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Being a bit of a flat racing afficiando, this is probably the favourite time of the year for me.
Coventry stakes
Air Force Blue.
Aidan O Brien has a fantastic record in the race and having won seven of the last 18 runnings I think this fellow represents decent value at 8-1
Round Two is a worthy favourite but whether he should be as short as he is, to me is very much open to doubt. He also looks rather on the small side and lacking scope, although he may well win this, if you then see quotes of around 3/4-1 from the miserly bookies I suggest you lay him for all he’s worth- he won’t win the guineas.
The O’Brien stable also have a good line on the favourite as their Washington Dc wasn’t beaten that far behind Round two at the curragh so they will know where they stand with Air Force Blue.
Kings Stand:
Sole Power
Gone against my original selection Muthmir, you can expect that to hose up now. However the more I think about this race the more I become confident that Sole Power can pull off the hattrick. They missed the thunderstorms at the weekend which means the ground is coming in his favour and you know what will happen- the race will fall apart in front of Richard Hughes and he’ll come charging through in the last couple of furlongs to a memorable victory in his final season as a Jockey.
St James Palace:
Make Believe
Gleneagles is an odds on favourite but he was even shorter for his last race, the Irish 2000 guineas and he laboured to an unconvincing victory.
For me he looks rather vulnerable (certainly quotes from O’Brien about him being the best miler he’s ever trained seem completely ludicrous) so it’s a bit of a no-brainer, back the impressive French 2000 guineas winner Make Believe, who may also get a soft lead in front and will be hard to peg back in the short straight.
Other races are also interesting, of course the highlight for many will be the Queen Anne, but for me this is a classic no bet race.
There’s no way of telling how Able Friend and Solow will take to the track and completely different conditions in general to what they are used to, and although you could argue that Night of Thunder is some sort of value, both him and Toormore (who probably goes best fresh anyway) lack the swagger and overall impressive win to run ratio of the two favourites.
if I had to choose between the top two I would certainly go for Able Friend, but not with much confidence. Does anyone remember Gladitorius?
That was a foreign raider that also had looked extremely impressive going into the race, and he was stuffed out of sight. A word of warning.Later on in the card I rather like the unbeaten Soapy Aitken in the Windsor Castle
Any thoughts?
I agree with you in the Coventry judge about Airforce Blue being a good price and I would also throw War Department into the mix on it’s annihilation of a field of maidens at Leicester and maybe Qeyaadah which beat a good one of Hannon’s first time out.
The Kings Stand is tricky unless you are a Sole Power fan (which I am not) I think Shamal Wind will run well and Pearl’s Secret is a big price if he is back to is 2013 form in the race which only puts him a length or so behind Sole Power and is four times the price.
Sorry to agree again but Make Believe at 7/2 is just massive!!! Gelneagles was not at all impressive last time and I can’t have Consort winning and Belardo wants soft ground and the others just are not good enough. 7/2 Each Way is an absolutel steal!!
And the Queen Anne is a definite no bet watch a good race!!
P.S. In the last 20/1 Opal Tiara and 66/1 Archimedes good be sporting bets!!
Be Lucky
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