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SUN MAIDEN 7/1
Her maiden she won not strong race but she avoid Epsom which is wise move after all most epsom horses get beat here i know Coronet did not but it normally the case.And think she a high class horse in making
Backed Sacred Path @ 25’s for this.
Has an entry on Friday and certainly looked like an extra 2F would be fine for her judged by her Goodwood debut run. Was a bit foggy that day but still well worth a watch.
Magic Wand 8/1
If lining up she would certainly enjoy a quicker surface and a more straightforward track than at Epsom. She looked good at Chester and would probably go off a fair bit shorter than 8s if she’s sufficiently recovered from her Oaks exploits.
Stats up to 2017 (not including Coronet)
12/14 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
12/14 – Placed in their previous race
11/14 – Had never raced at Ascot before
10/14 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
10/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/14 – Won their last race
5/14 – Irish-trained winners (4 of last 5)
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 15/2Still scratching my head at Crystal Hope’s run LTO but I’m happy to give her another chance here at 12s NRNB.
Bolted up FTO this season looking top drawer and then drifted like a barge last run finishing a poor third. She may need cut in the ground (GS debut) but the family go on quick ground so not convinced at that just yet.
Magic Wand back on firm ground interests me.
9/2
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Looks a three horse race to me.
Oaks favourites Wild Illusion and Magic Wand and the improver/unexposed Sun Maiden. I agree with you Jack, Magic Wand back on firmer ground/Wild Illusion possibly not suited by the return to firmer and having to give 3 lbs… Of the Oaks fillies – at the prices – I’m with the O’Brien horse. However, in my opinion the filly with the best chance is Stoutey’s Sun; so much promise in her last time out. Taken around 11/8 for a combined price about the pair.Value Is EverythingI make it a three horse race too Ginge.
Though with Wild Allusion wanting it softer, I have gone against her here after playing her in the Oaks.
Magic Wand is decent but not a great filly imo.
So I’ve gone with the ‘could be anything’ filly of the three in Sun Maiden at 11/4
I am going to stick up Athena here.
Noted how well she traveled when getting beat by Sea of Class (no shame there,I think that filly is top notch) where she came well clear of the 3rd who is also a decent animal of Stoute’s.
Then won a maiden by 1/2 a length at 2/5.Not great on the face of it,but was heavily eased in the closing stages and the 2nd won easily next time out as well.
Ground fine and out of Camelot so 1m4f should be right up her street.
Taken some 11/1 with Paddy.
I have made it a two horse race!! LOL
MAGIC WAND and PERFECT CLARITY will both appreciate the better ground and at 5/1 and 11/1 I am on them both!!
Perfect Clarity 11/1.
Didn’t like the track/ground LTO and happy to excuse the run. Won well in Lingfield and think she’ll enjoy this stiff 12F more than half of these.
3:40 – Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2)
I was on Wild Allusion for the Oaks and she ran well in second though it looked like a poor renewal. She sets the standard on form but may have preferred softer conditions. Magic Wand looked good on this ground at Chester and can run well here whilst Perfect Clarity was very disappointing that day when well fancied by many but she probably hated the ground. She has been backed for this overnight. The selection instead goes to SUN MAIDEN (11/4) for Sir Michael Stoute. The Ascot most-winning trainer often sends a good one to this and she will be fresh after skipping the Oaks. She looked magnificent when smashing a weak field at Salisbury by 11 lengths and will love this ground. She must go well here surely.1st – Sun Maiden 11/4
2nd – Wild Allusion 11/4
3rd – Perfect Clarity 10/17/2 about Wild Illusion looks far too good to pass up. 4th in a Guineas and 2nd in an Oaks is by head and shoulders clear on what anything else has done. I do expect Magic Wand to put up a stern effort back on a quick surface but she has that class gap to bridge so my bet on her at 8s has become nothing more than a saver now.
Wild Illusion 7/2
Saver: Magic Wand 8/1
Between Magic Wand and Wild Illusion for me.
I’ve gone for Wild Illusion as I felt she didn’t quite last home in the Oaks and the faster ground will reduce stamina requirement. Wild Illusion has won on good to firm and run well in the Guineas on it as well. I can’t have her needing softer on the little evidence we have to date.
Sun Maiden slaughtered her field by 12 lengths last time but the second 2nd and 3rd were beaten 8 lengths and 10 lengths next time. Most worrying about that form is that runner-up White Light was Evens favourite for a maiden race and was beaten 8 lengths. The 3rd behind Sun Maiden was thumped in a Listed race and not a surprise. I really do wonder about trainers who aim a horse at a Listed race when their official rating is 74 but what do I know?
Wild Illusion looked the bet to me at 7/2 and Magic Wand for the forecast. Sun Maiden is too short for me despite plenty of potential. These are different opponents by some margin from her previous sparring partners.
Wild Illusion 7/2
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Taken a chance on Dancing Brave Bear 20/1. She ran a decent
race in the Musidora and if Atzeni can get her to relax I think she should
handle the move up in trip.I actually think both the 2nd and 3rd against Sun Maiden – White Light and Whispering Sands – improved next time out. Former might have been Evens fav, but some horses prices don’t represent their fair chance. One that beat her Pirate King a pretty good horse. Whispering Sands went from being beaten 13 lengths behind Sun Maiden to just 10 lengths in a Listed race. But for 13 lengths read 18. It was that easy. Yes, it could be she isn’t as good as these, but given abundant promise in that run and her exceptional breeding – combination of those two things means imo she’s worth taking the chance.
Value Is Everything
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