The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

(Rating*100)/£Prize money = Stake

Home Forums Archive Topics Systems (Rating*100)/£Prize money = Stake

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 140 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #339820
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Selections for Friday 11 February 2011

    No qualifiers today.

    That makes five days in succession with no qualifiers.

    I’ll put this thread to bed for the time being while I research some other less restrictive filters that may provide a more plentiful supply of qualifiers.

    #340017
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    I’ve dropped the Race Class filter and added forecast price/field size filters. Time will tell.

    Selections for Saturday 12 February 2011

    13:30 Lingfield A Little Bit Dusty £12.79
    16:55 Warwick Elegant Touch £12.84
    20:20 Wolverhampton Albaraka £10.26

    #340382
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Results for Saturday 12 February 2011

    13:30 Lingfield A Little Bit Dusty WON 2.16
    16:55 Warwick Elegant Touch LOST 6.80
    20:20 Wolverhampton Albaraka WON 1.69

    New Running total: +£7.98

    #340385
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Selections for Sunday 13 February 2011

    17:10 Exeter Ballabrace £14.58


    Selections in blue

    would also have been qualifiers using the original Race Class<=4 and VR=>£10.00 filters.

    #340607
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Results for Sunday 13 February 2011

    14:10 Exeter Highland Valley WON 2.14
    17:10 Exeter Ballabrace LOST 2.60
    15:00 Hereford Our Mick WON 1.89

    Running total: +£13.85

    #340608
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Selections for 14 February 2011

    16:50 Catterick Crowning Jewel £13.48
    14:00 Plumpton Pepite Rose £10.23
    14:40 Wolverhampton Frequency £13.35
    15:10 Wolverhampton Sweet Origin £10.29

    #340668
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Results for 14 February 2011

    16:50 Catterick Crowning Jewel LOST 4.64
    14:00 Plumpton Pepite Rose NON-RUNNER
    14:40 Wolverhampton Frequency LOST 2.02
    15:10 Wolverhampton Sweet Origin WON 2.28

    Running total: -£0.47

    #340712
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Selections for Tuesday 15 February 2011

    17:00 Folkestone Song Of Songs £24.28
    13:40 Newcastle Bunclody £10.38
    14:40 Newcastle Thornton Alice £10.08
    14:20 Southwell Hermes £11.65
    14:50 Southwell Army of Stars £12.08
    15:50 Southwell Mush Mir £11.26
    16:50 Southwell Home £12.24

    #340801
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Results for Tuesday 15 February 2011

    17:00 Folkestone Song Of Songs LOST 6.00
    13:40 Newcastle Bunclody WON 2.82
    14:40 Newcastle Thornton Alice WON 2.88
    14:20 Southwell Hermes LOST 1.93
    14:50 Southwell Army of Stars LOST 2.96
    15:50 Southwell Mush Mir WON 2.57
    16:50 Southwell Home LOST 1.98

    Running total: -£7.97

    #340846
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Selections for Wednesday 16 February 2011

    13:50 Musselburgh Blenheim Brook £11.86
    14:50 Musselburgh Zemsky £14.28
    16:50 Musselburgh Pyjama Game £13.31

    #340963
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Results for Wednesday 16 February 2011

    13:50 Musselburgh Blenheim Brook WON 1.35
    14:50 Musselburgh Zemsky WON 1.74
    16:50 Musselburgh Pyjama Game LOST 1.88

    Running total: -£7.30

    #340964
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Selections for Thursday 17 February 2011

    16:50 Ffos Las Flemi Two Toes £12.67
    13:40 Kelso Priceless Art £10.65
    17:00 Kelso Doynosaur £13.27
    16:35 Southwell Steed £11.89

    #341023
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Strike rate still touching 50% DD. Well done
    Is there any major changes between AW & Jumps ?
    That Song let you down big time – Hunt Chs always a risk

    Return not great but you are exposing the highest rated going for the least prize i guess, so should expect them to be faves.

    Good luck

    #341087
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Is there any major changes between AW & Jumps ?
    That Song let you down big time – Hunt Chs always a risk

    If you’re asking if there is a major difference between the strike rate/returns for AW racescompared to Jumps races I’m afraid I don’t know as I’m not recording the code of racing in my main spreadsheet.

    As regards your comment regarding Song Of Songs (17:00 Folkestone, 15 Feb) I agree it was painful! The stake was £24.28 which is by far the highest stake indicated on this thread.

    Although it has no direct bearing on the advised stake, one of the filters I introduced on 12 February in order to generate more qualifiers was based on the forecast SP. The filter was that the forecast SP should not be greater than the number of runners in the race divided by 3.33; e.g. In a 10 runner race the forecast SP should not be greater than 3/1. The aim of this filter was to identify horses that were strongly fancied in the betting forecast.

    The forecast had Song Of Songs 11/10, Dantes Storm 5/4 and 10/1 bar. However come race time Dantes Storm was sent off the 4/6 favourite and Song Of Songs started the 9/2 second favourite.

    Sometimes it’ll work in your favour and a ‘drifter’ will win but sadly on this occasion it was not to be. Shame really as at a BSP of 6.00 a win for Song Of Songs would have given the figures a timely boost.

    #341088
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Results for Thursday 17 February 2011

    16:50 Ffos Las Flemi Two Toes LOST 3.60
    13:40 Kelso Priceless Art LOST 2.40
    17:00 Kelso Doynosaur LOST 2.81
    16:35 Southwell Steed WON 2.27

    Running total: -£29.54

    #341119
    discretedata
    Participant
    • Total Posts 219

    Selections for Friday 18 February 2011

    16:15 Fakenham Massini Man £21.03
    16:50 Fakenham Tante Sissi £10.23
    13:45 Lingfield Orchard Supreme Class £12.43
    16:40 Lingfield Midnight Rider £10.80
    17:00 Sandown Just Amazing £13.83
    17:25 Wolverhampton Go Maggie Go £11.57
    18:00 Wolverhampton Cotton King £12.07
    19:35 Wolverhampton Syrian Class £10.41
    20:05 Wolverhampton Strictly Pink £10.06

    #341212
    Hatter
    Member
    • Total Posts 129

    Just Amazing !!!

    Back on track
    Congrats

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 140 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.