Home › Forums › Archive Topics › Systems › (Rating*100)/£Prize money = Stake
- This topic has 139 replies, 7 voices, and was last updated 13 years, 7 months ago by Hatter.
-
AuthorPosts
-
February 11, 2011 at 04:28 #339820
Selections for Friday 11 February 2011
No qualifiers today.That makes five days in succession with no qualifiers.
I’ll put this thread to bed for the time being while I research some other less restrictive filters that may provide a more plentiful supply of qualifiers.
February 12, 2011 at 09:47 #340017I’ve dropped the Race Class filter and added forecast price/field size filters. Time will tell.
Selections for Saturday 12 February 2011
13:30 Lingfield A Little Bit Dusty £12.79
16:55 Warwick Elegant Touch £12.84
20:20 Wolverhampton Albaraka £10.26February 13, 2011 at 05:32 #340382Results for Saturday 12 February 2011
13:30 Lingfield A Little Bit Dusty WON 2.16
16:55 Warwick Elegant Touch LOST 6.80
20:20 Wolverhampton Albaraka WON 1.69New Running total: +£7.98
February 13, 2011 at 06:34 #340385Selections for Sunday 13 February 2011
17:10 Exeter Ballabrace £14.58
Selections in bluewould also have been qualifiers using the original Race Class<=4 and VR=>£10.00 filters.
February 14, 2011 at 04:09 #340607Results for Sunday 13 February 2011
14:10 Exeter Highland Valley WON 2.14
17:10 Exeter Ballabrace LOST 2.60
15:00 Hereford Our Mick WON 1.89Running total: +£13.85
February 14, 2011 at 04:36 #340608Selections for 14 February 2011
16:50 Catterick Crowning Jewel £13.48
14:00 Plumpton Pepite Rose £10.23
14:40 Wolverhampton Frequency £13.35
15:10 Wolverhampton Sweet Origin £10.29February 14, 2011 at 19:56 #340668Results for 14 February 2011
16:50 Catterick Crowning Jewel LOST 4.64
14:00 Plumpton Pepite Rose NON-RUNNER
14:40 Wolverhampton Frequency LOST 2.02
15:10 Wolverhampton Sweet Origin WON 2.28Running total: -£0.47
February 15, 2011 at 06:04 #340712Selections for Tuesday 15 February 2011
17:00 Folkestone Song Of Songs £24.28
13:40 Newcastle Bunclody £10.38
14:40 Newcastle Thornton Alice £10.08
14:20 Southwell Hermes £11.65
14:50 Southwell Army of Stars £12.08
15:50 Southwell Mush Mir £11.26
16:50 Southwell Home £12.24February 15, 2011 at 19:54 #340801Results for Tuesday 15 February 2011
17:00 Folkestone Song Of Songs LOST 6.00
13:40 Newcastle Bunclody WON 2.82
14:40 Newcastle Thornton Alice WON 2.88
14:20 Southwell Hermes LOST 1.93
14:50 Southwell Army of Stars LOST 2.96
15:50 Southwell Mush Mir WON 2.57
16:50 Southwell Home LOST 1.98Running total: -£7.97
February 16, 2011 at 06:10 #340846Selections for Wednesday 16 February 2011
13:50 Musselburgh Blenheim Brook £11.86
14:50 Musselburgh Zemsky £14.28
16:50 Musselburgh Pyjama Game £13.31February 17, 2011 at 04:15 #340963Results for Wednesday 16 February 2011
13:50 Musselburgh Blenheim Brook WON 1.35
14:50 Musselburgh Zemsky WON 1.74
16:50 Musselburgh Pyjama Game LOST 1.88Running total: -£7.30
February 17, 2011 at 04:21 #340964Selections for Thursday 17 February 2011
16:50 Ffos Las Flemi Two Toes £12.67
13:40 Kelso Priceless Art £10.65
17:00 Kelso Doynosaur £13.27
16:35 Southwell Steed £11.89February 17, 2011 at 14:41 #341023Strike rate still touching 50% DD. Well done
Is there any major changes between AW & Jumps ?
That Song let you down big time – Hunt Chs always a riskReturn not great but you are exposing the highest rated going for the least prize i guess, so should expect them to be faves.
Good luck
February 17, 2011 at 20:42 #341087Is there any major changes between AW & Jumps ?
That Song let you down big time – Hunt Chs always a riskIf you’re asking if there is a major difference between the strike rate/returns for AW racescompared to Jumps races I’m afraid I don’t know as I’m not recording the code of racing in my main spreadsheet.
As regards your comment regarding Song Of Songs (17:00 Folkestone, 15 Feb) I agree it was painful! The stake was £24.28 which is by far the highest stake indicated on this thread.
Although it has no direct bearing on the advised stake, one of the filters I introduced on 12 February in order to generate more qualifiers was based on the forecast SP. The filter was that the forecast SP should not be greater than the number of runners in the race divided by 3.33; e.g. In a 10 runner race the forecast SP should not be greater than 3/1. The aim of this filter was to identify horses that were strongly fancied in the betting forecast.
The forecast had Song Of Songs 11/10, Dantes Storm 5/4 and 10/1 bar. However come race time Dantes Storm was sent off the 4/6 favourite and Song Of Songs started the 9/2 second favourite.
Sometimes it’ll work in your favour and a ‘drifter’ will win but sadly on this occasion it was not to be. Shame really as at a BSP of 6.00 a win for Song Of Songs would have given the figures a timely boost.
February 17, 2011 at 20:54 #341088Results for Thursday 17 February 2011
16:50 Ffos Las Flemi Two Toes LOST 3.60
13:40 Kelso Priceless Art LOST 2.40
17:00 Kelso Doynosaur LOST 2.81
16:35 Southwell Steed WON 2.27Running total: -£29.54
February 18, 2011 at 04:39 #341119Selections for Friday 18 February 2011
16:15 Fakenham Massini Man £21.03
16:50 Fakenham Tante Sissi £10.23
13:45 Lingfield Orchard Supreme Class £12.43
16:40 Lingfield Midnight Rider £10.80
17:00 Sandown Just Amazing £13.83
17:25 Wolverhampton Go Maggie Go £11.57
18:00 Wolverhampton Cotton King £12.07
19:35 Wolverhampton Syrian Class £10.41
20:05 Wolverhampton Strictly Pink £10.06February 18, 2011 at 21:21 #341212Just Amazing !!!
Back on track
Congrats -
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.