has just done the same again today,he gave the winner a 15 length head start,thats twice now Davy Russell has been beaten on Weapons Amnesty over doing it!
I’d have Cousin Vinny ahead of him too, with Punches and LR.
Back hurdling for Cousin Vinny i"m afraid!
Talked myself in to an each-way on Weird Al.
Nicky Henderson hasn’t trained that many very successful three mile chasers so he is in rare territory here. I prefer Long Run to Punchestowns but there may be a jumping issue and I am not sure why there has been so much talk of running him over a shorter trip if this was/is the plan. Still remain unconvinced that Punchestowns will get home over three miles – personally I think he would be better in a Ryanair.
Diamond Harry is very talented but does most of his running on the bridle and you do not see that many winning this race on the bridle. Weapons Amnesty has had several hard races and the form of his win under more favourable conditions at Newcastle does not look good enough.
Weird Al needs to improve but as I said before he is a solid option who has had a pretty much ideal preparation.
I like Weird Al a lot,I think he’s an ideal sort for this type of race.
He jumps well,stays well,obviously has a liking for Cheltenham and can battle it out when the going gets tough.
He may not carry the same sort of hype of one or two of the others but maybe that’s a good thing,it’ll hold his price up a bit.
I’ve got him at 16’s and wouldn’t swap him for anything else in the race.After saturday im on Punches,Diamond Harry will be the chief danger but i feel punches will be to strong a stayer.
Long Run will win this now.
Any idea why Pandorama is still 14/1 that must be to big for this horse.
Any idea why Pandorama is still 14/1 that must be to big for this horse.
Must be his poor win ratio
"shabby" wrote:
Any idea why Pandorama is still 14/1 that must be to big for this horse.
Must be his poor win ratio
Any idea why Pandorama is still 14/1 that must be to big for this horse.
Must be his poor win ratio
He"s still in the 4 miler,now why would he even get an entry for that?? Exactly, he"s slow!
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